The release
Released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis on 31 July 2025 at 8:30 AM EDT. The Personal Consumption Expenditures came in at 0.3% for June 2025, against 0.2% in May 2025. Prices are rising faster than before.
It arrived at the same moment as Personal Income and Outlays, Core Personal Consumption Expenditures, Initial Jobless Claims and Continued Jobless Claims, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.
How Uniswap moved
Uniswap was at $9.980 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 1% lower, and an hour later 3.01% lower. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 3.21% of its price, against 0.9% in the hour before.
Measured by Clometrix
Uniswap's volatility ratio was 1.75x, against 1.48x for a typical PCE release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 1.16x, against a typical 1.95x. That is about what this release usually does. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.
What made it matter
Since 2021, PCE releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Uniswap about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.50x across 18, against 1.37x across 52. This one came out the day after the Federal Reserve's 30 July rate decision. Its own ratio of 1.75x compares with 1.37x for those, so it moved the price more than its circumstances alone would suggest.
Its record
Across 70 PCE releases since 2021, Uniswap's median volatility ratio is 1.48x.
How it compares
Across 70 PCE releases since 2021, Uniswap's usual price swing is 1.48x. This one was 1.18 times the usual.
Thin line: PCE's usual, 1.48x. Thick line: this release, 1.75x.
Minute by minute
Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.
| After | High | Low | Close | Change | Range | Range before | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 minute | 9.98 | 9.95 | 9.95 | -0.30% | 0.30% | 0.10% | 3,706 UNI |
| 5 minutes | 9.98 | 9.90 | 9.91 | -0.71% | 0.80% | 0.40% | 34,826 UNI |
| 10 minutes | 9.98 | 9.90 | 9.92 | -0.60% | 0.80% | 0.40% | 45,511 UNI |
| 15 minutes | 9.98 | 9.87 | 9.88 | -1.01% | 1.10% | 0.50% | 75,668 UNI |
| 30 minutes | 9.98 | 9.86 | 9.88 | -1.01% | 1.20% | 0.70% | 146,054 UNI |
| 1 hour | 9.98 | 9.66 | 9.68 | -3.10% | 3.21% | 0.90% | 538,437 UNI |
| 2 hours | 9.98 | 9.51 | 9.55 | -4.50% | 4.71% | 2.17% | 1.564M UNI |
| 4 hours | 9.98 | 9.51 | 9.74 | -2.46% | 4.71% | 2.74% | 2.598M UNI |
| 6 hours | 9.98 | 9.51 | 9.64 | -3.53% | 4.71% | 2.74% | 3.639M UNI |
| 8 hours | 10.22 | 9.51 | 9.74 | -4.52% | 6.95% | 1.76% | 3.304M UNI |
| 12 hours | 9.98 | 9.24 | 9.32 | -7.08% | 7.41% | 2.93% | 5.441M UNI |
Every coin at this release
| Coin | Price swing | Usual for PCE | Reaction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 1.15x | 2.06x | Quiet |
| Ethereum | 1.41x | 1.79x | Quiet |
| XRP | 1.98x | 1.70x | Ordinary |
| BNB | 1.04x | 1.78x | Quiet |
| Solana | 1.57x | 1.58x | Ordinary |
| Dogecoin | 1.28x | 1.51x | Quiet |
| TRON | 1.66x | 1.42x | Ordinary |
| Cardano | 1.29x | 1.88x | Quiet |
| Chainlink | 1.32x | 1.61x | Quiet |
| Sui | 1.92x | 1.52x | Ordinary |
| Bitcoin Cash | 0.66x | 1.67x | Quiet |
| Hedera | 1.73x | 1.48x | Ordinary |
| Avalanche | 1.53x | 1.55x | Ordinary |
| Litecoin | 0.64x | 1.64x | Quiet |
| Gram | 0.66x | 1.29x | Quiet |
| Shiba Inu | 1.47x | 1.74x | Quiet |
| Uniswap | 1.75x | 1.48x | Ordinary |
| Polkadot | 1.49x | 1.49x | Quiet |
| Aave | 2.17x | 1.57x | Strong |
| Bittensor | 1.15x | 1.68x | Quiet |
| NEAR Protocol | 1.92x | 1.37x | Strong |
| Aptos | 1.45x | 1.70x | Quiet |
| Internet Computer | 1.34x | 1.50x | Quiet |
| POL (prev. MATIC) | 1.63x | 1.56x | Ordinary |
| Filecoin | 1.97x | 1.50x | Strong |
What is the Personal Consumption Expenditures?
Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) is a measure of the prices people in the United States pay for goods and services. PCE accounts for about two-thirds of domestic spending and is a significant driver of gross domestic product (GDP). An estimated total of personal consumption expenditures (PCE) is compiled by the Bureau of Economic Analysis as one way to measure and track changes in the prices of consumer goods over time.Questions about this page
Is 1.75x a lot?
For a PCE release it is ordinary: the usual is 1.48x. Each report has its own usual size, and its releases show it.
Will the next PCE do the same?
Nobody can say. A forecast shows the range Uniswap moved in after past PCE releases, so you can plan for the likely size of the move.
Disclaimer
The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.