How Hedera reacted to Initial Jobless Claims on 16 February 2023

The short answer

An ordinary reaction. In the 15 minutes after the figure came out, Hedera's price swung 1.61 times as much as in a normal 15 minutes that day. For an Initial Claims release, 1.32 times is usual. An hour later the price was 1.34% lower.

1.61x

Ordinary

Trading (volume ratio)
2.46x
usual for Initial Claims: 1.56x
Price at 8:30 AM
$0.089500
15 minutes later
−0.56%
One hour later
−1.34%
range 2.35%, hour before 1.23%
HBAR/USDT, 1 minute candles around the release, 8:30 AM America/New York

The dashed orange line is the release. Chart data from Binance.

Open
0.091000
Close
0.085500
24h change
-6.43%
24h high
0.092700
24h low
0.083300
24h volume
252.409M HBAR

The release

Released by the Department of Labor on 16 February 2023 at 8:30 AM EST. Initial Jobless Claims rose to 219K for the week ending 11th Feb, from 215K in the week ending 4th Feb.

It arrived at the same moment as Producer Price Index, Core Producer Price Index and Continued Jobless Claims, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

How Hedera moved

Hedera was at $0.089500 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.56% lower, and an hour later 1.34% lower. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 2.35% of its price, against 1.23% in the hour before.

Measured by Clometrix

Hedera's volatility ratio was 1.61x, against 1.32x for a typical Initial Claims release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 2.46x, against a typical 1.56x. That is about what this release usually does. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

What made it matter

Since 2021, Initial Claims releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Hedera about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.37x across 94, against 1.31x across 209. This one was not within two weeks of a Fed decision. Its own ratio of 1.61x compares with 1.31x for those, so it moved the price more than its circumstances alone would suggest.

Its record

Across 303 Initial Claims releases since 2021, Hedera's median volatility ratio is 1.32x.

How it compares

Across 303 Initial Claims releases since 2021, Hedera's usual price swing is 1.32x. This one was 1.22 times the usual.

MutedOrdinaryStrongExceptional

Thin line: Initial Claims's usual, 1.32x. Thick line: this release, 1.61x.

Minute by minute

Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.

After High Low Close Change Range Range before Volume
1 minute 0.0895 0.0892 0.0894 -0.11% 0.34% 0.11% 495,332 HBAR
5 minutes 0.0896 0.0886 0.0895 0.00% 1.12% 0.45% 2.66M HBAR
10 minutes 0.0897 0.0886 0.0893 -0.22% 1.23% 0.56% 3.805M HBAR
15 minutes 0.0897 0.0886 0.089 -0.56% 1.23% 0.78% 4.637M HBAR
30 minutes 0.0897 0.0876 0.0883 -1.36% 2.34% 1.00% 13.143M HBAR
1 hour 0.0897 0.0876 0.0883 -1.36% 2.34% 1.22% 19.673M HBAR
2 hours 0.0899 0.0876 0.0892 -0.34% 2.56% 2.08% 29.776M HBAR
4 hours 0.091 0.0876 0.0895 0.00% 3.74% 3.04% 67.01M HBAR
6 hours 0.091 0.0876 0.0898 0.33% 3.74% 3.80% 78.173M HBAR
8 hours 0.0921 0.0876 0.0895 -0.67% 4.89% 4.53% 95.584M HBAR
12 hours 0.091 0.0833 0.0855 -4.68% 8.46% 4.53% 162.223M HBAR

Every coin at this release

Coin Price swing Usual for Initial Claims Reaction
Bitcoin 2.58x 1.50x Strong
Ethereum 2.90x 1.46x Strong
XRP 2.17x 1.18x Strong
BNB 1.57x 1.42x Ordinary
Solana 3.20x 1.38x Exceptional
Dogecoin 3.73x 1.38x Exceptional
TRON 2.22x 1.33x Strong
Cardano 2.51x 1.35x Strong
Chainlink 1.77x 1.43x Ordinary
Bitcoin Cash 2.01x 1.34x Strong
Hedera 1.61x 1.32x Ordinary
Avalanche 2.40x 1.42x Strong
Litecoin 2.07x 1.39x Strong
Shiba Inu 2.81x 1.33x Exceptional
Uniswap 2.02x 1.34x Strong
Polkadot 2.62x 1.32x Strong
Aave 1.86x 1.38x Strong
NEAR Protocol 2.01x 1.24x Strong
Aptos 2.77x 1.41x Strong
Internet Computer 1.76x 1.45x Ordinary
POL (prev. MATIC) 2.98x 1.40x Exceptional
Filecoin 1.74x 1.27x Strong

What is Initial Jobless Claims?

The weekly claims report is released Thursdays at 8:30 a.m. ET by the U.S. Department of Labor (DOL). Initial claims are new jobless claims filed by U.S. workers seeking unemployment compensation, included in the unemployment insurance weekly claims report. The report, published since 1967, includes a separate count of workers receiving unemployment insurance benefits, known as continuing claims.

Every Initial Claims release for Hedera

Questions about this page

Is 1.61x a lot?

For an Initial Claims release it is ordinary: the usual is 1.32x. Each report has its own usual size, and its releases show it.

Will the next Initial Claims do the same?

Nobody can say. A forecast shows the range Hedera moved in after past Initial Claims releases, so you can plan for the likely size of the move.

More questions · Glossary

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.