Every Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision release, and how Bitcoin reacted

Each row is one release, with the figure and Bitcoin's price swing in the 15 minutes after it. Open a row for the chart, the minute-by-minute table and the full analysis.

82 releases · Bitcoin · newest first

Release Date Figure Expected Price swing Trading Reaction
Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision 1 May 2024 2:00 PM 5.25-5.50% - 2.72x usual 4.24x 4.13x Muted
Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision 20 Mar 2024 2:00 PM 5.25-5.50% - 1.66x usual 4.24x 1.69x Muted
Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision 31 Jan 2024 2:00 PM 5.25-5.50% - 1.23x usual 4.24x 1.34x Quiet
Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision 13 Dec 2023 2:00 PM 5.25-5.50% - 2.87x usual 4.24x 3.77x Muted
Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision 1 Nov 2023 2:00 PM 5.25-5.50% - 1.15x usual 4.24x 1.83x Quiet
Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision 20 Sep 2023 2:00 PM 5.25-5.50% - 3.47x usual 4.24x 4.90x Ordinary
Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision 26 Jul 2023 2:00 PM 5.25-5.50% - 5.44x usual 4.24x 6.93x Ordinary
Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision 14 Jun 2023 2:00 PM 5.00-5.25% - 7.66x usual 4.24x 8.72x Strong
Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision 3 May 2023 2:00 PM 5.00-5.25% - 3.47x usual 4.24x 5.72x Ordinary
Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision 22 Mar 2023 2:00 PM 4.75-5.00% - 6.84x usual 4.24x 10.58x Strong
Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision 1 Feb 2023 2:00 PM 4.50-4.75% - 4.34x usual 4.24x 4.55x Ordinary
Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision 14 Dec 2022 2:00 PM 4.25-4.50% - 13.93x usual 4.24x 11.72x Exceptional
Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision 2 Nov 2022 2:00 PM 3.75-4.00% - 13.76x usual 4.24x 8.23x Exceptional
Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision 21 Sep 2022 2:00 PM 3.00-3.25% - 12.72x usual 4.24x 5.87x Exceptional
Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision 27 Jul 2022 2:00 PM 2.25-2.50% - 6.96x usual 4.24x 7.23x Strong
Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision 15 Jun 2022 2:00 PM 1.50-1.75% - 6.06x usual 4.24x 6.34x Strong
Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision 4 May 2022 2:00 PM 0.75-1.00% - 4.35x usual 4.24x 7.56x Ordinary
Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision 16 Mar 2022 2:00 PM 0.25-0.50% - 5.01x usual 4.24x 12.19x Ordinary
Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision 26 Jan 2022 2:00 PM 0.00-0.25% - 5.06x usual 4.24x 8.95x Ordinary
Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision 15 Dec 2021 2:00 PM 0.00-0.25% - 10.11x usual 4.24x 17.90x Exceptional

Reading this table

Price swing (the volatility ratio) compares the 15 minutes after a release with a normal 15 minutes that day. Trading (the volume ratio) does the same for how much changed hands. The reaction judges the swing against what that report usually does. How it is measured

Releases that share a minute

Some reports come out at the same moment, like CPI and Core CPI. They share one reaction, so their rows show the same swing.