How Internet Computer reacted to the Personal Consumption Expenditures on 25 June 2026

The short answer

An exceptional reaction. In the 15 minutes after the figure came out, Internet Computer's price swung 3.91 times as much as in a normal 15 minutes that day. For a PCE release, 1.50 times is usual. An hour later the price was 1.36% higher.

3.91x

Exceptional

Trading (volume ratio)
4.80x
usual for PCE: 1.96x
Price at 8:30 AM
$2.210
15 minutes later
+0.90%
One hour later
+1.36%
range 1.81%, hour before 1.36%
ICP/USDT, 30 minutes candles around the release, 8:30 AM America/New York

The dashed orange line is the release. Chart data from Binance.

Open
2.190
Close
2.180
24h change
-0.46%
24h high
2.290
24h low
2.070
24h volume
3.154M ICP

Measured by Clometrix

Internet Computer's volatility ratio was 3.91x, against 1.50x for a typical PCE release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 4.80x, against a typical 1.96x. That is more than twice what this release usually does. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How Internet Computer moved

Internet Computer was at $2.210 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.9% higher, and an hour later 1.36% higher. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 1.81% of its price, against 1.36% in the hour before.

The release

Released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis on 25 June 2026 at 8:30 AM EDT. The Personal Consumption Expenditures came in at 0.4% for May 2026, against 0.4% in April 2026. Prices are rising at the same pace as before.

It arrived at the same moment as Durable Goods Orders, Durable Goods Orders Excluding Transportation, Personal Income and Outlays, Core Personal Consumption Expenditures, Initial Jobless Claims, Continued Jobless Claims and Gross Domestic Product Report, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

What made it matter

Since 2021, PCE releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Internet Computer less than those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.38x across 18, against 1.71x across 48. This one was not within two weeks of a Fed decision. Its own ratio of 3.91x compares with 1.71x for those, so it moved the price more than its circumstances alone would suggest.

Its record

Across 66 PCE releases since 2021, Internet Computer's median volatility ratio is 1.50x.

How it compares

Across 66 PCE releases since 2021, Internet Computer's usual price swing is 1.50x. This one was 2.60 times the usual.

MutedOrdinaryStrongExceptional

Thin line: PCE's usual, 1.50x. Thick line: this release, 3.91x.

Minute by minute

Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.

After High Low Close Change Range Range before Volume
1 minute 2.25 2.21 2.24 1.34% 1.78% 0.45% 26,770 ICP
5 minutes 2.25 2.21 2.23 0.90% 1.78% 0.45% 70,482 ICP
10 minutes 2.25 2.21 2.23 0.90% 1.78% 0.45% 80,620 ICP
15 minutes 2.25 2.21 2.23 0.90% 1.78% 0.90% 86,396 ICP
30 minutes 2.25 2.21 2.23 0.90% 1.78% 1.34% 111,795 ICP
1 hour 2.25 2.21 2.24 1.34% 1.78% 1.34% 151,771 ICP
2 hours 2.25 2.07 2.14 -3.27% 8.00% 1.78% 772,478 ICP
4 hours 2.25 2.07 2.19 -0.91% 8.00% 2.64% 1.134M ICP
6 hours 2.25 2.07 2.17 -1.84% 8.00% 3.07% 1.351M ICP
8 hours 2.27 2.07 2.19 -3.65% 8.81% 4.80% 1.482M ICP
12 hours 2.25 2.07 2.18 -1.38% 8.00% 4.80% 2.072M ICP

Every coin at this release

Coin Price swing Usual for PCE Reaction
Bitcoin 3.57x 2.06x Strong
Ethereum 3.66x 1.79x Exceptional
XRP 1.01x 1.70x Quiet
BNB 3.16x 1.78x Strong
Solana 3.15x 1.58x Strong
Dogecoin 3.32x 1.51x Exceptional
TRON 1.75x 1.42x Ordinary
Cardano 3.16x 1.88x Strong
Chainlink 3.69x 1.61x Exceptional
Sui 3.44x 1.52x Exceptional
Bitcoin Cash 2.38x 1.67x Strong
Hedera 3.30x 1.48x Exceptional
Avalanche 3.19x 1.55x Exceptional
Litecoin 3.24x 1.64x Strong
Gram 0.99x 1.29x Quiet
Shiba Inu 2.93x 1.74x Strong
Uniswap 2.01x 1.48x Strong
Polkadot 3.27x 1.49x Exceptional
Aave 1.57x 1.57x Ordinary
Bittensor 3.14x 1.68x Strong
NEAR Protocol 2.94x 1.37x Exceptional
Aptos 3.49x 1.70x Exceptional
Internet Computer 3.91x 1.50x Exceptional
POL (prev. MATIC) 2.79x 1.56x Strong
Filecoin 3.20x 1.50x Exceptional

What is the Personal Consumption Expenditures?

Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) is a measure of the prices people in the United States pay for goods and services. PCE accounts for about two-thirds of domestic spending and is a significant driver of gross domestic product (GDP). An estimated total of personal consumption expenditures (PCE) is compiled by the Bureau of Economic Analysis as one way to measure and track changes in the prices of consumer goods over time.

Every PCE release for Internet Computer

Questions about this page

Is 3.91x a lot?

For a PCE release it is exceptional: the usual is 1.50x. Each report has its own usual size, and its releases show it.

Will the next PCE do the same?

Nobody can say. A forecast shows the range Internet Computer moved in after past PCE releases, so you can plan for the likely size of the move.

More questions ยท Glossary

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.