The release
Released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis on 29 October 2026 at 8:30 AM EDT. The Gross Domestic Product Report came in at 3.4% for 2026 3rd Quarter, against 2.2% in 2026 2nd Quarter. The economy's output is rising faster than before.
It arrived at the same moment as Personal Income and Outlays, Personal Consumption Expenditures, Core Personal Consumption Expenditures, Initial Jobless Claims and Continued Jobless Claims, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.
Measured by Clometrix
Bitcoin's volatility ratio was 1.24x, against 1.65x for a typical GDP Report release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 1.15x, against a typical 1.92x. Under 1.5x is not a reaction at all: the market barely noticed this release. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.
How Bitcoin moved
Bitcoin was at $80,124.00 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was unchanged, and an hour later 0.17% higher. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 0.36% of its price, against 0.26% in the hour before.
What made it matter
Since 2021, GDP Report releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Bitcoin more than those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 2.22x across 16, against 1.58x across 53. This one came out the day after the Federal Reserve's 28 October rate decision. Its own ratio of 1.24x compares with 1.58x for those, so it moved the price less than its circumstances would suggest.
How it compares
Across 69 GDP Report releases since 2021, Bitcoin's usual price swing is 1.65x. This one was 0.75 times the usual.
Thin line: GDP Report's usual, 1.65x. Thick line: this release, 1.24x. Under 1.5x counts as no reaction at all.
Minute by minute
Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.
| After | High | Low | Close | Change | Range | Range before | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 minute | 80268.20 | 80104.47 | 80154.01 | 0.04% | 0.20% | 0.05% | 39 BTC |
| 5 minutes | 80268.20 | 80026.56 | 80074.01 | -0.06% | 0.30% | 0.10% | 97 BTC |
| 10 minutes | 80268.20 | 80014.18 | 80159.96 | 0.04% | 0.32% | 0.10% | 144 BTC |
| 15 minutes | 80268.20 | 80014.18 | 80128.01 | 0.01% | 0.32% | 0.14% | 175 BTC |
| 30 minutes | 80268.20 | 80014.18 | 80058.01 | -0.08% | 0.32% | 0.15% | 247 BTC |
| 1 hour | 80300.00 | 80014.18 | 80258.01 | 0.17% | 0.36% | 0.26% | 536 BTC |
| 2 hours | 80510.01 | 79916.00 | 80427.21 | 0.38% | 0.74% | 0.39% | 1,426 BTC |
| 4 hours | 81971.00 | 79916.00 | 81423.98 | 1.60% | 2.51% | 0.63% | 4,613 BTC |
| 6 hours | 81971.00 | 79916.00 | 80784.00 | 0.82% | 2.51% | 0.68% | 5,903 BTC |
| 8 hours | 81971.00 | 79866.00 | 81423.98 | 1.68% | 2.57% | 1.86% | 6,220 BTC |
| 12 hours | 81971.00 | 76855.52 | 77020.22 | -4.03% | 6.24% | 1.86% | 20,196 BTC |
Every coin at this release
| Coin | Price swing | Usual for GDP Report | Reaction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 1.24x | 1.65x | Quiet |
| Ethereum | 1.46x | 1.74x | Quiet |
| XRP | 0.00x | 1.41x | Quiet |
| BNB | 0.88x | 1.64x | Quiet |
| Solana | 1.51x | 1.49x | Ordinary |
| Dogecoin | 1.28x | 1.47x | Quiet |
| TRON | 0.67x | 1.34x | Quiet |
| Cardano | 1.09x | 1.50x | Quiet |
| Chainlink | 1.31x | 1.68x | Quiet |
| Sui | 1.09x | 1.50x | Quiet |
| Bitcoin Cash | 0.89x | 1.59x | Quiet |
| Hedera | 1.16x | 1.37x | Quiet |
| Avalanche | 0.99x | 1.59x | Quiet |
| Litecoin | 1.10x | 1.51x | Quiet |
| Gram | 0.00x | 1.02x | Quiet |
| Shiba Inu | 0.99x | 1.48x | Quiet |
| Uniswap | 1.00x | 1.49x | Quiet |
| Polkadot | 1.14x | 1.49x | Quiet |
| Aave | 1.27x | 1.45x | Quiet |
| Bittensor | 1.02x | 1.43x | Quiet |
| NEAR Protocol | 1.25x | 1.38x | Quiet |
| Aptos | 1.76x | 1.67x | Ordinary |
| Internet Computer | 1.01x | 1.45x | Quiet |
| POL (prev. MATIC) | 1.29x | 1.61x | Quiet |
| Filecoin | 1.14x | 1.47x | Quiet |
What is the Gross Domestic Product Report?
The GDP report is one of the BEA's most crucial outputs. It tells us the monetary value of all the finished goods and services produced within a country's borders in a specific time period. GDP gives the public an indication of an economy's size. Moreover, when compared against prior periods, this data can reveal whether the economy is expanding (producing more goods and services) or contracting (registering declining output). The direction of GDP helps central banks determine whether it is necessary to intervene with monetary policy or not.Questions about this page
Is 1.24x a lot?
No. Under 1.5x the market barely noticed the release.
Will the next GDP Report do the same?
Nobody can say. A forecast shows the range Bitcoin moved in after past GDP Report releases, so you can plan for the likely size of the move.
Does GDP move crypto, and what are the advance, second and third estimates?
The GDP Report has a median Bitcoin price swing of 1.65x since 2021, which places it in Tier 3. The Bureau of Economic Analysis releases an advance estimate, then a second estimate and a third estimate in successive months. Clometrix measures each published release.
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The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.