How Filecoin reacted to the Personal Income and Outlays on 28 May 2026

The short answer

Hardly a reaction. In the 15 minutes after the figure came out, Filecoin's price swung 1.15 times as much as in a normal 15 minutes that day. For a Personal Income release, 1.50 times is usual. An hour later the price was 0.85% higher.

1.15x

Quiet

Trading (volume ratio)
0.80x
usual for Personal Income: 2.34x
Price at 8:30 AM
$0.946
15 minutes later
+0.53%
One hour later
+0.85%
range 1.37%, hour before 1.48%
FIL/USDT, 1 minute candles around the release, 8:30 AM America/New York

The dashed orange line is the release. Chart data from Binance.

Open
1.030
Close
0.967
24h change
-6.51%
24h high
1.060
24h low
0.929
24h volume
21.128M FIL

The release

Released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis on 28 May 2026 at 8:30 AM EDT. The Personal Income and Outlays came in at 0.0% for April 2026, against 0.6% in March 2026. Personal income was flat.

It arrived at the same moment as Durable Goods Orders, Durable Goods Orders Excluding Transportation, Gross Domestic Product Report, Personal Consumption Expenditures, Core Personal Consumption Expenditures, Initial Jobless Claims and Continued Jobless Claims, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

Measured by Clometrix

Filecoin's volatility ratio was 1.15x, against 1.50x for a typical Personal Income release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 0.80x, against a typical 2.34x. Under 1.5x is not a reaction at all: the market barely noticed this release. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How Filecoin moved

Filecoin was at $0.946 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.53% higher, and an hour later 0.85% higher. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 1.37% of its price, against 1.48% in the hour before.

What made it matter

Since 2021, Personal Income releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Filecoin more than those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.67x across 18, against 1.42x across 52. This one was not within two weeks of a Fed decision. Its own ratio of 1.15x compares with 1.42x for those, so it moved the price less than its circumstances would suggest.

How it compares

Across 70 Personal Income releases since 2021, Filecoin's usual price swing is 1.50x. This one was 0.76 times the usual.

MutedOrdinaryStrongExceptional

Thin line: Personal Income's usual, 1.50x. Thick line: this release, 1.15x. Under 1.5x counts as no reaction at all.

Minute by minute

Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.

After High Low Close Change Range Range before Volume
1 minute 0.95 0.946 0.949 0.32% 0.42% 0.21% 8,041 FIL
5 minutes 0.95 0.945 0.946 0.00% 0.53% 0.74% 41,535 FIL
10 minutes 0.95 0.942 0.948 0.21% 0.84% 0.95% 84,757 FIL
15 minutes 0.952 0.942 0.951 0.53% 1.05% 1.05% 129,157 FIL
30 minutes 0.954 0.942 0.954 0.84% 1.26% 1.05% 241,161 FIL
1 hour 0.955 0.942 0.954 0.84% 1.36% 1.47% 614,810 FIL
2 hours 0.957 0.935 0.946 0.00% 2.30% 3.20% 1.432M FIL
4 hours 0.958 0.929 0.957 1.15% 3.03% 3.70% 2.821M FIL
6 hours 0.983 0.929 0.975 2.97% 5.49% 3.89% 4.134M FIL
8 hours 0.974 0.929 0.957 -1.15% 4.62% 9.91% 6.27M FIL
12 hours 0.983 0.929 0.967 2.17% 5.49% 11.51% 6.536M FIL

Every coin at this release

Coin Price swing Usual for Personal Income Reaction
Bitcoin 1.12x 2.06x Quiet
Ethereum 1.28x 1.79x Quiet
XRP 0.00x 1.70x Quiet
BNB 1.32x 1.78x Quiet
Solana 1.52x 1.58x Ordinary
Dogecoin 1.35x 1.51x Quiet
TRON 1.29x 1.42x Quiet
Cardano 2.11x 1.88x Ordinary
Chainlink 2.01x 1.61x Ordinary
Sui 1.52x 1.52x Ordinary
Bitcoin Cash 1.03x 1.67x Quiet
Hedera 1.68x 1.48x Ordinary
Avalanche 1.80x 1.55x Ordinary
Litecoin 1.71x 1.64x Ordinary
Gram 2.01x 1.29x Strong
Shiba Inu 1.36x 1.74x Quiet
Uniswap 1.02x 1.48x Quiet
Polkadot 1.03x 1.49x Quiet
Aave 1.13x 1.57x Quiet
Bittensor 1.68x 1.68x Ordinary
NEAR Protocol 0.68x 1.37x Quiet
Aptos 1.89x 1.70x Ordinary
Internet Computer 1.05x 1.50x Quiet
POL (prev. MATIC) 1.81x 1.56x Ordinary
Filecoin 1.15x 1.50x Quiet

What is the Personal Income and Outlays?

Personal Income measures the change in the total value of income received from all sources by consumers. Income is closely correlated with consumer spending, which accounts for a majority of overall economic activity.

Every Personal Income release for Filecoin

Questions about this page

Is 1.15x a lot?

No. Under 1.5x the market barely noticed the release.

Will the next Personal Income do the same?

Nobody can say. A forecast shows the range Filecoin moved in after past Personal Income releases, so you can plan for the likely size of the move.

More questions ยท Glossary

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.