How Dogecoin reacted to the Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision on 28 October 2026

The short answer

A muted reaction. In the 15 minutes after the figure came out, Dogecoin's price swung 2.54 times as much as in a normal 15 minutes that day. For a Fed Interest Rate release, 3.69 times is usual. An hour later the price was 0.42% higher.

2.54x

Muted

Trading (volume ratio)
7.76x
usual for Fed Interest Rate: 6.33x
Price at 2:00 PM
$0.079240
15 minutes later
−0.03%
One hour later
+0.42%
range 1.14%, hour before 0.81%
DOGE/USDT, 1 minute candles around the release, 2:00 PM America/New York

The dashed orange line is the release. Chart data from Binance.

Open
0.079570
Close
0.078630
24h change
-1.20%
24h high
0.080890
24h low
0.077420
24h volume
350.296M DOGE

The release

Released by the Federal Open Market Committee on 28 October 2026 at 2:00 PM EDT. The Federal Open Market Committee held its target range for the federal funds rate at 3.75–4.00%.

How Dogecoin moved

Dogecoin was at $0.079240 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was unchanged, and an hour later 0.42% higher. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 1.14% of its price, against 0.81% in the hour before.

Measured by Clometrix

Dogecoin's volatility ratio was 2.54x, against 3.69x for a typical Fed Interest Rate release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 7.76x, against a typical 6.33x. That is a muted reaction by this release's own standard. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

What made it matter

Since 2021, Fed decisions that changed the rate have moved Dogecoin more than those that held it: a median volatility ratio of 4.91x across 18, against 3.05x across 29. This one held it. Its own ratio of 2.54x compares with 3.05x for those, so it moved the price less than its circumstances would suggest.

Its record

Across 47 Fed Interest Rate releases since 2021, Dogecoin's median volatility ratio is 3.69x.

How it compares

Across 47 Fed Interest Rate releases since 2021, Dogecoin's usual price swing is 3.69x. This one was 0.69 times the usual.

MutedOrdinaryStrongExceptional

Thin line: Fed Interest Rate's usual, 3.69x. Thick line: this release, 2.54x.

Minute by minute

Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.

After High Low Close Change Range Range before Volume
1 minute 0.07958 0.07907 0.07918 -0.08% 0.64% 0.09% 10.896M DOGE
5 minutes 0.07973 0.07907 0.07942 0.23% 0.83% 0.30% 15.947M DOGE
10 minutes 0.07973 0.07907 0.07913 -0.14% 0.83% 0.31% 17.181M DOGE
15 minutes 0.07973 0.07907 0.07922 -0.03% 0.83% 0.39% 18.596M DOGE
30 minutes 0.07973 0.07897 0.07909 -0.19% 0.95% 0.77% 20.586M DOGE
1 hour 0.07983 0.07893 0.07957 0.41% 1.13% 0.81% 34.323M DOGE
2 hours 0.08023 0.07893 0.08021 1.21% 1.62% 0.81% 42.338M DOGE
4 hours 0.08089 0.07893 0.08026 1.27% 2.42% 1.12% 72.194M DOGE
6 hours 0.08089 0.07893 0.07977 0.66% 2.42% 1.97% 95.211M DOGE
8 hours 0.08089 0.07858 0.08026 1.51% 2.86% 2.55% 112.216M DOGE
12 hours 0.08089 0.07742 0.07863 -0.78% 4.29% 2.57% 173.77M DOGE

Every coin at this release

Coin Price swing Usual for Fed Interest Rate Reaction
Bitcoin 3.11x 4.24x Ordinary
Ethereum 2.39x 4.08x Muted
XRP Not measured 3.61x -
BNB 1.93x 3.05x Muted
Solana 2.91x 3.11x Ordinary
Dogecoin 2.54x 3.69x Muted
TRON 1.67x 2.50x Muted
Cardano 2.55x 3.31x Ordinary
Chainlink 2.44x 3.50x Muted
Sui 4.16x 2.91x Strong
Bitcoin Cash 3.18x 3.19x Ordinary
Hedera 2.93x 2.99x Ordinary
Avalanche 2.02x 3.47x Muted
Litecoin 2.41x 3.37x Ordinary
Gram 1.01x 2.75x Quiet
Shiba Inu 1.99x 3.45x Muted
Uniswap 2.53x 3.05x Ordinary
Polkadot 3.24x 3.16x Ordinary
Aave 3.44x 3.41x Ordinary
Bittensor 3.00x 2.94x Ordinary
NEAR Protocol 3.01x 3.33x Ordinary
Aptos 2.84x 2.93x Ordinary
Internet Computer 3.97x 3.24x Ordinary
POL (prev. MATIC) 2.84x 2.93x Ordinary
Filecoin 3.55x 4.03x Ordinary

What is the Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision?

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) has eight regularly scheduled meetings each year, but they can meet more often if the need should arise. The meetings are not held in public and are therefore the subject of much speculation on Wall Street, as analysts attempt to predict whether the Fed will tighten or loosen the money supply with a resulting increase or decrease in interest rates.

Every Fed Interest Rate release for Dogecoin

Questions about this page

Is 2.54x a lot?

For a Fed Interest Rate release it is muted: the usual is 3.69x. Each report has its own usual size, and its releases show it.

Will the next Fed Interest Rate do the same?

Nobody can say. A forecast shows the range Dogecoin moved in after past Fed Interest Rate releases, so you can plan for the likely size of the move.

Why does Bitcoin move when US economic data comes out?

Bitcoin often shows larger price swings in the minutes after major US economic reports. Those reports change expectations about interest rates, inflation and economic growth. Clometrix measures the size of the resulting price swings, not their direction. Tier 1 reports such as CPI, Core CPI and Core Inflation have a median Bitcoin price swing of 4.29x since 2021.

Which US economic reports move crypto the most?

The reports with the largest median Bitcoin price swings since 2021 are CPI, Core CPI and Core Inflation at 4.29x, the Fed Interest Rate at 4.24x, and Non-Farm Payrolls together with Non-Farm Private Payrolls and the Unemployment Rate at 3.20x. These are Tier 1. Clometrix sets tiers from the median Bitcoin price swing since 2021. Tier 1 means at least 3 times an ordinary 15 minutes.

Does Ethereum react to US data the same way Bitcoin does?

Ethereum's median price swings since 2021 are close to Bitcoin's for most reports. For CPI, Core CPI and Core Inflation the median is 4.37x for Ethereum and 4.29x for Bitcoin. For the Fed Interest Rate it is 4.08x versus 4.24x.

What time does the Fed announce its interest rate decision?

The Federal Reserve announces its interest rate decision at 2:00 p.m. ET. Clometrix measures the 15 minutes from that statement. The median Bitcoin price swing for the Fed Interest Rate since 2021 is 4.24x across 47 releases. Clometrix shows each release in the reader's own time zone.

Does Clometrix measure the Fed chair's press conference?

No. Clometrix measures the 15 minutes from the 2:00 p.m. statement. It does not measure the press conference separately. The Fed Interest Rate has a median Bitcoin price swing of 4.24x since 2021.

More questions · Glossary

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.