How POL (prev. MATIC) reacted to Initial Jobless Claims on 13 April 2023

The short answer

POL (prev. MATIC) was at $1.1300 when the figure came out, and an hour later it was 0.88% higher. The size of the swing against a normal quarter hour has not been measured for this release.

Trading (volume ratio)
3.84x
usual for Initial Claims: 1.56x
Price at 8:30 AM
$1.1300
15 minutes later
0.00%
One hour later
+0.88%
range 0.88%, hour before 0.00%
POL/USDT, 30 minutes candles around the release, 8:30 AM America/New York

The dashed orange line is the release. Chart data from Binance.

Open
1.1000
Close
1.1400
24h change
3.51%
24h high
1.1400
24h low
1.1000
24h volume
47.792M POL

The release

Released by the Department of Labor on 13 April 2023 at 8:30 AM EDT. Initial Jobless Claims rose to 219K for the week ending 8th Apr, from 217K in the week ending 1st Apr.

It arrived at the same moment as Producer Price Index, Core Producer Price Index and Continued Jobless Claims, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

How POL (prev. MATIC) moved

POL (prev. MATIC) was at $1.1300 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was unchanged, and an hour later 0.88% higher. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 0.88% of its price, against 0% in the hour before.

Measured by Clometrix

POL (prev. MATIC)'s volume ratio was 3.84x, against a typical 1.56x. Its volatility ratio could not be measured: the price barely moved through the rest of the day, so there is no ordinary quarter hour to compare against. The ratio compares the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change.

What made it matter

Since 2021, Initial Claims releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved POL (prev. MATIC) about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.49x across 90, against 1.39x across 201. This one was not within two weeks of a Fed decision.

Its record

Across 291 Initial Claims releases since 2021, POL (prev. MATIC)'s median volatility ratio is 1.42x.

Minute by minute

Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.

After High Low Close Change Range Range before Volume
1 minute 1.13 1.13 1.13 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 292,627 POL
5 minutes 1.13 1.13 1.13 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 701,867 POL
10 minutes 1.13 1.13 1.13 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 1.025M POL
15 minutes 1.13 1.13 1.13 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 1.52M POL
30 minutes 1.14 1.13 1.14 0.88% 0.88% 0.00% 2.404M POL
1 hour 1.14 1.13 1.14 0.88% 0.88% 0.00% 3.795M POL
2 hours 1.14 1.13 1.13 0.00% 0.88% 0.00% 6.049M POL
4 hours 1.14 1.13 1.13 0.00% 0.88% 1.75% 11.211M POL
6 hours 1.14 1.13 1.13 0.00% 0.88% 2.63% 14.463M POL
8 hours 1.14 1.12 1.13 0.88% 1.75% 1.79% 24.46M POL
12 hours 1.14 1.13 1.14 0.88% 0.88% 3.51% 24.674M POL

Every coin at this release

Coin Price swing Usual for Initial Claims Reaction
Bitcoin 2.58x 1.52x Strong
Ethereum 3.19x 1.47x Exceptional
XRP 2.09x 1.18x Strong
BNB 2.36x 1.42x Strong
Solana 2.19x 1.39x Strong
Dogecoin 2.54x 1.39x Strong
TRON 2.16x 1.33x Strong
Cardano 2.14x 1.35x Strong
Chainlink 2.45x 1.43x Strong
Bitcoin Cash 1.67x 1.34x Ordinary
Hedera 1.95x 1.32x Strong
Avalanche 1.71x 1.42x Ordinary
Litecoin 2.72x 1.38x Strong
Shiba Inu 1.99x 1.34x Strong
Uniswap 2.55x 1.35x Strong
Polkadot 1.99x 1.31x Strong
Aave 1.98x 1.38x Strong
NEAR Protocol 2.99x 1.24x Exceptional
Aptos 1.67x 1.41x Ordinary
Internet Computer 1.50x 1.46x Quiet
POL (prev. MATIC) Not measured 1.42x -
Filecoin 1.96x 1.27x Strong

What is Initial Jobless Claims?

The weekly claims report is released Thursdays at 8:30 a.m. ET by the U.S. Department of Labor (DOL). Initial claims are new jobless claims filed by U.S. workers seeking unemployment compensation, included in the unemployment insurance weekly claims report. The report, published since 1967, includes a separate count of workers receiving unemployment insurance benefits, known as continuing claims.

Every Initial Claims release for POL (prev. MATIC)

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.