How Uniswap reacted to the Personal Income and Outlays on 28 May 2026

The short answer

Hardly a reaction. In the 15 minutes after the figure came out, Uniswap's price swung 1.02 times as much as in a normal 15 minutes that day. For a Personal Income release, 1.49 times is usual. An hour later the price was unchanged.

1.02x

Quiet

Trading (volume ratio)
1.21x
usual for Personal Income: 1.89x
Price at 8:30 AM
$3.010
15 minutes later
+0.33%
One hour later
0.00%
range 1.00%, hour before 0.66%
UNI/USDT, 1 hour candles around the release, 8:30 AM America/New York

The dashed orange line is the release. Chart data from Binance.

Open
3.090
Close
3.070
24h change
-0.65%
24h high
3.100
24h low
2.970
24h volume
6.192M UNI

The release

Released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis on 28 May 2026 at 8:30 AM EDT. The Personal Income and Outlays came in at 0.0% for April 2026, against 0.6% in March 2026. Personal income was flat.

It arrived at the same moment as Durable Goods Orders, Durable Goods Orders Excluding Transportation, Gross Domestic Product Report, Personal Consumption Expenditures, Core Personal Consumption Expenditures, Initial Jobless Claims and Continued Jobless Claims, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

Measured by Clometrix

Uniswap's volatility ratio was 1.02x, against 1.49x for a typical Personal Income release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 1.21x, against a typical 1.89x. Under 1.5x is not a reaction at all: the market barely noticed this release. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How Uniswap moved

Uniswap was at $3.010 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.33% higher, and an hour later unchanged. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 1% of its price, against 0.66% in the hour before.

What made it matter

Since 2021, Personal Income releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Uniswap about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.50x across 17, against 1.37x across 52. This one was not within two weeks of a Fed decision. Its own ratio of 1.02x compares with 1.37x for those, so it moved the price less than its circumstances would suggest.

How it compares

Across 69 Personal Income releases since 2021, Uniswap's usual price swing is 1.49x. This one was 0.68 times the usual.

MutedOrdinaryStrongExceptional

Thin line: Personal Income's usual, 1.49x. Thick line: this release, 1.02x. Under 1.5x counts as no reaction at all.

Minute by minute

Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.

After High Low Close Change Range Range before Volume
1 minute 3.02 3.01 3.02 0.33% 0.33% 0.00% 3,910 UNI
5 minutes 3.02 3.01 3.02 0.33% 0.33% 0.33% 24,227 UNI
10 minutes 3.02 3.01 3.02 0.33% 0.33% 0.33% 41,137 UNI
15 minutes 3.03 3.01 3.02 0.33% 0.66% 0.33% 58,481 UNI
30 minutes 3.03 3.01 3.02 0.33% 0.66% 0.33% 130,026 UNI
1 hour 3.03 3.00 3.01 0.00% 0.99% 0.66% 274,788 UNI
2 hours 3.03 2.97 3.01 0.00% 1.98% 0.99% 786,116 UNI
4 hours 3.04 2.97 3.03 0.66% 2.30% 1.32% 1.464M UNI
6 hours 3.08 2.97 3.07 1.95% 3.57% 2.29% 1.785M UNI
8 hours 3.04 2.97 3.03 0.00% 2.30% 2.58% 2.55M UNI
12 hours 3.08 2.97 3.07 1.95% 3.57% 3.55% 2.389M UNI

Every coin at this release

Coin Price swing Usual for Personal Income Reaction
Bitcoin 1.12x 2.03x Quiet
Ethereum 1.28x 1.77x Quiet
XRP 0.00x 1.81x Quiet
BNB 1.32x 1.75x Quiet
Solana 1.52x 1.57x Ordinary
Dogecoin 1.35x 1.52x Quiet
TRON 1.29x 1.43x Quiet
Cardano 2.11x 1.90x Ordinary
Chainlink 2.01x 1.62x Ordinary
Sui 1.52x 1.53x Ordinary
Bitcoin Cash 1.03x 1.69x Quiet
Hedera 1.68x 1.51x Ordinary
Avalanche 1.80x 1.55x Ordinary
Litecoin 1.71x 1.64x Ordinary
Gram 2.01x 1.32x Strong
Shiba Inu 1.36x 1.75x Quiet
Uniswap 1.02x 1.49x Quiet
Polkadot 1.03x 1.50x Quiet
Aave 1.13x 1.58x Quiet
Bittensor 1.68x 1.68x Ordinary
NEAR Protocol 0.68x 1.43x Quiet
Aptos 1.89x 1.73x Ordinary
Internet Computer 1.05x 1.50x Quiet
POL (prev. MATIC) 1.81x 1.60x Ordinary
Filecoin 1.15x 1.51x Quiet

What is the Personal Income and Outlays?

Personal Income measures the change in the total value of income received from all sources by consumers. Income is closely correlated with consumer spending, which accounts for a majority of overall economic activity.

Every Personal Income release for Uniswap

Questions about this page

Is 1.02x a lot?

No. Under 1.5x the market barely noticed the release.

Will the next Personal Income do the same?

Nobody can say. A forecast shows the range Uniswap moved in after past Personal Income releases, so you can plan for the likely size of the move.

More questions ยท Glossary

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.