How Hedera reacted to Initial Jobless Claims on 18 March 2021

The short answer

Hardly a reaction. In the 15 minutes after the figure came out, Hedera's price swung 1.17 times as much as in a normal 15 minutes that day. For an Initial Claims release, 1.32 times is usual. An hour later the price was 0.10% higher.

1.17x

Quiet

Trading (volume ratio)
1.14x
usual for Initial Claims: 1.56x
Price at 8:30 AM
$0.349720
15 minutes later
+0.01%
One hour later
+0.10%
range 1.50%, hour before 2.73%
HBAR/USDT, 10 minutes candles around the release, 8:30 AM America/New York

The dashed orange line is the release. Chart data from Binance.

Open
0.355160
Close
0.333460
24h change
-6.51%
24h high
0.370000
24h low
0.329810
24h volume
165.518M HBAR

The release

Released by the Department of Labor on 18 March 2021 at 8:30 AM EDT. Initial Jobless Claims rose to 699K for the week ending 13th Mar, from 693K in the week ending 6th Mar.

It arrived at the same moment as Continued Jobless Claims, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

Measured by Clometrix

Hedera's volatility ratio was 1.17x, against 1.32x for a typical Initial Claims release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 1.14x, against a typical 1.56x. Under 1.5x is not a reaction at all: the market barely noticed this release. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How Hedera moved

Hedera was at $0.349720 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was unchanged, and an hour later 0.1% higher. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 1.5% of its price, against 2.73% in the hour before.

What made it matter

Since 2021, Initial Claims releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Hedera about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.37x across 94, against 1.31x across 209. This one came out the day after the Federal Reserve's 17 March rate decision. Its own ratio of 1.17x compares with 1.31x for those, about what its circumstances would suggest.

How it compares

Across 303 Initial Claims releases since 2021, Hedera's usual price swing is 1.32x. This one was 0.89 times the usual.

MutedOrdinaryStrongExceptional

Thin line: Initial Claims's usual, 1.32x. Thick line: this release, 1.17x. Under 1.5x counts as no reaction at all.

Minute by minute

Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.

After High Low Close Change Range Range before Volume
1 minute 0.35034 0.34812 0.34877 -0.27% 0.63% 0.35% 150,123 HBAR
5 minutes 0.35034 0.34552 0.34798 -0.50% 1.38% 0.55% 736,853 HBAR
10 minutes 0.35034 0.34552 0.34844 -0.37% 1.38% 2.08% 1.396M HBAR
15 minutes 0.35034 0.34552 0.34974 0.01% 1.38% 2.21% 1.607M HBAR
30 minutes 0.35034 0.34552 0.34844 -0.37% 1.38% 2.26% 2.552M HBAR
1 hour 0.35076 0.34552 0.35006 0.10% 1.49% 2.71% 4.775M HBAR
2 hours 0.35076 0.34448 0.34642 -0.95% 1.79% 3.68% 10.472M HBAR
4 hours 0.3545 0.34445 0.34885 -0.25% 2.83% 4.05% 30.426M HBAR
6 hours 0.3545 0.34445 0.34851 -0.35% 2.83% 7.30% 41.658M HBAR
8 hours 0.35749 0.343 0.34885 -1.43% 4.05% 5.67% 58.597M HBAR
12 hours 0.3545 0.32981 0.33346 -4.88% 6.96% 7.30% 89.899M HBAR

Every coin at this release

Coin Price swing Usual for Initial Claims Reaction
Bitcoin 1.23x 1.50x Quiet
Ethereum 1.37x 1.46x Quiet
XRP 2.75x 1.18x Exceptional
BNB 1.50x 1.42x Quiet
Solana 1.13x 1.38x Quiet
Dogecoin 1.39x 1.38x Quiet
TRON 1.67x 1.33x Ordinary
Cardano 2.00x 1.35x Strong
Chainlink 1.55x 1.43x Ordinary
Bitcoin Cash 1.48x 1.34x Quiet
Hedera 1.17x 1.32x Quiet
Avalanche 0.76x 1.42x Quiet
Litecoin 1.15x 1.39x Quiet
Uniswap 1.48x 1.34x Quiet
Polkadot 1.37x 1.32x Quiet
Aave 1.39x 1.38x Quiet
NEAR Protocol 1.77x 1.24x Strong
POL (prev. MATIC) 0.84x 1.40x Quiet
Filecoin 0.92x 1.27x Quiet

What is Initial Jobless Claims?

The weekly claims report is released Thursdays at 8:30 a.m. ET by the U.S. Department of Labor (DOL). Initial claims are new jobless claims filed by U.S. workers seeking unemployment compensation, included in the unemployment insurance weekly claims report. The report, published since 1967, includes a separate count of workers receiving unemployment insurance benefits, known as continuing claims.

Every Initial Claims release for Hedera

Questions about this page

Is 1.17x a lot?

No. Under 1.5x the market barely noticed the release.

Will the next Initial Claims do the same?

Nobody can say. A forecast shows the range Hedera moved in after past Initial Claims releases, so you can plan for the likely size of the move.

More questions ยท Glossary

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.