How POL (prev. MATIC) reacted to the Personal Income and Outlays on 27 June 2025

The release

Released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis on 27 June 2025 at 8:30 AM EDT. The Personal Income and Outlays came in at -0.4% for May 2025, against 0.8% in April 2025. Personal income is falling, after a rise.

It arrived at the same moment as Personal Consumption Expenditures and Core Personal Consumption Expenditures, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

Measured by Clometrix

POL (prev. MATIC)'s volatility ratio was 1.43x, against 1.60x for a typical Personal Income release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 1.36x, against a typical 2.13x. Under 1.5x is not a reaction at all: the market barely noticed this release. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How POL (prev. MATIC) moved

POL (prev. MATIC) was at $0.1741 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.46% lower, and an hour later 0.52% lower. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 0.86% of its price, against 0.57% in the hour before.

What made it matter

Since 2021, Personal Income releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved POL (prev. MATIC) more than those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.93x across 17, against 1.51x across 51. This one was not within two weeks of a Fed decision. Its own ratio of 1.43x compares with 1.51x for those, about what its circumstances would suggest.

How it compares

Across 68 Personal Income releases since 2021, POL (prev. MATIC)'s usual price swing is 1.60x. This one was 0.90 times the usual.

MutedOrdinaryStrongExceptional

Thin line: Personal Income's usual, 1.60x. Thick line: this release, 1.43x. Under 1.5x counts as no reaction at all.

Minute by minute

Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.

After	High	Low	Close	Change	Range	Range before	Volume
1 minute	0.1741	0.1735	0.1735	-0.35%	0.34%	0.11%	46,400 POL
5 minutes	0.1741	0.1731	0.1737	-0.23%	0.57%	0.11%	133,217 POL
10 minutes	0.1741	0.1731	0.1736	-0.29%	0.57%	0.23%	231,971 POL
15 minutes	0.1741	0.1731	0.1733	-0.46%	0.57%	0.46%	339,619 POL
30 minutes	0.1741	0.1726	0.1728	-0.75%	0.86%	0.52%	510,260 POL
1 hour	0.1741	0.1726	0.1732	-0.52%	0.86%	0.57%	949,175 POL
2 hours	0.1743	0.1723	0.1731	-0.58%	1.15%	0.74%	1.991M POL
4 hours	0.1756	0.1723	0.1753	0.68%	1.88%	1.31%	3.968M POL
6 hours	0.1767	0.1723	0.1727	-0.81%	2.49%	1.59%	5.864M POL
8 hours	0.1756	0.1723	0.1753	0.97%	1.88%	2.50%	8.117M POL
12 hours	0.1767	0.1721	0.1746	0.29%	2.60%	2.50%	9.922M POL

Every coin at this release

Coin	Price swing	Usual for Personal Income	Reaction
Bitcoin	2.54x	2.03x	Ordinary
Ethereum	2.16x	1.77x	Ordinary
XRP	2.01x	1.81x	Ordinary
BNB	2.40x	1.75x	Strong
Solana	1.59x	1.57x	Ordinary
Dogecoin	1.97x	1.52x	Strong
TRON	1.50x	1.43x	Quiet
Cardano	2.53x	1.90x	Strong
Chainlink	2.02x	1.62x	Ordinary
Sui	1.54x	1.53x	Ordinary
Bitcoin Cash	1.53x	1.69x	Ordinary
Hedera	2.01x	1.51x	Strong
Avalanche	2.14x	1.55x	Strong
Litecoin	1.83x	1.64x	Ordinary
Gram	1.99x	1.32x	Strong
Shiba Inu	1.41x	1.75x	Quiet
Uniswap	2.02x	1.49x	Strong
Polkadot	1.02x	1.50x	Quiet
Aave	1.53x	1.58x	Ordinary
Bittensor	1.69x	1.68x	Ordinary
NEAR Protocol	2.01x	1.43x	Strong
Aptos	1.03x	1.73x	Quiet
Internet Computer	1.99x	1.50x	Strong
POL (prev. MATIC)	1.43x	1.60x	Quiet
Filecoin	1.01x	1.51x	Quiet

What is the Personal Income and Outlays?

Personal Income measures the change in the total value of income received from all sources by consumers. Income is closely correlated with consumer spending, which accounts for a majority of overall economic activity.

Every Personal Income release for POL (prev. MATIC)

Questions about this page

Is 1.43x a lot?

No. Under 1.5x the market barely noticed the release.

Will the next Personal Income do the same?

Nobody can say. A forecast shows the range POL (prev. MATIC) moved in after past Personal Income releases, so you can plan for the likely size of the move.

What is PCE, and why does the Fed watch it?

PCE is the Personal Consumption Expenditures price index published by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. The Federal Reserve measures its 2 percent inflation goal with the PCE price index. PCE, Core PCE and Personal Income are released together at 8:30 a.m. ET and share one reaction. Their median Bitcoin price swing since 2021 is 2.03x, which places them in Tier 2.

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.