ETH Volatility Analysis for Durable Orders, 26th January 2026

Data Analysis

The release

Released by the Bureau of Census on 26 January 2026 at 8:30 AM EST. Durable Goods Orders came in at 5.4% for November 2025, against -2.2% in October 2025. Durable goods orders are rising again, after a fall.

It arrived at the same moment as Durable Goods Orders Excluding Transportation, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

Measured by Clometrix

Ethereum's volatility ratio was 0.66x, against 1.34x for a typical Durable Orders release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 0.54x, against a typical 1.57x. Under 1.5x is not a reaction at all: the market barely noticed this release. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How Ethereum moved

Ethereum was at $2,905.89 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was unchanged, and an hour later 0.65% lower. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 1.16% of its price, against 0.42% in the hour before.

What made it matter

Since 2021, Durable Orders releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Ethereum more than those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.66x across 19, against 1.30x across 49. This one came out 2 days before the Federal Reserve's 28 January rate decision. Its own ratio of 0.66x compares with 1.66x for those, so it moved the price less than its circumstances would suggest.

About Durable Goods Orders

The U.S. Census Bureau publishes the Durable Goods Orders report every month. Durable goods orders reflect new orders placed with domestic manufacturers for delivery of long-lasting manufactured goods (durable goods) in the near term or future. The change in the total value of new orders is measured and shared with the public in two releases per month: the advance report on durable goods and the manufacturers' shipments, inventories, and orders.

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.

ETH-USDT

Ethereum

Open

2,875.46

2,931.96

24h Change

56.50 (1.93%)

24h High

2,951.21

24h Low

2,840.89

24h Volume

451,825 ETH

US Durable Goods Orders

Bureau of Census

26th January, 2026, 8:30AM Timezone: America/New York

Chart Data from Binance

Observations

Time	Open	High	Low	Close	Change	Amplitude	Volume

1 Minute
Before	2906.32	2906.32	2905.39	2905.90	-0.01%	0.03%	29 ETH
During	2905.89	2906.22	2904.13	2904.82	-0.04%	0.07%	89 ETH

5 Minutes
Before	2908.00	2909.02	2905.39	2905.90	-0.07%	0.12%	478 ETH
During	2905.89	2910.87	2904.13	2910.11	0.15%	0.23%	668 ETH

10 Minutes
Before	2907.62	2909.35	2905.39	2905.90	-0.06%	0.14%	688 ETH
During	2905.89	2911.30	2904.13	2905.66	-0.01%	0.25%	1,458 ETH

15 Minutes
Before	2906.71	2909.35	2903.28	2905.90	-0.03%	0.21%	1,534 ETH
During	2905.89	2911.30	2904.13	2906.91	0.04%	0.25%	2,029 ETH

30 Minutes
Before	2902.69	2909.35	2897.04	2905.90	0.11%	0.42%	3,442 ETH
During	2905.89	2911.30	2904.13	2909.67	0.13%	0.25%	3,729 ETH

1 Hour
Before	2904.59	2909.35	2897.04	2905.90	0.05%	0.42%	5,420 ETH
During	2905.89	2915.52	2881.77	2886.99	-0.65%	1.16%	23,620 ETH

2 Hours
Before	2890.23	2915.10	2888.08	2905.90	0.54%	0.93%	15,179 ETH
During	2905.89	2951.21	2875.77	2922.42	0.57%	2.56%	86,252 ETH

4 Hours
Before	2890.08	2915.10	2880.50	2905.90	0.54%	1.19%	34,801 ETH
During	2905.89	2951.21	2875.77	2896.75	-0.32%	2.56%	132,982 ETH

6 Hours
Before	2894.52	2934.40	2880.50	2905.90	0.39%	1.84%	76,931 ETH
During	2905.89	2951.21	2875.77	2926.56	0.71%	2.56%	163,802 ETH

8 Hours
Before	2875.46	2934.40	2840.89	2890.09	0.51%	3.19%	159,011 ETH
During	2890.08	2951.21	2875.77	2896.75	0.23%	2.56%	167,783 ETH

12 Hours
Before	2875.46	2934.40	2840.89	2905.90	1.05%	3.19%	193,812 ETH
During	2905.89	2951.21	2875.77	2931.96	0.89%	2.56%	258,013 ETH