BTC Volatility Analysis for PPI, 30th January 2026

Data Analysis

The release

Released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics on 30 January 2026 at 8:30 AM EST. The Producer Price Index came in at 0.4% for December 2025, against 0.1% in October 2025. Producer prices are rising faster than before.

It arrived at the same moment as Core Producer Price Index, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

How Bitcoin moved

Bitcoin was at $82,714.00 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.26% higher, and an hour later 0.32% higher. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 0.85% of its price, against 0.45% in the hour before.

Measured by Clometrix

Bitcoin's volatility ratio was 2.04x, against 2.08x for a typical PPI release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 1.47x, against a typical 2.30x. That is about what this release usually does. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

What made it matter

Since 2021, PPI releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Bitcoin about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 2.18x across 29, against 2.05x across 41. This one came out 2 days after the Federal Reserve's 28 January rate decision. Its own ratio of 2.04x compares with 2.05x for those, about what its circumstances would suggest.

Its record

Across 70 PPI releases since 2021, Bitcoin's median volatility ratio is 2.08x.

What it means

Bitcoin's reaction to the December 2025 PPI release was ordinary by the standards of the event. The volatility ratio reached 2.04x in the quarter hour after the print, compared with the 2.08x median recorded across 70 PPI releases since 2021. Volume rose only 1.47x against a typical 2.30x, confirming that trading activity stayed close to the event's usual footprint.

The price path reflected that measured outcome. Bitcoin stood at $82,714.00 at the 8:30 AM EST release and rose 0.26 percent within fifteen minutes and 0.32 percent within the hour. Its high-to-low range expanded to 0.85 percent of spot in the post-release hour from 0.45 percent beforehand. The move therefore stayed within the bounds Clometrix records for a routine PPI print.

Timing relative to Federal Reserve decisions supplied little additional lift. The release arrived two days after the 28 January 2026 rate decision and forty-six days before the March meeting, placing it outside the two-week window that has historically produced a median volatility ratio of 2.18x. Its own 2.04x ratio aligned closely with the 2.05x median observed for releases at comparable distances from policy meetings. The record shows no systematic departure from that level under these conditions.

About Producer Price Index

The Producer Price Index (PPI) measures the average change over time in the prices domestic producers receive for their output. It is a measure of inflation at the wholesale level that is compiled from thousands of indexes measuring producer prices by industry and product category. The index is published monthly by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.

BTC-USDT

Bitcoin

Open

83,772.92

Close

84,132.26

24h Change

359.34 (0.43%)

24h High

84,621.16

24h Low

81,118.00

24h Volume

34,350 BTC

US Producer Price Index

Bureau of Labor Statistics

30th January, 2026, 8:30AM Timezone: America/New York

Chart Data from Binance

Observations

Time Open High Low Close Change Amplitude Volume
 
1 Minute
Before82688.4182714.0282688.4182714.000.03%0.03%5 BTC
During82714.0082739.9982421.6482625.09-0.11%0.38%147 BTC
 
5 Minutes
Before82700.0182714.0282653.8482714.000.02%0.07%24 BTC
During82714.0082852.0082421.6482852.000.17%0.52%215 BTC
 
10 Minutes
Before82771.6182779.6582653.8482714.00-0.07%0.15%54 BTC
During82714.0083087.3482421.6482777.990.08%0.80%306 BTC
 
15 Minutes
Before82755.2082812.1982653.8482714.00-0.05%0.19%94 BTC
During82714.0083087.3482421.6482930.280.26%0.80%368 BTC
 
30 Minutes
Before82800.4982859.9282552.0082714.00-0.10%0.37%249 BTC
During82714.0083087.3482421.6482740.920.03%0.80%512 BTC
 
1 Hour
Before82747.1582928.2082552.0082714.00-0.04%0.45%560 BTC
During82714.0083128.0082421.6482980.000.32%0.85%999 BTC
 
2 Hours
Before82741.1583329.3582552.0082714.00-0.03%0.93%1,344 BTC
During82714.0083797.9982421.6482620.28-0.11%1.64%3,107 BTC
 
4 Hours
Before82410.9283329.3582160.0082714.000.37%1.40%2,663 BTC
During82714.0083797.9982382.0183385.680.81%1.69%5,403 BTC
 
6 Hours
Before82669.6383329.3582160.0082714.000.05%1.40%5,334 BTC
During82714.0084516.9181871.3784311.991.90%3.13%8,992 BTC
 
8 Hours
Before83772.9283895.3381118.0082410.93-1.65%3.31%17,133 BTC
During82410.9283797.9982160.0083385.681.17%1.95%8,067 BTC
 
12 Hours
Before83772.9283895.3381118.0082714.00-1.28%3.31%19,796 BTC
During82714.0084621.1681871.3784132.261.69%3.25%14,554 BTC

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