Data Analysis
Measured by Clometrix
Chainlink's volatility ratio was 2.19x, against 1.43x for a typical Initial Claims release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 2.32x, against a typical 1.63x. That is a strong reaction by this release's own standard. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.
How Chainlink moved
Chainlink was at $11.28 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.62% higher, and an hour later 0.89% higher. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 1.33% of its price, against 0.62% in the hour before.
The release
Released by the Department of Labor on 3 September 2026 at 8:30 AM EDT. Initial Jobless Claims rose to 206K for the week ending 29th Aug, from 203K in the week ending 22nd Aug.
It arrived at the same moment as International Trade Balance in Goods and Services, International Imports in Goods and Services, International Exports in Goods and Services and Continued Jobless Claims, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.
What made it matter
Since 2021, Initial Claims releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Chainlink about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.45x across 93, against 1.38x across 208. This one came out 13 days before the Federal Reserve's 16 September rate decision. Its own ratio of 2.19x compares with 1.45x for those, so it moved the price more than its circumstances alone would suggest.
Its record
Across 301 Initial Claims releases since 2021, Chainlink's median volatility ratio is 1.43x.
About Initial Jobless Claims
The weekly claims report is released Thursdays at 8:30 a.m. ET by the U.S. Department of Labor (DOL). Initial claims are new jobless claims filed by U.S. workers seeking unemployment compensation, included in the unemployment insurance weekly claims report. The report, published since 1967, includes a separate count of workers receiving unemployment insurance benefits, known as continuing claims.
Disclaimer
The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.
LINK-USDT
Chainlink
Open
11.05Close
11.8324h Change
0.78 (6.59%)24h High
11.9624h Low
11.0024h Volume
3.003M LINKUS Initial Jobless Claims
Department of Labor
3rd September, 2026, 8:30AM Timezone: America/New York
Chart Data from Binance
Observations
| Time | Open | High | Low | Close | Change | Amplitude | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Minute | |||||||
| Before | 11.28 | 11.28 | 11.28 | 11.28 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 293 LINK |
| During | 11.28 | 11.32 | 11.28 | 11.31 | 0.27% | 0.35% | 4,978 LINK |
| 5 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 11.29 | 11.29 | 11.28 | 11.28 | -0.09% | 0.09% | 1,418 LINK |
| During | 11.28 | 11.37 | 11.28 | 11.35 | 0.62% | 0.79% | 24,393 LINK |
| 10 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 11.28 | 11.29 | 11.28 | 11.28 | 0.00% | 0.09% | 3,408 LINK |
| During | 11.28 | 11.39 | 11.28 | 11.37 | 0.79% | 0.97% | 50,326 LINK |
| 15 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 11.30 | 11.30 | 11.28 | 11.28 | -0.18% | 0.18% | 13,683 LINK |
| During | 11.28 | 11.39 | 11.28 | 11.35 | 0.62% | 0.97% | 57,181 LINK |
| 30 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 11.27 | 11.30 | 11.26 | 11.28 | 0.09% | 0.35% | 24,896 LINK |
| During | 11.28 | 11.43 | 11.28 | 11.42 | 1.23% | 1.31% | 109,816 LINK |
| 1 Hour | |||||||
| Before | 11.28 | 11.33 | 11.26 | 11.28 | 0.00% | 0.62% | 90,191 LINK |
| During | 11.28 | 11.43 | 11.28 | 11.38 | 0.88% | 1.31% | 169,826 LINK |
| 2 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 11.17 | 11.33 | 11.12 | 11.28 | 0.98% | 1.85% | 165,721 LINK |
| During | 11.28 | 11.53 | 11.28 | 11.52 | 2.08% | 2.17% | 320,672 LINK |
| 4 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 11.24 | 11.33 | 11.12 | 11.28 | 0.35% | 1.85% | 271,192 LINK |
| During | 11.28 | 11.86 | 11.28 | 11.66 | 3.26% | 4.89% | 975,442 LINK |
| 6 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 11.21 | 11.33 | 11.12 | 11.28 | 0.62% | 1.85% | 529,453 LINK |
| During | 11.28 | 11.86 | 11.28 | 11.76 | 4.08% | 4.89% | 1.191M LINK |
| 8 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 11.05 | 11.28 | 11.00 | 11.24 | 1.69% | 2.48% | 933,631 LINK |
| During | 11.24 | 11.86 | 11.12 | 11.66 | 3.60% | 6.24% | 1.247M LINK |
| 12 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 11.05 | 11.33 | 11.00 | 11.28 | 2.04% | 2.91% | 1.205M LINK |
| During | 11.28 | 11.96 | 11.28 | 11.83 | 4.65% | 5.69% | 1.798M LINK |
