How NEAR Protocol reacted to Durable Goods Orders on 27 November 2024

The short answer

Hardly a reaction. In the 15 minutes after the figure came out, NEAR Protocol's price swung 1.13 times as much as in a normal 15 minutes that day. For a Durable Orders release, 1.29 times is usual. An hour later the price was 0.30% lower.

1.13x

Quiet

Trading (volume ratio)
0.77x
usual for Durable Orders: 1.25x
Price at 8:30 AM
$6.720
15 minutes later
−0.74%
One hour later
−0.30%
range 1.93%, hour before 1.64%
NEAR/USDT, 1 hour candles around the release, 8:30 AM America/New York

The dashed orange line is the release. Chart data from Binance.

Open
6.490
Close
6.850
24h change
5.26%
24h high
6.880
24h low
6.450
24h volume
18.328M NEAR

The release

Released by the Bureau of Census on 27 November 2024 at 8:30 AM EST. Durable Goods Orders came in at 0.3% for October 2024, against 0.9% in September 2024. Durable goods orders are still rising, but more slowly than before.

It arrived at the same moment as Durable Goods Orders Excluding Transportation, Gross Domestic Product Report, Initial Jobless Claims and Continued Jobless Claims, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

Measured by Clometrix

NEAR Protocol's volatility ratio was 1.13x, against 1.29x for a typical Durable Orders release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 0.77x, against a typical 1.25x. Under 1.5x is not a reaction at all: the market barely noticed this release. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How NEAR Protocol moved

NEAR Protocol was at $6.720 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.74% lower, and an hour later 0.3% lower. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 1.93% of its price, against 1.64% in the hour before.

What made it matter

Since 2021, Durable Orders releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved NEAR Protocol about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.26x across 20, against 1.29x across 46. This one was not within two weeks of a Fed decision. Its own ratio of 1.13x compares with 1.29x for those, about what its circumstances would suggest.

How it compares

Across 66 Durable Orders releases since 2021, NEAR Protocol's usual price swing is 1.29x. This one was 0.87 times the usual.

MutedOrdinaryStrongExceptional

Thin line: Durable Orders's usual, 1.29x. Thick line: this release, 1.13x. Under 1.5x counts as no reaction at all.

Minute by minute

Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.

After High Low Close Change Range Range before Volume
1 minute 6.74 6.71 6.73 0.15% 0.45% 0.30% 31,852 NEAR
5 minutes 6.74 6.69 6.72 0.00% 0.74% 1.04% 70,977 NEAR
10 minutes 6.74 6.69 6.69 -0.45% 0.74% 1.19% 101,034 NEAR
15 minutes 6.74 6.67 6.67 -0.75% 1.04% 1.19% 130,320 NEAR
30 minutes 6.74 6.65 6.74 0.30% 1.34% 1.63% 292,076 NEAR
1 hour 6.78 6.65 6.70 -0.30% 1.92% 1.63% 576,635 NEAR
2 hours 6.78 6.65 6.75 0.44% 1.92% 2.92% 1.334M NEAR
4 hours 6.83 6.65 6.66 -0.90% 2.64% 3.34% 3.102M NEAR
6 hours 6.83 6.62 6.66 -0.90% 3.07% 3.78% 3.883M NEAR
8 hours 6.88 6.65 6.66 -0.75% 3.34% 3.87% 7.707M NEAR
12 hours 6.87 6.62 6.85 1.90% 3.64% 6.25% 8.388M NEAR

Every coin at this release

Coin Price swing Usual for Durable Orders Reaction
Bitcoin 0.71x 1.44x Quiet
Ethereum 0.92x 1.38x Quiet
XRP 0.96x 1.13x Quiet
BNB 1.67x 1.28x Strong
Solana 1.15x 1.32x Quiet
Dogecoin 0.86x 1.49x Quiet
TRON 1.29x 1.33x Quiet
Cardano 0.83x 1.33x Quiet
Chainlink 0.90x 1.48x Quiet
Sui 0.67x 1.36x Quiet
Bitcoin Cash 1.98x 1.31x Strong
Hedera 1.10x 1.32x Quiet
Avalanche 1.43x 1.44x Quiet
Litecoin 0.89x 1.34x Quiet
Gram 1.00x 1.01x Quiet
Shiba Inu 0.96x 1.30x Quiet
Uniswap 2.62x 1.26x Exceptional
Polkadot 1.00x 1.27x Quiet
Aave 0.69x 1.37x Quiet
Bittensor 0.89x 1.33x Quiet
NEAR Protocol 1.13x 1.29x Quiet
Aptos 0.98x 1.34x Quiet
Internet Computer 0.91x 1.11x Quiet
POL (prev. MATIC) 0.72x 1.29x Quiet
Filecoin 0.81x 1.34x Quiet

What is Durable Goods Orders?

The U.S. Census Bureau publishes the Durable Goods Orders report every month. Durable goods orders reflect new orders placed with domestic manufacturers for delivery of long-lasting manufactured goods (durable goods) in the near term or future. The change in the total value of new orders is measured and shared with the public in two releases per month: the advance report on durable goods and the manufacturers' shipments, inventories, and orders.

Every Durable Orders release for NEAR Protocol

Questions about this page

Is 1.13x a lot?

No. Under 1.5x the market barely noticed the release.

Will the next Durable Orders do the same?

Nobody can say. A forecast shows the range NEAR Protocol moved in after past Durable Orders releases, so you can plan for the likely size of the move.

More questions · Glossary

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.