How Litecoin reacted to the Personal Consumption Expenditures on 26 August 2022

The short answer

An exceptional reaction. In the 15 minutes after the figure came out, Litecoin's price swung 3.35 times as much as in a normal 15 minutes that day. For a PCE release, 1.64 times is usual. An hour later the price was 2.49% higher.

3.35x

Exceptional

Trading (volume ratio)
5.41x
usual for PCE: 2.05x
Price at 8:30 AM
$56.18
15 minutes later
+1.14%
One hour later
+2.49%
range 3.88%, hour before 1.42%
LTC/USDT, 1 minute candles around the release, 8:30 AM America/New York

The dashed orange line is the release. Chart data from Binance.

Open
56.44
Close
52.82
24h change
-6.85%
24h high
58.31
24h low
52.08
24h volume
661,020 LTC

Measured by Clometrix

Litecoin's volatility ratio was 3.35x, against 1.64x for a typical PCE release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 5.41x, against a typical 2.05x. That is more than twice what this release usually does. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How Litecoin moved

Litecoin was at $56.18 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 1.14% higher, and an hour later 2.49% higher. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 3.88% of its price, against 1.42% in the hour before.

The release

Released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis on 26 August 2022 at 8:30 AM EDT. The Personal Consumption Expenditures came in at 0.0% for July 2022, against 0.9% in June 2022. Prices were flat.

It arrived at the same moment as Personal Income and Outlays and Core Personal Consumption Expenditures, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

What made it matter

Since 2021, PCE releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Litecoin more than those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.89x across 18, against 1.49x across 52. This one was not within two weeks of a Fed decision. Its own ratio of 3.35x compares with 1.49x for those, so it moved the price more than its circumstances alone would suggest.

Its record

Across 70 PCE releases since 2021, Litecoin's median volatility ratio is 1.64x.

How it compares

Across 70 PCE releases since 2021, Litecoin's usual price swing is 1.64x. This one was 2.04 times the usual.

MutedOrdinaryStrongExceptional

Thin line: PCE's usual, 1.64x. Thick line: this release, 3.35x.

Minute by minute

Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.

After High Low Close Change Range Range before Volume
1 minute 56.80 56.13 56.70 0.92% 1.18% 0.34% 6,404 LTC
5 minutes 56.88 56.13 56.88 1.23% 1.32% 0.62% 14,547 LTC
10 minutes 57.05 56.13 56.98 1.40% 1.61% 0.68% 18,592 LTC
15 minutes 57.10 56.13 56.82 1.13% 1.70% 0.82% 24,076 LTC
30 minutes 57.44 56.13 57.33 2.01% 2.28% 1.16% 39,924 LTC
1 hour 58.31 56.13 57.58 2.43% 3.74% 1.42% 88,543 LTC
2 hours 58.31 56.13 56.60 0.74% 3.74% 1.58% 149,043 LTC
4 hours 58.31 53.55 53.76 -4.50% 8.16% 1.58% 263,715 LTC
6 hours 58.31 53.10 53.36 -5.28% 8.94% 2.01% 319,798 LTC
8 hours 58.31 53.55 53.76 -3.35% 8.16% 2.62% 329,002 LTC
12 hours 58.31 52.08 52.82 -6.36% 10.68% 2.62% 433,823 LTC

Every coin at this release

Coin Price swing Usual for PCE Reaction
Bitcoin 5.57x 2.06x Exceptional
Ethereum 4.13x 1.79x Exceptional
XRP 2.17x 1.70x Ordinary
BNB 3.77x 1.78x Exceptional
Solana 3.41x 1.58x Exceptional
Dogecoin 3.37x 1.51x Exceptional
TRON 3.31x 1.42x Exceptional
Cardano 3.01x 1.88x Strong
Chainlink 3.59x 1.61x Exceptional
Bitcoin Cash 3.31x 1.67x Strong
Hedera 3.53x 1.48x Exceptional
Avalanche 3.40x 1.55x Exceptional
Litecoin 3.35x 1.64x Exceptional
Shiba Inu 3.08x 1.74x Strong
Uniswap 3.77x 1.48x Exceptional
Polkadot 4.07x 1.49x Exceptional
Aave 3.86x 1.57x Exceptional
NEAR Protocol 2.95x 1.37x Exceptional
Internet Computer 2.38x 1.50x Strong
POL (prev. MATIC) 3.92x 1.56x Exceptional
Filecoin 3.08x 1.50x Exceptional

What is the Personal Consumption Expenditures?

Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) is a measure of the prices people in the United States pay for goods and services. PCE accounts for about two-thirds of domestic spending and is a significant driver of gross domestic product (GDP). An estimated total of personal consumption expenditures (PCE) is compiled by the Bureau of Economic Analysis as one way to measure and track changes in the prices of consumer goods over time.

Every PCE release for Litecoin

Questions about this page

Is 3.35x a lot?

For a PCE release it is exceptional: the usual is 1.64x. Each report has its own usual size, and its releases show it.

Will the next PCE do the same?

Nobody can say. A forecast shows the range Litecoin moved in after past PCE releases, so you can plan for the likely size of the move.

More questions ยท Glossary

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.