How Cardano reacted to the Personal Consumption Expenditures on 27 June 2025

The short answer

A strong reaction. In the 15 minutes after the figure came out, Cardano's price swung 2.53 times as much as in a normal 15 minutes that day. For a PCE release, 1.88 times is usual. An hour later the price was 1.04% lower.

2.53x

Strong

Trading (volume ratio)
4.92x
usual for PCE: 2.36x
Price at 8:30 AM
$0.5559
15 minutes later
−0.88%
One hour later
−1.04%
range 1.26%, hour before 0.74%
ADA/USDT, 1 minute candles around the release, 8:30 AM America/New York

The dashed orange line is the release. Chart data from Binance.

Open
0.5557
Close
0.5596
24h change
0.70%
24h high
0.5633
24h low
0.5450
24h volume
80.954M ADA

Measured by Clometrix

Cardano's volatility ratio was 2.53x, against 1.88x for a typical PCE release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 4.92x, against a typical 2.36x. That is a strong reaction by this release's own standard. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How Cardano moved

Cardano was at $0.5559 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.88% lower, and an hour later 1.04% lower. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 1.26% of its price, against 0.74% in the hour before.

The release

Released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis on 27 June 2025 at 8:30 AM EDT. The Personal Consumption Expenditures came in at 0.2% for May 2025, against 0.2% in April 2025. Prices are rising at the same pace as before.

It arrived at the same moment as Personal Income and Outlays and Core Personal Consumption Expenditures, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

What made it matter

Since 2021, PCE releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Cardano about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.92x across 18, against 1.88x across 52. This one was not within two weeks of a Fed decision. Its own ratio of 2.53x compares with 1.88x for those, so it moved the price more than its circumstances alone would suggest.

Its record

Across 70 PCE releases since 2021, Cardano's median volatility ratio is 1.88x.

How it compares

Across 70 PCE releases since 2021, Cardano's usual price swing is 1.88x. This one was 1.34 times the usual.

MutedOrdinaryStrongExceptional

Thin line: PCE's usual, 1.88x. Thick line: this release, 2.53x.

Minute by minute

Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.

After High Low Close Change Range Range before Volume
1 minute 0.556 0.553 0.553 -0.52% 0.54% 0.09% 550,201 ADA
5 minutes 0.556 0.5511 0.5531 -0.51% 0.88% 0.11% 2.28M ADA
10 minutes 0.556 0.5511 0.5513 -0.83% 0.88% 0.23% 2.859M ADA
15 minutes 0.556 0.5505 0.551 -0.89% 0.99% 0.38% 3.201M ADA
30 minutes 0.556 0.549 0.5497 -1.13% 1.26% 0.50% 4.445M ADA
1 hour 0.556 0.549 0.5501 -1.05% 1.26% 0.74% 7.442M ADA
2 hours 0.556 0.5471 0.5512 -0.85% 1.60% 0.74% 15.654M ADA
4 hours 0.557 0.5471 0.5562 0.05% 1.78% 1.25% 23.206M ADA
6 hours 0.5633 0.546 0.5465 -1.72% 3.07% 1.43% 35.308M ADA
8 hours 0.5593 0.5471 0.5562 0.52% 2.18% 2.19% 33.577M ADA
12 hours 0.5633 0.545 0.5596 0.66% 3.25% 2.19% 49.186M ADA

Every coin at this release

Coin Price swing Usual for PCE Reaction
Bitcoin 2.54x 2.06x Ordinary
Ethereum 2.16x 1.79x Ordinary
XRP 2.01x 1.70x Ordinary
BNB 2.40x 1.78x Strong
Solana 1.59x 1.58x Ordinary
Dogecoin 1.97x 1.51x Strong
TRON 1.50x 1.42x Quiet
Cardano 2.53x 1.88x Strong
Chainlink 2.02x 1.61x Ordinary
Sui 1.54x 1.52x Ordinary
Bitcoin Cash 1.53x 1.67x Ordinary
Hedera 2.01x 1.48x Strong
Avalanche 2.14x 1.55x Strong
Litecoin 1.83x 1.64x Ordinary
Gram 1.99x 1.29x Strong
Shiba Inu 1.41x 1.74x Quiet
Uniswap 2.02x 1.48x Strong
Polkadot 1.02x 1.49x Quiet
Aave 1.53x 1.57x Ordinary
Bittensor 1.69x 1.68x Ordinary
NEAR Protocol 2.01x 1.37x Strong
Aptos 1.03x 1.70x Quiet
Internet Computer 1.99x 1.50x Strong
POL (prev. MATIC) 1.43x 1.56x Quiet
Filecoin 1.01x 1.50x Quiet

What is the Personal Consumption Expenditures?

Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) is a measure of the prices people in the United States pay for goods and services. PCE accounts for about two-thirds of domestic spending and is a significant driver of gross domestic product (GDP). An estimated total of personal consumption expenditures (PCE) is compiled by the Bureau of Economic Analysis as one way to measure and track changes in the prices of consumer goods over time.

Every PCE release for Cardano

Questions about this page

Is 2.53x a lot?

For a PCE release it is strong: the usual is 1.88x. Each report has its own usual size, and its releases show it.

Will the next PCE do the same?

Nobody can say. A forecast shows the range Cardano moved in after past PCE releases, so you can plan for the likely size of the move.

More questions · Glossary

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.