Every Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision release, and how Bitcoin reacted
Each row is one release, with the figure and Bitcoin's price swing in the 15 minutes after it. Open a row for the chart, the minute-by-minute table and the full analysis.
82 releases · Bitcoin · newest first
| Release | Date | Figure | Expected | Price swing | Trading | Reaction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision | 28 Oct 2026 2:00 PM | 3.75-4% | - | 3.11x usual 4.24x | 4.88x | Ordinary |
| Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision | 16 Sep 2026 2:00 PM | 3.75-4% | - | 7.39x usual 4.24x | 11.72x | Strong |
| Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision | 29 Jul 2026 2:00 PM | 3.5-3.75% | - | 2.62x usual 4.24x | 4.27x | Muted |
| Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision | 17 Jun 2026 2:00 PM | 3.5-3.75% | - | 7.11x usual 4.24x | 7.86x | Strong |
| Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision | 29 Apr 2026 2:00 PM | 3.5-3.75% | - | 7.65x usual 4.24x | 8.84x | Strong |
| Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision | 18 Mar 2026 2:00 PM | 3.5-3.75% | - | 1.92x usual 4.24x | 2.72x | Muted |
| Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision | 28 Jan 2026 2:00 PM | 3.5-3.75% | - | 3.10x usual 4.24x | 3.70x | Ordinary |
| Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision | 10 Dec 2025 2:00 PM | 3.5-3.75% | - | 5.31x usual 4.24x | 9.17x | Ordinary |
| Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision | 29 Oct 2025 2:00 PM | 3.75-4.0% | - | 3.08x usual 4.24x | 4.51x | Ordinary |
| Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision | 17 Sep 2025 2:00 PM | 4.00-4.25% | - | 4.24x usual 4.24x | 10.35x | Ordinary |
| Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision | 30 Jul 2025 2:00 PM | 4.25-4.50% | - | 3.30x usual 4.24x | 2.99x | Ordinary |
| Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision | 18 Jun 2025 2:00 PM | 4.25-4.50% | - | 3.08x usual 4.24x | 3.89x | Ordinary |
| Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision | 7 May 2025 2:00 PM | 4.25-4.50% | - | 3.91x usual 4.24x | 5.03x | Ordinary |
| Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision | 19 Mar 2025 2:00 PM | 4.25-4.50% | - | 5.55x usual 4.24x | 6.94x | Strong |
| Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision | 29 Jan 2025 2:00 PM | 4.25-4.50% | - | 4.14x usual 4.24x | 6.55x | Ordinary |
| Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision | 18 Dec 2024 2:00 PM | 4.25-4.50% | - | 3.43x usual 4.24x | 4.68x | Ordinary |
| Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision | 7 Nov 2024 2:00 PM | 4.50-4.75% | - | 2.24x usual 4.24x | 3.34x | Muted |
| Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision | 18 Sep 2024 2:00 PM | 4.75-5.00% | - | 5.44x usual 4.24x | 14.36x | Ordinary |
| Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision | 31 Jul 2024 2:00 PM | 5.25-5.50% | - | 2.01x usual 4.24x | 2.10x | Muted |
| Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision | 12 Jun 2024 2:00 PM | 5.25-5.50% | - | 4.84x usual 4.24x | 9.82x | Ordinary |
Reading this table
Price swing (the volatility ratio) compares the 15 minutes after a release with a normal 15 minutes that day. Trading (the volume ratio) does the same for how much changed hands. The reaction judges the swing against what that report usually does. How it is measured
Releases that share a minute
Some reports come out at the same moment, like CPI and Core CPI. They share one reaction, so their rows show the same swing.