Data Analysis
The release
Released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics on 11 March 2026 at 8:30 AM EDT. The Consumer Price Index came in at 0.3% for February 2026, against 0.2% in January 2026. Consumer prices are rising faster than before.
It arrived at the same moment as Core Consumer Price Index and Core Inflation Rate, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.
How Bitcoin moved
Bitcoin was at $69,427.30 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.25% lower, and an hour later 1.14% higher. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 1.77% of its price, against 0.83% in the hour before.
Measured by Clometrix
Bitcoin's volatility ratio was 2.56x, against 4.28x for a typical CPI release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 1.79x, against a typical 6.92x. That is a muted reaction by this release's own standard. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.
What made it matter
Since 2021, CPI releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Bitcoin more than those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 4.75x across 28, against 3.99x across 42. This one came out 7 days before the Federal Reserve's 18 March rate decision. Its own ratio of 2.56x compares with 4.75x for those, so it moved the price less than its circumstances would suggest.
Its record
Across 70 CPI releases since 2021, Bitcoin's median volatility ratio is 4.28x.
What it means
Bitcoin posted a muted reaction to the February consumer price index. Volatility expanded only 2.56 times the ordinary quarter-hour level, compared with the 4.28 times median observed across CPI releases since 2021. Volume rose 1.79 times against a typical 6.92 times increase, and the hourly high-low range reached 1.77 percent of price after widening from 0.83 percent beforehand.
The release arrived seven days before the Federal Reserve's March policy meeting. Releases in that window have produced a median volatility ratio of 4.75 times since 2021. The lower outcome here shows that even favorable calendar placement can fail to generate the expected sensitivity when the print itself aligns closely with prior readings.
Individual releases continue to produce outcomes that depart from both the overall record and the subset tied to upcoming Federal Reserve decisions.
About Consumer Price Index
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the monthly change in prices paid by U.S. consumers. The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) calculates the CPI as a weighted average of prices for a basket of goods and services representative of aggregate U.S. consumer spending. The CPI is one of the most popular measures of inflation and deflation. The index is published monthly by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
Disclaimer
The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.
BTC-USDT
Bitcoin
Open
70,055.16Close
70,252.5024h Change
197.34 (0.28%)24h High
71,321.0024h Low
68,977.9124h Volume
27,297 BTCUS Consumer Price Index
Bureau of Labor Statistics
11th March, 2026, 8:30AM Timezone: America/New York
Chart Data from Binance
Observations
| Time | Open | High | Low | Close | Change | Amplitude | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Minute | |||||||
| Before | 69386.88 | 69427.30 | 69386.87 | 69427.30 | 0.06% | 0.06% | 5 BTC |
| During | 69427.30 | 69777.66 | 69427.30 | 69455.04 | 0.04% | 0.50% | 227 BTC |
| 5 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 69403.07 | 69447.26 | 69360.00 | 69427.30 | 0.03% | 0.13% | 37 BTC |
| During | 69427.30 | 69777.66 | 69231.16 | 69277.24 | -0.22% | 0.78% | 305 BTC |
| 10 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 69201.07 | 69447.26 | 69159.73 | 69427.30 | 0.33% | 0.41% | 98 BTC |
| During | 69427.30 | 69777.66 | 69231.16 | 69339.84 | -0.13% | 0.78% | 389 BTC |
| 15 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 69152.82 | 69447.26 | 69152.82 | 69427.30 | 0.40% | 0.42% | 132 BTC |
| During | 69427.30 | 69777.66 | 69179.66 | 69251.26 | -0.25% | 0.86% | 452 BTC |
| 30 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 69172.99 | 69447.26 | 68977.91 | 69427.30 | 0.37% | 0.68% | 427 BTC |
| During | 69427.30 | 69777.66 | 69152.57 | 69361.13 | -0.10% | 0.90% | 618 BTC |
| 1 Hour | |||||||
| Before | 69447.45 | 69553.69 | 68977.91 | 69427.30 | -0.03% | 0.83% | 740 BTC |
| During | 69427.30 | 70378.78 | 69152.57 | 70219.78 | 1.13% | 1.74% | 1,598 BTC |
| 2 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 69499.99 | 69755.10 | 68977.91 | 69427.30 | -0.10% | 1.11% | 1,925 BTC |
| During | 69427.30 | 71091.18 | 69152.57 | 70664.16 | 1.75% | 2.73% | 4,656 BTC |
| 4 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 69503.54 | 69786.32 | 68977.91 | 69427.30 | -0.11% | 1.16% | 3,723 BTC |
| During | 69427.30 | 71091.18 | 69152.57 | 70463.49 | 1.47% | 2.73% | 8,165 BTC |
| 6 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 69804.19 | 70018.49 | 68977.91 | 69427.30 | -0.54% | 1.49% | 5,313 BTC |
| During | 69427.30 | 71321.00 | 69152.57 | 70703.99 | 1.81% | 3.04% | 11,897 BTC |
| 8 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 70055.16 | 70281.87 | 69420.00 | 69503.53 | -0.79% | 1.23% | 7,236 BTC |
| During | 69503.54 | 71091.18 | 68977.91 | 70463.49 | 1.36% | 2.97% | 11,888 BTC |
| 12 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 70055.16 | 70281.87 | 68977.91 | 69427.30 | -0.90% | 1.86% | 10,959 BTC |
| During | 69427.30 | 71321.00 | 69152.57 | 70252.50 | 1.17% | 3.04% | 16,338 BTC |
