How Hedera reacted to the Personal Consumption Expenditures on 26 May 2023

The short answer

A strong reaction. In the 15 minutes after the figure came out, Hedera's price swung 2.02 times as much as in a normal 15 minutes that day. For a PCE release, 1.51 times is usual. An hour later the price was 0.20% lower.

2.02x

Strong

Trading (volume ratio)
4.47x
usual for PCE: 1.80x
Price at 8:30 AM
$0.051200
15 minutes later
−0.20%
One hour later
−0.20%
range 0.78%, hour before 0.59%
HBAR/USDT, 10 minutes candles around the release, 8:30 AM America/New York

The dashed orange line is the release. Chart data from Binance.

Open
0.050500
Close
0.051900
24h change
2.70%
24h high
0.052200
24h low
0.050200
24h volume
47.663M HBAR

Measured by Clometrix

Hedera's volatility ratio was 2.02x, against 1.51x for a typical PCE release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 4.47x, against a typical 1.80x. That is a strong reaction by this release's own standard. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How Hedera moved

Hedera was at $0.051200 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.2% lower, and an hour later 0.2% lower. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 0.78% of its price, against 0.59% in the hour before.

The release

Released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis on 26 May 2023 at 8:30 AM EDT. The Personal Consumption Expenditures came in at 0.3% for April 2023, against 0.1% in March 2023. Prices are rising faster than before.

It arrived at the same moment as Durable Goods Orders, Durable Goods Orders Excluding Transportation, Personal Income and Outlays and Core Personal Consumption Expenditures, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

What made it matter

Since 2021, PCE releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Hedera about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.41x across 18, against 1.56x across 51. This one was not within two weeks of a Fed decision. Its own ratio of 2.02x compares with 1.56x for those, so it moved the price more than its circumstances alone would suggest.

Its record

Across 69 PCE releases since 2021, Hedera's median volatility ratio is 1.51x.

How it compares

Across 69 PCE releases since 2021, Hedera's usual price swing is 1.51x. This one was 1.34 times the usual.

MutedOrdinaryStrongExceptional

Thin line: PCE's usual, 1.51x. Thick line: this release, 2.02x.

Minute by minute

Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.

After High Low Close Change Range Range before Volume
1 minute 0.0513 0.0511 0.0511 -0.20% 0.39% 0.00% 736,793 HBAR
5 minutes 0.0513 0.0509 0.0511 -0.20% 0.78% 0.20% 1.021M HBAR
10 minutes 0.0513 0.0509 0.051 -0.39% 0.78% 0.20% 1.396M HBAR
15 minutes 0.0513 0.0509 0.0511 -0.20% 0.78% 0.20% 1.526M HBAR
30 minutes 0.0513 0.0509 0.051 -0.39% 0.78% 0.20% 2.14M HBAR
1 hour 0.0513 0.0509 0.0511 -0.20% 0.78% 0.58% 2.966M HBAR
2 hours 0.0513 0.0509 0.0512 0.00% 0.78% 0.58% 5.521M HBAR
4 hours 0.0515 0.0509 0.0512 0.00% 1.17% 0.78% 9.505M HBAR
6 hours 0.0515 0.0509 0.0514 0.39% 1.17% 1.56% 11.799M HBAR
8 hours 0.0515 0.0509 0.0512 0.39% 1.17% 1.76% 14.514M HBAR
12 hours 0.0522 0.0509 0.0519 1.35% 2.49% 2.14% 25.619M HBAR

Every coin at this release

Coin Price swing Usual for PCE Reaction
Bitcoin 4.76x 2.06x Exceptional
Ethereum 5.38x 1.79x Exceptional
XRP 3.21x 1.70x Strong
BNB 3.00x 1.78x Strong
Solana 3.42x 1.58x Exceptional
Dogecoin 3.92x 1.51x Exceptional
TRON 2.77x 1.42x Strong
Cardano 3.45x 1.88x Strong
Chainlink 6.01x 1.61x Exceptional
Sui 2.89x 1.52x Strong
Bitcoin Cash 3.50x 1.67x Exceptional
Hedera 2.02x 1.48x Strong
Avalanche 2.52x 1.55x Strong
Litecoin 2.93x 1.64x Strong
Shiba Inu 2.36x 1.74x Strong
Uniswap 3.01x 1.48x Exceptional
Polkadot 3.01x 1.49x Exceptional
Aave 2.51x 1.57x Strong
NEAR Protocol 1.02x 1.37x Quiet
Aptos 3.97x 1.70x Exceptional
Internet Computer 2.54x 1.50x Strong
POL (prev. MATIC) 6.32x 1.56x Exceptional
Filecoin 4.02x 1.50x Exceptional

What is the Personal Consumption Expenditures?

Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) is a measure of the prices people in the United States pay for goods and services. PCE accounts for about two-thirds of domestic spending and is a significant driver of gross domestic product (GDP). An estimated total of personal consumption expenditures (PCE) is compiled by the Bureau of Economic Analysis as one way to measure and track changes in the prices of consumer goods over time.

Every PCE release for Hedera

Questions about this page

Is 2.02x a lot?

For a PCE release it is strong: the usual is 1.51x. Each report has its own usual size, and its releases show it.

Will the next PCE do the same?

Nobody can say. A forecast shows the range Hedera moved in after past PCE releases, so you can plan for the likely size of the move.

More questions · Glossary

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.