BTC Volatility Analysis for CPI, 10th April 2026

Data Analysis

The release

Released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics on 10 April 2026 at 8:30 AM EDT. The Consumer Price Index came in at 0.9% for March 2026, against 0.3% in February 2026. Consumer prices are rising faster than before.

It arrived at the same moment as Core Consumer Price Index and Core Inflation Rate, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

How Bitcoin moved

Bitcoin was at $72,175.58 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.19% higher, and an hour later 0.17% higher. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 0.58% of its price, against 0.43% in the hour before.

Measured by Clometrix

Bitcoin's volatility ratio was 2.49x, against 4.28x for a typical CPI release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 2.55x, against a typical 6.92x. That is a muted reaction by this release's own standard. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

What made it matter

Since 2021, CPI releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Bitcoin more than those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 4.75x across 28, against 3.99x across 42. This one was not within two weeks of a Fed decision. Its own ratio of 2.49x compares with 3.99x for those, so it moved the price less than its circumstances would suggest.

Its record

Across 70 CPI releases since 2021, Bitcoin's median volatility ratio is 4.28x.

What it means

Bitcoin registered a muted reaction to the March 2026 CPI release that printed 0.9 percent. Volume rose only 2.55x against the event's typical 6.92x.

The print arrived 18 days before the Federal Reserve's 29 April 2026 decision, outside the two-week window that has historically produced larger Bitcoin moves. Releases in that window have shown a median volatility ratio of 4.75x, while those further away have averaged 3.99x.

Price action remained contained. Bitcoin moved 0.19 percent higher in the first fifteen minutes and 0.17 percent higher after one hour. Its high-to-low range expanded only to 0.58 percent of spot from 0.43 percent in the prior hour. The release coincided with the Core CPI and Core Inflation prints, yet the combined data still produced below-average volatility. Traders reviewing the record may observe that CPI releases have driven a median 4.28x volatility ratio since 2021.

About Consumer Price Index

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the monthly change in prices paid by U.S. consumers. The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) calculates the CPI as a weighted average of prices for a basket of goods and services representative of aggregate U.S. consumer spending. The CPI is one of the most popular measures of inflation and deflation. The index is published monthly by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.

BTC-USDT

Bitcoin

Open

71,836.96

Close

72,898.42

24h Change

1061.46 (1.46%)

24h High

73,434.00

24h Low

71,426.15

24h Volume

17,467 BTC

US Consumer Price Index

Bureau of Labor Statistics

10th April, 2026, 8:30AM Timezone: America/New York

Chart Data from Binance

Observations

Time Open High Low Close Change Amplitude Volume
 
1 Minute
Before72047.2872239.6972012.7272174.770.18%0.31%68 BTC
During72175.5872420.1672042.9272358.430.25%0.52%161 BTC
 
5 Minutes
Before72124.9972239.6972007.5072174.770.07%0.32%97 BTC
During72175.5872458.0072042.9272335.370.22%0.57%225 BTC
 
10 Minutes
Before72177.7972316.8772007.5072174.770.00%0.43%150 BTC
During72175.5872458.0072042.9272285.910.15%0.57%275 BTC
 
15 Minutes
Before72094.8072316.8772007.5072174.770.11%0.43%185 BTC
During72175.5872458.0072042.9272315.350.19%0.57%334 BTC
 
30 Minutes
Before72127.5972316.8772007.5072174.770.07%0.43%272 BTC
During72175.5872458.0072042.9272258.680.12%0.57%462 BTC
 
1 Hour
Before72214.3872316.8772007.5072174.77-0.05%0.43%475 BTC
During72175.5872458.0072042.9272296.510.17%0.57%631 BTC
 
2 Hours
Before71730.8272316.8771722.6872174.770.62%0.82%849 BTC
During72175.5873073.2671899.5172969.981.09%1.61%2,536 BTC
 
4 Hours
Before71643.2772316.8771500.0072174.770.74%1.13%1,424 BTC
During72175.5873289.9671899.5172768.870.82%1.90%5,196 BTC
 
6 Hours
Before71964.0172316.8771426.1572174.770.29%1.23%2,745 BTC
During72175.5873289.9671899.5172983.071.11%1.90%6,345 BTC
 
8 Hours
Before71836.9672387.0071426.1571643.27-0.27%1.33%4,857 BTC
During71643.2773289.9671500.0072768.871.55%2.44%6,620 BTC
 
12 Hours
Before71836.9672387.0071426.1572174.770.47%1.33%6,281 BTC
During72175.5873434.0071899.5172898.420.99%2.09%11,186 BTC

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