BTC Volatility Analysis for Retail Sales, 16th December 2020

Data Analysis

The data released by Bureau of Census for Retail Sales on 16th December, 2020 has come in at a decrease to -1.0% for November 2020. Compared to the previous release for October 2020 at -0.4%, we can see that consumer sentiment is still decreasing month over month.

To see the impact and volatility of BTC's price during the Retail Sales release, we will first observe the difference in volume and price changes on the 4-hours chart, followed by the 15-minutes chart. Change in prices will be be determined by the high and low prices instead of the opening and closing prices.

4-Hours Chart Analysis

In the period prior to the release, the trading volume was 22,846 BTC with prices swinging between 19,442.97 and 19,889.99, representing a swing of 2.25%. Subsequently, the trading volume increased considerably by 84% to 42,052 BTC. Price action ranged from a low of 19,810.08 to a high of 20,865.43, a significant difference of 5.06%

15-Minutes Chart Analysis

Analysing on a lower time frame to get a more accurate picture, 738 BTC in trading volume was observed prior to the data release. Prices ranged between a low of 19,793.81 to a high of 19,880.00, a 0.43% change. Immediately following, trading volume increased significantly by 541% to 4,733 BTC. At this time, Bitcoin hit a low of 19,810.08 with a high of 20,280.00, a significant change of 2.32%.

About Retail Sales

The U.S. Census Bureau publishes the Retail Sales report every month. It is a measure of consumer spending, an important indicator of the US GDP. Retail firms provide data on the dollar value of their retail sales and inventories. A sample of 12,000 firms is included in the final survey and 5,000 in the advanced one. The advanced estimated data is based on a subsample from the USCB complete retail & food services sample.