How Shiba Inu reacted to Initial Jobless Claims on 16 February 2023

The short answer

An exceptional reaction. In the 15 minutes after the figure came out, Shiba Inu's price swung 2.81 times as much as in a normal 15 minutes that day. For an Initial Claims release, 1.34 times is usual. An hour later the price was 1.92% lower.

2.81x

Exceptional

Trading (volume ratio)
4.63x
usual for Initial Claims: 1.71x
Price at 8:30 AM
$0.000014
15 minutes later
−0.81%
One hour later
−1.92%
range 2.80%, hour before 1.11%
SHIB/USDT, 15 minutes candles around the release, 8:30 AM America/New York

The dashed orange line is the release. Chart data from Binance.

Open
0.000014
Close
0.000013
24h change
-6.20%
24h high
0.000014
24h low
0.000013
24h volume
9.67T SHIB

Measured by Clometrix

Shiba Inu's volatility ratio was 2.81x, against 1.34x for a typical Initial Claims release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 4.63x, against a typical 1.71x. That is more than twice what this release usually does. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How Shiba Inu moved

Shiba Inu was at $0.000014 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.81% lower, and an hour later 1.92% lower. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 2.8% of its price, against 1.11% in the hour before.

The release

Released by the Department of Labor on 16 February 2023 at 8:30 AM EST. Initial Jobless Claims rose to 219K for the week ending 11th Feb, from 215K in the week ending 4th Feb.

It arrived at the same moment as Producer Price Index, Core Producer Price Index and Continued Jobless Claims, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

What made it matter

Since 2021, Initial Claims releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Shiba Inu more than those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.50x across 86, against 1.30x across 193. This one was not within two weeks of a Fed decision. Its own ratio of 2.81x compares with 1.30x for those, so it moved the price more than its circumstances alone would suggest.

Its record

Across 279 Initial Claims releases since 2021, Shiba Inu's median volatility ratio is 1.34x.

How it compares

Across 279 Initial Claims releases since 2021, Shiba Inu's usual price swing is 1.34x. This one was 2.10 times the usual.

MutedOrdinaryStrongExceptional

Thin line: Initial Claims's usual, 1.34x. Thick line: this release, 2.81x.

Minute by minute

Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.

After High Low Close Change Range Range before Volume
1 minute 0.00001358 0.00001352 0.00001356 -0.07% 0.44% 0.37% 29.812B SHIB
5 minutes 0.00001358 0.00001338 0.00001357 0.00% 1.47% 0.37% 176.822B SHIB
10 minutes 0.00001363 0.00001338 0.00001355 -0.15% 1.83% 0.44% 242.982B SHIB
15 minutes 0.00001363 0.00001338 0.00001346 -0.82% 1.83% 0.66% 296.052B SHIB
30 minutes 0.00001363 0.00001327 0.00001333 -1.80% 2.64% 1.10% 553.243B SHIB
1 hour 0.00001363 0.00001325 0.00001331 -1.95% 2.79% 1.10% 788.037B SHIB
2 hours 0.00001363 0.00001325 0.00001342 -1.12% 2.79% 1.53% 1.723T SHIB
4 hours 0.00001383 0.00001325 0.00001366 0.66% 4.19% 2.25% 3.237T SHIB
6 hours 0.00001383 0.00001325 0.00001354 -0.22% 4.19% 2.25% 3.664T SHIB
8 hours 0.00001383 0.00001325 0.00001366 -0.29% 4.19% 2.72% 3.984T SHIB
12 hours 0.00001383 0.00001256 0.0000129 -5.19% 9.18% 3.57% 6.866T SHIB

Every coin at this release

Coin Price swing Usual for Initial Claims Reaction
Bitcoin 2.58x 1.52x Strong
Ethereum 2.90x 1.47x Strong
XRP 2.17x 1.18x Strong
BNB 1.57x 1.42x Ordinary
Solana 3.20x 1.39x Exceptional
Dogecoin 3.73x 1.39x Exceptional
TRON 2.22x 1.33x Strong
Cardano 2.51x 1.35x Strong
Chainlink 1.77x 1.43x Ordinary
Bitcoin Cash 2.01x 1.34x Strong
Hedera 1.61x 1.32x Ordinary
Avalanche 2.40x 1.42x Strong
Litecoin 2.07x 1.38x Strong
Shiba Inu 2.81x 1.34x Exceptional
Uniswap 2.02x 1.35x Strong
Polkadot 2.62x 1.31x Strong
Aave 1.86x 1.38x Strong
NEAR Protocol 2.01x 1.24x Strong
Aptos 2.77x 1.41x Strong
Internet Computer 1.76x 1.46x Ordinary
POL (prev. MATIC) 2.98x 1.42x Exceptional
Filecoin 1.74x 1.27x Strong

What is Initial Jobless Claims?

The weekly claims report is released Thursdays at 8:30 a.m. ET by the U.S. Department of Labor (DOL). Initial claims are new jobless claims filed by U.S. workers seeking unemployment compensation, included in the unemployment insurance weekly claims report. The report, published since 1967, includes a separate count of workers receiving unemployment insurance benefits, known as continuing claims.

Every Initial Claims release for Shiba Inu

Questions about this page

Is 2.81x a lot?

For an Initial Claims release it is exceptional: the usual is 1.34x. Each report has its own usual size, and its releases show it.

Will the next Initial Claims do the same?

Nobody can say. A forecast shows the range Shiba Inu moved in after past Initial Claims releases, so you can plan for the likely size of the move.

Do weekly jobless claims move crypto?

Weekly jobless claims have a median Bitcoin price swing of 1.52x since 2021, which places Initial Claims and Continued Claims in Tier 3. They are released at 8:30 a.m. ET. When a claims release falls on the same minute as a bigger report, such as CPI, the reaction belongs to both. Clometrix measures 296 claims releases in the record since 2021.

More questions · Glossary

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.