BTC Volatility Analysis for PPI, 14th January 2026

Data Analysis

The release

Released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics on 14 January 2026 at 8:30 AM EST. The Producer Price Index came in at 0.4% for November 2025, against 0.3% in September 2025. Producer prices are rising faster than before.

It arrived at the same moment as Retail Sales, Retail Sales Excluding Automobiles and Core Producer Price Index, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

Measured by Clometrix

Bitcoin's volatility ratio was 0.62x, against 2.08x for a typical PPI release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 0.47x, against a typical 2.30x. Under 1.5x is not a reaction at all: the market barely noticed this release. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How Bitcoin moved

Bitcoin was at $95,190.70 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.12% lower, and an hour later 0.46% higher. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 0.96% of its price, against 0.32% in the hour before.

What made it matter

Since 2021, PPI releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Bitcoin about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 2.18x across 29, against 2.05x across 41. This one came out 14 days before the Federal Reserve's 28 January rate decision. Its own ratio of 0.62x compares with 2.18x for those, so it moved the price less than its circumstances would suggest.

What it means

Bitcoin registered a quiet reaction to the November Producer Price Index and the retail sales figures that arrived alongside it. Volatility reached only 0.62 times the level of an ordinary quarter hour, compared with the 2.08 times median recorded at PPI releases since 2021. Volume stayed at 0.47 times normal. The market registered almost no response to the 0.4 percent print or the simultaneous 0.5 percent retail sales reading.

Price action remained contained. Bitcoin stood at $95,190.70 when the data appeared. It slipped 0.12 percent in the following fifteen minutes before finishing the hour 0.46 percent higher. The high-to-low range in that hour measured 0.96 percent of spot, against 0.32 percent in the hour before the release.

The release fell fourteen days before the Federal Reserve's January policy meeting. PPI prints in that window have produced a median volatility ratio of 2.18 times since 2021. The 0.62 times outcome here therefore fell well short of the pattern observed for releases with similar timing.

Traders preparing for the next PPI release can observe that even data arriving close to a policy decision can leave Bitcoin unmoved when the surprise is small. The historical record for this event shows reactions that vary sharply from one print to the next.

About Producer Price Index

The Producer Price Index (PPI) measures the average change over time in the prices domestic producers receive for their output. It is a measure of inflation at the wholesale level that is compiled from thousands of indexes measuring producer prices by industry and product category. The index is published monthly by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.

BTC-USDT

Bitcoin

Open

95,480.58

96,390.36

24h Change

909.78 (0.94%)

24h High

97,924.49

24h Low

94,559.28

24h Volume

23,084 BTC

US Producer Price Index

Bureau of Labor Statistics

14th January, 2026, 8:30AM Timezone: America/New York

Chart Data from Binance

Observations

Time	Open	High	Low	Close	Change	Amplitude	Volume

1 Minute
Before	95203.11	95203.11	95190.69	95190.70	-0.01%	0.01%	2 BTC
During	95190.70	95214.64	95120.11	95140.00	-0.05%	0.10%	13 BTC

5 Minutes
Before	95184.10	95218.20	95153.67	95190.70	0.01%	0.07%	29 BTC
During	95190.70	95214.64	95072.10	95072.10	-0.12%	0.15%	43 BTC

10 Minutes
Before	95031.51	95241.70	95031.50	95190.70	0.17%	0.22%	98 BTC
During	95190.70	95214.64	95056.63	95082.00	-0.11%	0.17%	64 BTC

15 Minutes
Before	94963.76	95241.70	94963.76	95190.70	0.24%	0.29%	115 BTC
During	95190.70	95214.64	95056.63	95073.04	-0.12%	0.17%	77 BTC

30 Minutes
Before	95077.56	95241.70	94932.90	95190.70	0.12%	0.32%	194 BTC
During	95190.70	95214.64	94890.68	94998.19	-0.20%	0.34%	261 BTC

1 Hour
Before	95079.54	95241.70	94932.90	95190.70	0.12%	0.32%	375 BTC
During	95190.70	95805.22	94890.68	95628.00	0.46%	0.95%	826 BTC

2 Hours
Before	94977.16	95241.70	94680.67	95190.70	0.22%	0.59%	770 BTC
During	95190.70	97084.68	94890.68	96745.76	1.61%	2.26%	4,347 BTC

4 Hours
Before	95066.40	95291.98	94680.67	95190.70	0.13%	0.64%	1,681 BTC
During	95190.70	97777.00	94890.68	97544.01	2.41%	2.95%	8,828 BTC

6 Hours
Before	94935.14	95315.15	94680.67	95190.70	0.27%	0.67%	2,951 BTC
During	95190.70	97777.00	94890.68	97561.58	2.43%	2.95%	11,707 BTC

8 Hours
Before	95480.58	95799.22	94559.28	95066.40	-0.44%	1.29%	4,979 BTC
During	95066.40	97777.00	94680.67	97544.01	2.54%	3.17%	10,509 BTC

12 Hours
Before	95480.58	95799.22	94559.28	95190.70	-0.30%	1.29%	6,659 BTC
During	95190.70	97924.49	94890.68	96390.36	1.24%	3.10%	16,425 BTC