How Dogecoin reacted to the Personal Consumption Expenditures on 27 June 2025

The short answer

A strong reaction. In the 15 minutes after the figure came out, Dogecoin's price swung 1.97 times as much as in a normal 15 minutes that day. For a PCE release, 1.52 times is usual. An hour later the price was 1.27% lower.

1.97x

Strong

Trading (volume ratio)
2.23x
usual for PCE: 2.33x
Price at 8:30 AM
$0.161150
15 minutes later
−0.74%
One hour later
−1.27%
range 1.35%, hour before 0.71%
DOGE/USDT, 15 minutes candles around the release, 8:30 AM America/New York

The dashed orange line is the release. Chart data from Binance.

Open
0.160160
Close
0.161320
24h change
0.72%
24h high
0.163070
24h low
0.157040
24h volume
436.949M DOGE

Measured by Clometrix

Dogecoin's volatility ratio was 1.97x, against 1.52x for a typical PCE release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 2.23x, against a typical 2.33x. That is a strong reaction by this release's own standard. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How Dogecoin moved

Dogecoin was at $0.161150 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.74% lower, and an hour later 1.27% lower. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 1.35% of its price, against 0.71% in the hour before.

The release

Released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis on 27 June 2025 at 8:30 AM EDT. The Personal Consumption Expenditures came in at 0.2% for May 2025, against 0.2% in April 2025. Prices are rising at the same pace as before.

It arrived at the same moment as Personal Income and Outlays and Core Personal Consumption Expenditures, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

What made it matter

Since 2021, PCE releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Dogecoin about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.51x across 18, against 1.54x across 52. This one was not within two weeks of a Fed decision. Its own ratio of 1.97x compares with 1.54x for those, so it moved the price more than its circumstances alone would suggest.

Its record

Across 70 PCE releases since 2021, Dogecoin's median volatility ratio is 1.51x.

How it compares

Across 69 PCE releases since 2021, Dogecoin's usual price swing is 1.52x. This one was 1.30 times the usual.

MutedOrdinaryStrongExceptional

Thin line: PCE's usual, 1.52x. Thick line: this release, 1.97x.

Minute by minute

Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.

After High Low Close Change Range Range before Volume
1 minute 0.16119 0.16052 0.16052 -0.39% 0.42% 0.06% 1.563M DOGE
5 minutes 0.16119 0.16005 0.16051 -0.40% 0.71% 0.10% 5.336M DOGE
10 minutes 0.16119 0.16005 0.16009 -0.66% 0.71% 0.30% 6.465M DOGE
15 minutes 0.16119 0.15988 0.15996 -0.74% 0.81% 0.45% 8.071M DOGE
30 minutes 0.16119 0.15937 0.1596 -0.97% 1.13% 0.54% 14.148M DOGE
1 hour 0.16119 0.15902 0.1591 -1.29% 1.35% 0.71% 22.303M DOGE
2 hours 0.16119 0.15824 0.15892 -1.40% 1.83% 0.71% 55.791M DOGE
4 hours 0.16171 0.15824 0.16117 0.01% 2.15% 1.22% 98.43M DOGE
6 hours 0.16307 0.15824 0.15861 -1.60% 2.96% 1.37% 161.451M DOGE
8 hours 0.16216 0.15824 0.16117 0.16% 2.42% 2.86% 150.424M DOGE
12 hours 0.16307 0.15704 0.16132 0.11% 3.70% 2.86% 253.736M DOGE

Every coin at this release

Coin Price swing Usual for PCE Reaction
Bitcoin 2.54x 2.03x Ordinary
Ethereum 2.16x 1.77x Ordinary
XRP 2.01x 1.81x Ordinary
BNB 2.40x 1.75x Strong
Solana 1.59x 1.57x Ordinary
Dogecoin 1.97x 1.52x Strong
TRON 1.50x 1.43x Quiet
Cardano 2.53x 1.90x Strong
Chainlink 2.02x 1.62x Ordinary
Sui 1.54x 1.53x Ordinary
Bitcoin Cash 1.53x 1.69x Ordinary
Hedera 2.01x 1.51x Strong
Avalanche 2.14x 1.55x Strong
Litecoin 1.83x 1.64x Ordinary
Gram 1.99x 1.32x Strong
Shiba Inu 1.41x 1.75x Quiet
Uniswap 2.02x 1.49x Strong
Polkadot 1.02x 1.50x Quiet
Aave 1.53x 1.58x Ordinary
Bittensor 1.69x 1.68x Ordinary
NEAR Protocol 2.01x 1.43x Strong
Aptos 1.03x 1.73x Quiet
Internet Computer 1.99x 1.50x Strong
POL (prev. MATIC) 1.43x 1.60x Quiet
Filecoin 1.01x 1.51x Quiet

What is the Personal Consumption Expenditures?

Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) is a measure of the prices people in the United States pay for goods and services. PCE accounts for about two-thirds of domestic spending and is a significant driver of gross domestic product (GDP). An estimated total of personal consumption expenditures (PCE) is compiled by the Bureau of Economic Analysis as one way to measure and track changes in the prices of consumer goods over time.

Every PCE release for Dogecoin

Questions about this page

Is 1.97x a lot?

For a PCE release it is strong: the usual is 1.52x. Each report has its own usual size, and its releases show it.

Will the next PCE do the same?

Nobody can say. A forecast shows the range Dogecoin moved in after past PCE releases, so you can plan for the likely size of the move.

What is PCE, and why does the Fed watch it?

PCE is the Personal Consumption Expenditures price index published by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. The Federal Reserve measures its 2 percent inflation goal with the PCE price index. PCE, Core PCE and Personal Income are released together at 8:30 a.m. ET and share one reaction. Their median Bitcoin price swing since 2021 is 2.03x, which places them in Tier 2.

More questions · Glossary

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.