BTC Volatility Analysis for PPI, 25th November 2025

Data Analysis

The release

Released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics on 25 November 2025 at 8:30 AM EST. The Producer Price Index came in at 0.3% for September 2025, against -0.1% in August 2025. Producer prices are rising again, after a fall.

It arrived at the same moment as Retail Sales, Retail Sales Excluding Automobiles and Core Producer Price Index, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

How Bitcoin moved

Bitcoin was at $87,625.77 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.67% lower, and an hour later 0.51% lower. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 1% of its price, against 0.53% in the hour before.

Measured by Clometrix

Bitcoin's volatility ratio was 2.39x, against 2.08x for a typical PPI release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 2.17x, against a typical 2.30x. That is about what this release usually does. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

What made it matter

Since 2021, PPI releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Bitcoin about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 2.18x across 29, against 2.05x across 41. This one was not within two weeks of a Fed decision. Its own ratio of 2.39x compares with 2.05x for those, so it moved the price more than its circumstances alone would suggest.

Its record

Across 70 PPI releases since 2021, Bitcoin's median volatility ratio is 2.08x.

What it means

Bitcoin registered an ordinary reaction to the 25 November 2025 PPI release, posting a volatility ratio of 2.39x that sat only modestly above the 2.08x median recorded across 70 PPI prints since 2021. Volume expanded 2.17x against the typical 2.30x, confirming the move stayed within the event's usual bounds. The price fell 0.67 percent in the first fifteen minutes and 0.51 percent after one hour, with the hourly range widening to 1 percent from 0.53 percent beforehand.

The release arrived together with Retail Sales, Retail Sales Excluding Automobiles and Core PPI, so the measured response reflects the combined data cluster. It fell outside the two-week window ahead of the December 2025 Federal Reserve decision, where the historical median volatility ratio stands at 2.18x. Even so, the 2.39x reading exceeded the 2.05x median observed for non-Fed-window PPI releases, indicating the price movement was slightly larger than timing alone would have predicted.

Traders reviewing the record can note that PPI prints have produced a consistent median volatility ratio of 2.08x regardless of proximity to policy meetings. The latest outcome reinforces that a single data cluster coinciding with other releases tends to generate activity in line with the long-term average rather than an outlier move.

About Producer Price Index

The Producer Price Index (PPI) measures the average change over time in the prices domestic producers receive for their output. It is a measure of inflation at the wholesale level that is compiled from thousands of indexes measuring producer prices by industry and product category. The index is published monthly by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.

BTC-USDT

Bitcoin

Open

88,048.61

87,591.60

24h Change

-457.01 (-0.52%)

24h High

88,519.99

24h Low

86,116.00

24h Volume

19,110 BTC

US Producer Price Index

Bureau of Labor Statistics

25th November, 2025, 8:30AM Timezone: America/New York

Chart Data from Binance

Observations

Time	Open	High	Low	Close	Change	Amplitude	Volume

1 Minute
Before	87601.02	87653.99	87601.02	87625.76	0.03%	0.06%	13 BTC
During	87625.77	87703.78	87583.36	87649.72	0.03%	0.14%	38 BTC

5 Minutes
Before	87613.68	87653.99	87559.75	87625.76	0.01%	0.11%	67 BTC
During	87625.77	87703.78	87568.20	87576.60	-0.06%	0.15%	90 BTC

10 Minutes
Before	87610.25	87668.32	87507.36	87625.76	0.02%	0.18%	161 BTC
During	87625.77	87703.78	87188.40	87194.49	-0.49%	0.59%	205 BTC

15 Minutes
Before	87594.30	87731.20	87507.36	87625.76	0.04%	0.26%	224 BTC
During	87625.77	87703.78	87028.00	87038.08	-0.68%	0.77%	344 BTC

30 Minutes
Before	87510.00	87731.20	87329.08	87625.76	0.13%	0.46%	339 BTC
During	87625.77	87703.78	86870.50	87083.01	-0.62%	0.95%	615 BTC

1 Hour
Before	87635.99	87792.20	87329.08	87625.76	-0.01%	0.53%	655 BTC
During	87625.77	87703.78	86824.71	87180.07	-0.51%	1.00%	1,413 BTC

2 Hours
Before	87426.93	87792.20	87325.54	87625.76	0.23%	0.53%	1,268 BTC
During	87625.77	87703.78	86116.00	86760.94	-1.00%	1.81%	3,252 BTC

4 Hours
Before	86684.79	87792.20	86681.43	87625.76	1.07%	1.27%	2,500 BTC
During	87625.77	87703.78	86116.00	87493.44	-0.15%	1.81%	4,955 BTC

6 Hours
Before	87699.77	87792.20	86666.00	87625.76	-0.08%	1.28%	5,684 BTC
During	87625.77	88155.65	86116.00	86296.82	-1.54%	2.31%	6,681 BTC

8 Hours
Before	88048.61	88519.99	86666.00	86684.80	-1.57%	2.09%	6,395 BTC
During	86684.79	87792.20	86116.00	87493.44	0.92%	1.91%	7,455 BTC

12 Hours
Before	88048.61	88519.99	86666.00	87625.76	-0.48%	2.09%	8,895 BTC
During	87625.77	88155.65	86116.00	87591.60	-0.04%	2.31%	10,215 BTC