BTC Volatility Analysis for International Imports, 6th March 2020

Data Analysis

The release

Released by the Bureau of Census, Bureau of Economic Analysis on 6 March 2020 at 8:30 AM EST. The International Imports in Goods and Services fell to $252.4B for January 2020, from $257B in December 2019.

It arrived at the same moment as International Trade Balance in Goods and Services, International Exports in Goods and Services, Non-Farm Payrolls, Non-Farm Private Payrolls and Unemployment Rate, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

Measured by Clometrix

Bitcoin's volatility ratio was 0.90x, against 1.10x for a typical International Imports release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 1.22x, against a typical 1.22x. Under 1.5x is not a reaction at all: the market barely noticed this release. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How Bitcoin moved

Bitcoin was at $9,099.04 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.13% lower, and an hour later 0.16% lower. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 0.69% of its price, against 0.45% in the hour before.

What made it matter

Since 2021, International Imports releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Bitcoin less than those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 0.97x across 23, against 1.25x across 47. This one came out 9 days before the Federal Reserve's 15 March rate decision. Its own ratio of 0.90x compares with 0.97x for those, about what its circumstances would suggest.

About International Imports in Goods and Services

International Imports measures economic transactions between a nation and its trading partners, showing the amount of a country's imports for a given period. The BEA and Census Bureau reports on the U.S. balance of payments (BOP), covering goods and services that move in to the country. Economists use this information to gauge the relative strength of a country's economy.

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.

BTC-USDT

Bitcoin

Open

9,030.78

Close

9,102.49

24h Change

71.71 (0.79%)

24h High

9,170.00

24h Low

9,000.00

24h Volume

42,182 BTC

US International Imports in Goods and Services

Bureau of Census, Bureau of Economic Analysis

6th March, 2020, 8:30AM Timezone: America/New York

Chart Data from Binance

Observations

Time Open High Low Close Change Amplitude Volume
 
1 Minute
Before9101.579102.829095.999099.04-0.03%0.08%29 BTC
During9099.049099.049090.519095.40-0.04%0.09%25 BTC
 
5 Minutes
Before9091.559103.739089.899099.040.08%0.15%133 BTC
During9099.049104.799090.109102.190.03%0.16%193 BTC
 
10 Minutes
Before9091.059103.739080.009099.040.09%0.26%472 BTC
During9099.049104.799089.199090.61-0.09%0.17%323 BTC
 
15 Minutes
Before9100.879105.319080.009099.04-0.02%0.28%580 BTC
During9099.049104.799084.289087.10-0.13%0.23%481 BTC
 
30 Minutes
Before9109.539121.139080.009099.04-0.12%0.45%1,026 BTC
During9099.049104.799042.009060.87-0.42%0.69%1,473 BTC
 
1 Hour
Before9100.449121.139080.009099.04-0.02%0.45%2,057 BTC
During9099.049104.799042.009084.43-0.16%0.69%2,443 BTC
 
2 Hours
Before9133.189170.009080.009099.04-0.38%0.98%4,692 BTC
During9099.049104.799042.009054.29-0.49%0.69%4,090 BTC
 
4 Hours
Before9103.029170.009080.009099.04-0.04%0.98%9,388 BTC
During9099.049104.799000.009075.65-0.26%1.15%9,451 BTC
 
6 Hours
Before9112.799170.009070.009099.04-0.15%1.09%13,752 BTC
During9099.049104.799000.009089.71-0.10%1.15%11,846 BTC
 
8 Hours
Before9030.789138.319004.139103.330.80%1.47%13,522 BTC
During9103.029170.009000.009075.65-0.30%1.85%18,840 BTC
 
12 Hours
Before9030.789170.009004.139099.040.75%1.81%22,910 BTC
During9099.049143.559000.009102.490.04%1.57%19,272 BTC

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