Chainlink Forecast Ahead of Initial Claims, October 22, 2026

What is the Continued Claims?The weekly Continued Claims report, released Thursdays at 8:30 a.m. ET by the U.S. Department of Labor, measures the number of people who have already filed an initial unemployment claim and continue to claim benefits. It reflects insured unemployment for the prior week and serves as a steady gauge of labor-market health.Continued Claims data frequently trigger volatility in risk assets because shifts in the labor market alter expectations for Federal Reserve policy. Crypto markets, including Cardano, react quickly to any surprise that could influence rate-cut odds or broader liquidity conditions.ADA traders should watch the release because historical Binance price action around past prints shows measurable moves in both directions within the first hour, with average highs reaching 0.2173 in the Increase scenario and 0.2170 in the Decrease scenario.Increase ScenarioHistorical data shows the average high reaching 0.2173 within the first hour after an upside surprise, while the average close settles at 0.2154. The maximum high recorded extends to 0.2225 over the same 1-hour window, and the minimum low drops to 0.1961 in the most extreme cases. Over four hours the average high climbs further to 0.2189, indicating that sustained upside can develop beyond the immediate reaction.Decrease ScenarioIn the Decrease scenario the average high reaches 0.2170 in the first hour with an average close of 0.2156. The maximum high extends to 0.2197, while the minimum low falls to 0.2096. By the four-hour mark the average high widens to 0.2207, showing that downside surprises can still produce later upside follow-through within the observed ranges.Trading StrategyIn the first 1-5 minutes after release, watch whether price holds above 0.2160 or breaks toward the scenario-specific average low. Enter long on a sustained move above the 1-hour average high of 0.2173 in the Increase scenario, with stops below the 1-hour Min Low of 0.1961. Target the Max High of 0.2225 for initial profit-taking, then trail remaining size toward the 4-hour Max High of 0.2302. In the Decrease scenario, consider short entries below 0.2142 with stops above 0.2197 and targets at the 1-hour Min Low of 0.2096. Position size should reflect the full 1-hour volatility range of roughly 9 percent downside from reference in either scenario.How to Trade This with ClometrixThe Min Low on the 1-hour interval shows the worst-case downside observed after past releases and functions as a natural stop-loss reference. In the Increase scenario this level sits at 0.1961; in the Decrease scenario it is 0.2096. The Max High marks the best-case upside seen historically and serves as a take-profit reference, reaching 0.2225 in the Increase scenario and 0.2197 in the Decrease scenario on the 1-hour timeframe.To calculate risk/reward from the reference price of 0.2160 in the Increase scenario, subtract the Min Low from the reference to get risk of 0.0199 and subtract the reference from the Max High to get reward of 0.0065, producing a ratio of 0.33. The same exercise on the Decrease scenario yields risk of 0.0064 and reward of 0.0037 for a ratio of 0.58. These ratios help size positions relative to the historical extremes.The Average Close on the 1-hour interval, 0.2154 in the Increase scenario and 0.2156 in the Decrease scenario, indicates the most probable outcome rather than the extremes. Using the rounded reference price of 0.2160 keeps entry, stop, and target calculations clean and consistent across different timeframes.Monitor the live forecast for updates as the release approaches and adjust levels if new historical prints shift the ranges. Scenario 1: If Continued Claims Data IncreasesReference Price: $0.2160 AverageMinimumMaximumTimeframeHighLowCloseHighLowCloseHighLowClose1m0.21640.21550.21570.21600.20830.21040.21820.21600.21745m0.21650.21480.21550.21600.19610.20080.21850.21600.218010m0.21660.21460.21560.21600.19610.20320.21860.21600.218615m0.21680.21450.21580.21600.19610.20780.22000.21600.219530m0.21690.21430.21570.21600.19610.20430.22080.21600.22041h0.21730.21380.21540.21600.19610.20420.22250.21600.22032h0.21800.21230.21480.21600.19610.20740.22250.21590.22034h0.21890.20980.21280.21600.19610.19970.23020.21580.2236Scenario 2: If Continued Claims Data DecreasesReference Price: $0.2160 AverageMinimumMaximumTimeframeHighLowCloseHighLowCloseHighLowClose1m0.21640.21570.21610.21600.21410.21520.21920.21600.21795m0.21650.21530.21580.21600.21360.21430.21920.21600.218510m0.21660.21510.21570.21600.21360.21400.21920.21600.218115m0.21660.21490.21560.21600.21360.21410.21920.21600.218130m0.21670.21440.21540.21600.20960.21140.21920.21600.21881h0.21700.21420.21560.21610.20960.21190.21970.21600.21962h0.21860.21280.21620.21610.20390.21060.22920.21580.22894h0.22070.21220.21750.21610.20390.20970.23770.21580.2338How to Read the ForecastMin Low: The lowest possible price in the observed interval or minute (on the chart) before price action reverses to the upside.Max Low: The highest low price in the observed interval or minute (on the chart) before price action reverses to the upside.Min High: The lowest high price in the observed interval or minute (on the chart) before price action reverses to the downside.Max High: The highest possible price in the observed interval or minute (on the chart) before price action reverses to the downside.Spot prices are updated once per minute. If using current spot as a reference, chart will refresh once per minute to retrieve last spot price.Release Dates Used in This Forecast08/10/2026 8:30am27/08/2026 8:30am13/08/2026 8:30am30/07/2026 8:30am18/06/2026 8:30am11/06/2026 8:30am04/06/2026 8:30am21/05/2026 8:30am07/05/2026 8:30am16/04/2026 8:30am09/04/2026 8:30am26/03/2026 8:30am12/03/2026 8:30am26/02/2026 8:30am12/02/2026 8:30am05/02/2026 8:30am29/01/2026 8:30am31/12/2025 8:30am18/12/2025 8:30am11/12/2025 8:30am18/09/2025 8:30am14/08/2025 8:30am31/07/2025 8:30am18/06/2025 8:30amDisclaimerThe data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.

22nd October 2026

What is the Import Prices?The U.S. Import Price Index measures monthly changes in prices of non-military goods and services purchased from abroad. It signals shifts in U.S. consumer demand, inflation pressures from overseas, and overall economic strength. Stronger readings often point to robust spending, while weaker figures can flag cooling demand or currency effects.Crypto markets react because the release feeds into broader risk sentiment and dollar flows. ADA, with its high beta to macro news, tends to see amplified moves as traders reposition ahead of potential Fed or growth implications. The event at 8:30 AM ET creates a defined volatility window that historical Binance data shows can produce measurable price ranges within the first hour.Increase ScenarioHistorical patterns show the average high reaching 0.2330 within the first hour after the release, with the average close settling at 0.2314. Over longer windows the average high extends to 0.2345 by four hours while the average low drifts to 0.2271. The maximum observed high across instances hits 0.2374 in the first hour, indicating the upper boundary seen in prior releases.Decrease ScenarioIn the decrease scenario the average high reaches 0.2323 in the first hour with the average close at 0.2310. The average low falls to 0.2295 during that same window. Maximum highs have touched 0.2366 within one hour while minimum lows have reached 0.2236, outlining the historical downside range when import prices soften.Trading StrategyIn the first 1-5 minutes after release, watch for a sustained move above 0.2315 or below 0.2308 to confirm direction. For the increase scenario consider entering on a break and hold above 0.2323 with stops below the 1h Min Low of 0.2247; target the 1h Max High of 0.2374 or scale out at the 2h average high of 0.2339. In the decrease scenario enter shorts below 0.2305, place stops above 0.2337, and target 0.2295 or lower toward the 1h Min Low of 0.2236. Size positions at half normal size given the 3%+ range between extremes shown in the 4h data.How to Trade This with ClometrixThe Min Low from the 1h interval in the increase scenario is 0.2247. This level represents the worst-case downside observed in past Import Prices releases and serves as a practical reference for a stop-loss placement. The Max High from the same 1h interval is 0.2374, marking the strongest upside historically recorded and offering a natural take-profit reference.Risk from the 0.2310 reference price to the Min Low is 0.0063. Reward to the Max High is 0.0064, producing a risk/reward ratio of approximately 1:1.01. The 1h Average Close of 0.2314 shows that most historical outcomes cluster near the reference rather than reaching the extremes, giving traders a realistic expectation of modest drift instead of the outlier moves.Using the rounded reference price of 0.2310 keeps entry, stop, and target calculations clean and reduces slippage when executing around the event.Watch for the first 15-minute candle close after 8:30 AM ET to validate direction. Live forecast updates are available on the Clometrix platform. Scenario 1: If Import Prices Data IncreasesReference Price: $0.2310 AverageMinimumMaximumTimeframeHighLowCloseHighLowCloseHighLowClose1m0.23150.23030.23100.23100.22470.22810.23580.23100.23585m0.23200.23010.23130.23100.22470.22960.23580.23100.233410m0.23220.22980.23110.23100.22470.22710.23580.23100.232815m0.23230.22980.23120.23100.22470.22820.23580.23100.233330m0.23270.22960.23140.23100.22470.22790.23580.23100.23461h0.23300.22920.23140.23100.22470.22640.23740.23100.23702h0.23390.22840.23110.23100.22310.22590.24010.23100.23924h0.23450.22710.23100.23100.22180.22380.24010.23100.2387Scenario 2: If Import Prices Data DecreasesReference Price: $0.2310 AverageMinimumMaximumTimeframeHighLowCloseHighLowCloseHighLowClose1m0.23120.23080.23100.23100.23030.23050.23240.23100.23185m0.23150.23070.23110.23100.22950.22970.23370.23100.233210m0.23170.23040.23110.23100.22920.22980.23370.23090.233215m0.23170.23020.23090.23100.22690.22770.23370.23090.232830m0.23190.22990.23100.23100.22630.22820.23470.23090.23471h0.23230.22950.23100.23100.22360.22510.23660.23090.23312h0.23370.22860.23160.23130.22180.22750.23800.23090.23774h0.23460.22740.23100.23130.21840.22060.24040.23090.2390How to Read the ForecastMin Low: The lowest possible price in the observed interval or minute (on the chart) before price action reverses to the upside.Max Low: The highest low price in the observed interval or minute (on the chart) before price action reverses to the upside.Min High: The lowest high price in the observed interval or minute (on the chart) before price action reverses to the downside.Max High: The highest possible price in the observed interval or minute (on the chart) before price action reverses to the downside.Spot prices are updated once per minute. If using current spot as a reference, chart will refresh once per minute to retrieve last spot price.Release Dates Used in This Forecast16/09/2026 8:30am14/05/2026 8:30am25/03/2026 8:30am05/03/2026 8:30am10/02/2026 8:30am15/08/2025 8:30am17/07/2025 8:30am16/05/2025 8:30am14/02/2025 8:30am15/11/2024 8:30am16/07/2024 8:30am16/05/2024 8:30am12/04/2024 8:30am15/02/2024 8:30am14/12/2023 8:30am15/09/2023 8:30am15/08/2023 8:30am14/07/2023 8:30am12/05/2023 8:30am16/03/2023 8:30am13/01/2023 8:30am16/11/2022 8:30am14/10/2022 8:30am15/09/2022 8:30amDisclaimerThe data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.

16th October 2026

What is the PPI? The Producer Price Index tracks changes in the prices that domestic producers receive for their goods and services. Released monthly by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, it serves as an early signal of wholesale inflation that often precedes shifts in consumer prices. Because the PPI directly influences expectations for Federal Reserve policy, it tends to trigger immediate moves across risk assets. Bitcoin frequently amplifies these reactions due to its high beta to liquidity and rate-sensitive flows. Traders watch PPI prints for clues on whether tighter or looser policy is likely ahead. A hotter-than-expected reading can pressure BTC lower through higher real yields, while a cooler print often supports short-term risk appetite. Increase In the Increase scenario, the average high reaches 81,636.04 within the first hour and extends to 81,779.20 by the two-hour mark. The average close stays near 81,184.98 after one hour and 81,218.27 after two hours, showing limited net drift despite intraday swings. The minimum low recorded across the sample hits 78,846.17, while the maximum high reaches 84,027.22 within the first hour and climbs further to 84,094.05 by two hours. Decrease In the Decrease scenario, the average high climbs to 81,878.83 in the first hour and 82,072.82 by two hours. The average close settles at 81,486.72 after one hour before easing to 81,300.53 after two hours. The minimum low reaches 80,233.31 within the first hour, while the maximum high extends to 83,271.49 in the first hour and 83,844.12 by two hours. Trading Strategy Watch the first 1–5 minutes for a decisive break above 81,325.94 in the Increase scenario or below 81,139.59 in the Decrease scenario. Enter long on a sustained move above the 5-minute average high of 81,390.17 with a stop just under the 1-hour minimum low of 78,846.17; target the 4-hour maximum high of 84,869.10 for the first scale-out. In the Decrease scenario, enter short below the 5-minute average low of 81,041.34 with a stop above the 1-hour maximum high of 83,271.49 and initial profit at the 4-hour minimum low of 77,952.24. Position size should reflect the full volatility range shown: the Increase scenario spans roughly 3,500 points from min low to max high in the first hour, while the Decrease scenario spans about 3,000 points. Reduce size by half if the initial reaction stays inside the 15-minute average high and low bands, and avoid adding to the position until price clears the 30-minute average close level. How to Trade This with Clometrix The Min Low at the 1-hour interval shows the lowest price observed after past PPI releases in each scenario. In the Increase scenario this level sits at 78,846.17, giving traders a concrete reference for the worst-case downside seen historically and a logical place to set a stop. The Max High at the same 1-hour interval marks the highest price reached after those same releases. In the Increase scenario this prints at 84,027.22, serving as a natural take-profit reference on the upside. To calculate risk/reward, subtract the reference price of 81,200.00 from the Min Low to get downside risk of 2,353.83. Subtract the reference price from the Max High to get upside potential of 2,827.22. Dividing the two figures produces a risk/reward ratio of approximately 1.20:1 when using these historical extremes. The Average Close of 81,184.98 after one hour in the Increase scenario indicates that, on average, price tends to finish near the reference level rather than at the extremes. Traders can use this as a baseline expectation when planning scale-out levels or deciding whether to hold through the initial volatility. Using the rounded reference price of 81,200.00 keeps entry, stop, and target calculations simple and consistent across different account sizes. Monitor the live Clometrix forecast chart for real-time updates to these levels as the PPI release approaches, and check back immediately after the 8:30 AM ET print for any scenario shifts. Scenario 1: If PPI Data IncreasesReference Price: $81,000.00 AverageMinimumMaximumTimeframeHighLowCloseHighLowCloseHighLowClose1m81125.6380781.4680922.5681000.0079943.9280285.1881930.2081000.0081871.075m81189.7080670.0180912.8481000.0079232.3479376.7682247.4081000.0082153.6010m81231.6680589.2580875.2681000.0078651.9779569.8682848.1881000.0082378.9415m81281.2380566.1680948.8981000.0078651.9779921.9783382.4581000.0082636.5230m81316.9580518.7880907.9081000.0078651.9779477.3683382.4581000.0082249.671h81434.9780480.3980985.0281000.0078651.9779055.1983820.2681000.0083662.552h81577.7780293.6881018.2381000.0078651.9779479.3983886.9281000.0082323.224h81860.3080134.3580954.8881000.0078148.6478265.2884660.0781000.0084213.59Scenario 2: If PPI Data DecreasesReference Price: $81,000.00 AverageMinimumMaximumTimeframeHighLowCloseHighLowCloseHighLowClose1m81350.7380939.7481163.7081000.0080645.5480683.1382161.7081000.0081986.265m81440.5680841.7381143.7881000.0080429.7680516.7582808.9781000.0082086.5310m81482.6880806.6581129.5281000.0080405.3080484.9282857.0181000.0082483.9215m81522.1380793.4581113.3281000.0080405.3080566.9783029.7081000.0082224.1530m81565.3880722.5881199.1881000.0080035.7080261.3683029.7081000.0082247.811h81677.1680702.9781286.0181000.0080035.7080617.2883066.3981000.0082698.082h81870.6780469.3781100.2881000.0079316.4279657.5183637.6080992.7982940.524h82162.2780037.9680973.3581000.0077760.2478734.3586017.9580992.7985419.36How to Read the ForecastMin Low: The lowest possible price in the observed interval or minute (on the chart) before price action reverses to the upside.Max Low: The highest low price in the observed interval or minute (on the chart) before price action reverses to the upside.Min High: The lowest high price in the observed interval or minute (on the chart) before price action reverses to the downside.Max High: The highest possible price in the observed interval or minute (on the chart) before price action reverses to the downside.Spot prices are updated once per minute. If using current spot as a reference, chart will refresh once per minute to retrieve last spot price.Release Dates Used in This Forecast10/09/2026 8:30am13/08/2026 8:30am13/05/2026 8:30am27/02/2026 8:30am14/01/2026 8:30am25/11/2025 8:30am14/08/2025 8:30am12/06/2025 8:30am13/02/2025 8:30am14/01/2025 8:30am12/09/2024 8:30am12/07/2024 8:30am14/05/2024 8:30am14/03/2024 8:30am16/02/2024 8:30am13/12/2023 8:30am14/09/2023 8:30am11/08/2023 8:30am13/07/2023 8:30am11/05/2023 8:30am16/02/2023 8:30am12/10/2022 8:30am14/09/2022 8:30am14/06/2022 8:30amDisclaimerThe data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.

15th October 2026