How XRP reacted to Initial Jobless Claims on 25 March 2021

The short answer

A strong reaction. In the 15 minutes after the figure came out, XRP's price swung 2.32 times as much as in a normal 15 minutes that day. For an Initial Claims release, 1.18 times is usual. An hour later the price was 1.96% higher.

2.32x

Strong

Trading (volume ratio)
3.70x
usual for Initial Claims: 1.54x
Price at 8:30 AM
$0.4818
15 minutes later
+1.36%
One hour later
+1.96%
range 3.31%, hour before 6.88%
XRP/USDT, 30 minutes candles around the release, 8:30 AM America/New York

The dashed orange line is the release. Chart data from Binance.

Open
0.4887
Close
0.5230
24h change
6.55%
24h high
0.5284
24h low
0.4540
24h volume
902.762M XRP

Measured by Clometrix

XRP's volatility ratio was 2.32x, against 1.18x for a typical Initial Claims release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 3.70x, against a typical 1.54x. That is a strong reaction by this release's own standard. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How XRP moved

XRP was at $0.4818 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 1.36% higher, and an hour later 1.96% higher. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 3.31% of its price, against 6.88% in the hour before.

The release

Released by the Department of Labor on 25 March 2021 at 8:30 AM EDT. Initial Jobless Claims fell to 627K for the week ending 20th Mar, from 699K in the week ending 13th Mar.

It arrived at the same moment as Gross Domestic Product Report and Continued Jobless Claims, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

What made it matter

Since 2021, Initial Claims releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved XRP about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.14x across 89, against 1.21x across 198. This one was not within two weeks of a Fed decision. Its own ratio of 2.32x compares with 1.21x for those, so it moved the price more than its circumstances alone would suggest.

Its record

Across 287 Initial Claims releases since 2021, XRP's median volatility ratio is 1.18x.

How it compares

Across 287 Initial Claims releases since 2021, XRP's usual price swing is 1.18x. This one was 1.96 times the usual.

MutedOrdinaryStrongExceptional

Thin line: Initial Claims's usual, 1.18x. Thick line: this release, 2.32x.

Minute by minute

Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.

After High Low Close Change Range Range before Volume
1 minute 0.48475 0.47912 0.47993 -0.40% 1.16% 0.93% 1.976M XRP
5 minutes 0.487 0.47912 0.4828 0.20% 1.62% 2.60% 11.967M XRP
10 minutes 0.487 0.47889 0.48239 0.12% 1.67% 3.03% 20.674M XRP
15 minutes 0.49192 0.47889 0.48838 1.34% 2.65% 3.15% 27.944M XRP
30 minutes 0.49444 0.47889 0.49011 1.69% 3.14% 5.03% 42.437M XRP
1 hour 0.49484 0.47889 0.49128 1.92% 3.22% 6.53% 70.242M XRP
2 hours 0.501 0.47889 0.49677 3.01% 4.41% 7.09% 112.666M XRP
4 hours 0.501 0.47889 0.48729 1.12% 4.41% 7.55% 174.528M XRP
6 hours 0.50544 0.47889 0.50517 4.62% 5.25% 7.55% 229.717M XRP
8 hours 0.51351 0.47476 0.48729 -1.19% 7.55% 9.73% 359.491M XRP
12 hours 0.5284 0.47889 0.52299 7.87% 9.37% 11.59% 411.063M XRP

Every coin at this release

Coin Price swing Usual for Initial Claims Reaction
Bitcoin 2.21x 1.50x Strong
Ethereum 2.08x 1.46x Strong
XRP 2.32x 1.18x Strong
BNB 2.71x 1.42x Strong
Solana 2.97x 1.38x Exceptional
Dogecoin 1.16x 1.38x Quiet
TRON 2.02x 1.33x Strong
Cardano 1.02x 1.35x Quiet
Chainlink 2.91x 1.43x Exceptional
Bitcoin Cash 2.05x 1.34x Strong
Hedera 2.18x 1.32x Strong
Avalanche 1.54x 1.42x Ordinary
Litecoin 1.93x 1.39x Strong
Uniswap 1.96x 1.34x Strong
Polkadot 2.06x 1.32x Strong
Aave 1.74x 1.38x Ordinary
NEAR Protocol 2.03x 1.24x Strong
POL (prev. MATIC) 2.58x 1.40x Strong
Filecoin 3.11x 1.27x Exceptional

What is Initial Jobless Claims?

The weekly claims report is released Thursdays at 8:30 a.m. ET by the U.S. Department of Labor (DOL). Initial claims are new jobless claims filed by U.S. workers seeking unemployment compensation, included in the unemployment insurance weekly claims report. The report, published since 1967, includes a separate count of workers receiving unemployment insurance benefits, known as continuing claims.

Every Initial Claims release for XRP

Questions about this page

Is 2.32x a lot?

For an Initial Claims release it is strong: the usual is 1.18x. Each report has its own usual size, and its releases show it.

Will the next Initial Claims do the same?

Nobody can say. A forecast shows the range XRP moved in after past Initial Claims releases, so you can plan for the likely size of the move.

More questions ยท Glossary

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.