How POL (prev. MATIC) reacted to Initial Jobless Claims on 20 April 2023

The short answer

POL (prev. MATIC) was at $1.0800 when the figure came out, and an hour later it was unchanged. The size of the swing against a normal quarter hour has not been measured for this release.

Trading (volume ratio)
1.59x
usual for Initial Claims: 1.56x
Price at 8:30 AM
$1.0800
15 minutes later
+0.93%
One hour later
0.00%
range 0.93%, hour before 1.85%
POL/USDT, 1 minute candles around the release, 8:30 AM America/New York

The dashed orange line is the release. Chart data from Binance.

Open
1.0900
Close
1.0500
24h change
-3.81%
24h high
1.1000
24h low
1.0400
24h volume
75.837M POL

The release

Released by the Department of Labor on 20 April 2023 at 8:30 AM EDT. Initial Jobless Claims rose to 223K for the week ending 15th Apr, from 219K in the week ending 8th Apr.

It arrived at the same moment as Continued Jobless Claims, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

How POL (prev. MATIC) moved

POL (prev. MATIC) was at $1.0800 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.93% higher, and an hour later unchanged. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 0.93% of its price, against 1.85% in the hour before.

Measured by Clometrix

POL (prev. MATIC)'s volume ratio was 1.59x, against a typical 1.56x. Its volatility ratio could not be measured: the price barely moved through the rest of the day, so there is no ordinary quarter hour to compare against. The ratio compares the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change.

What made it matter

Since 2021, Initial Claims releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved POL (prev. MATIC) about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.46x across 92, against 1.39x across 206. This one came out 13 days before the Federal Reserve's 3 May rate decision.

Its record

Across 298 Initial Claims releases since 2021, POL (prev. MATIC)'s median volatility ratio is 1.40x.

Minute by minute

Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.

After High Low Close Change Range Range before Volume
1 minute 1.09 1.08 1.09 0.92% 0.92% 0.00% 250,747 POL
5 minutes 1.09 1.08 1.09 0.92% 0.92% 0.92% 539,378 POL
10 minutes 1.09 1.08 1.09 0.92% 0.92% 0.92% 811,808 POL
15 minutes 1.09 1.08 1.09 0.92% 0.92% 1.83% 1.004M POL
30 minutes 1.09 1.08 1.09 0.92% 0.92% 1.83% 1.883M POL
1 hour 1.09 1.08 1.08 0.00% 0.92% 1.83% 3.001M POL
2 hours 1.09 1.08 1.08 0.00% 0.92% 1.83% 5.614M POL
4 hours 1.09 1.04 1.06 -1.89% 4.59% 2.73% 17.385M POL
6 hours 1.09 1.04 1.04 -3.85% 4.59% 2.73% 30.628M POL
8 hours 1.10 1.04 1.06 -2.83% 5.45% 1.82% 27.627M POL
12 hours 1.09 1.04 1.05 -2.86% 4.59% 2.73% 47.435M POL

Every coin at this release

Coin Price swing Usual for Initial Claims Reaction
Bitcoin 2.06x 1.50x Strong
Ethereum 2.47x 1.46x Strong
XRP 1.09x 1.18x Quiet
BNB 1.52x 1.42x Ordinary
Solana 1.40x 1.38x Quiet
Dogecoin 0.85x 1.38x Quiet
TRON 1.16x 1.33x Quiet
Cardano 0.95x 1.35x Quiet
Chainlink 2.17x 1.43x Strong
Bitcoin Cash 1.19x 1.34x Quiet
Hedera 0.97x 1.32x Quiet
Avalanche 1.83x 1.42x Ordinary
Litecoin 1.70x 1.39x Ordinary
Shiba Inu 0.83x 1.33x Quiet
Uniswap 1.47x 1.34x Quiet
Polkadot 1.00x 1.32x Quiet
Aave 1.00x 1.38x Quiet
NEAR Protocol 0.50x 1.24x Quiet
Aptos 1.78x 1.41x Ordinary
Internet Computer 0.99x 1.45x Quiet
POL (prev. MATIC) Not measured 1.40x -
Filecoin 0.99x 1.27x Quiet

What is Initial Jobless Claims?

The weekly claims report is released Thursdays at 8:30 a.m. ET by the U.S. Department of Labor (DOL). Initial claims are new jobless claims filed by U.S. workers seeking unemployment compensation, included in the unemployment insurance weekly claims report. The report, published since 1967, includes a separate count of workers receiving unemployment insurance benefits, known as continuing claims.

Every Initial Claims release for POL (prev. MATIC)

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.