Data Analysis
The release
Released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics on 13 February 2026 at 8:30 AM EST. The Consumer Price Index came in at 0.2% for January 2026, against 0.3% in December 2025. Consumer prices are still rising, but more slowly than before.
It arrived at the same moment as Core Consumer Price Index and Core Inflation Rate, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.
How Bitcoin moved
Bitcoin was at $67,337.21 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.05% lower, and an hour later unchanged. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 0.76% of its price, against 0.72% in the hour before.
Measured by Clometrix
Bitcoin's volatility ratio was 1.84x, against 4.28x for a typical CPI release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 5.17x, against a typical 6.92x. That is a muted reaction by this release's own standard. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.
What made it matter
Since 2021, CPI releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Bitcoin more than those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 4.75x across 28, against 3.99x across 42. This one was not within two weeks of a Fed decision. Its own ratio of 1.84x compares with 3.99x for those, so it moved the price less than its circumstances would suggest.
Its record
Across 70 CPI releases since 2021, Bitcoin's median volatility ratio is 4.28x.
What it means
Bitcoin recorded a muted reaction to the January 2026 CPI release. The volatility ratio reached 1.84x in the quarter hour after the print, against the 4.28x median across 70 CPI releases since 2021. Volume rose 5.17x against a typical 6.92x. Bitcoin stood at $67,337.21 at the release, moved 0.05 percent lower within fifteen minutes and stood unchanged an hour later, with a high to low range of 0.76 percent of price in that hour.
The release arrived 32 days before the March 2026 Federal Reserve decision and therefore outside the two week window that has coincided with stronger Bitcoin moves. CPI releases inside that window have shown a median volatility ratio of 4.75x across 28 instances, against 3.99x across 42 releases at other times. This print produced less movement than even the lower benchmark for non proximate releases.
Against the full record the outcome illustrates how distance from an upcoming policy decision has coincided with smaller volatility ratios. Traders reviewing the next CPI release may weigh its timing relative to the Federal Reserve calendar when assessing the scale of reaction that has followed similar prints in the past.
About Consumer Price Index
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the monthly change in prices paid by U.S. consumers. The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) calculates the CPI as a weighted average of prices for a basket of goods and services representative of aggregate U.S. consumer spending. The CPI is one of the most popular measures of inflation and deflation. The index is published monthly by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
Disclaimer
The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.
BTC-USDT
Bitcoin
Open
66,225.43Close
69,052.5324h Change
2827.10 (4.09%)24h High
69,482.9724h Low
66,002.9824h Volume
19,831 BTCUS Consumer Price Index
Bureau of Labor Statistics
13th February, 2026, 8:30AM Timezone: America/New York
Chart Data from Binance
Observations
| Time | Open | High | Low | Close | Change | Amplitude | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Minute | |||||||
| Before | 67314.24 | 67420.00 | 67288.00 | 67337.21 | 0.03% | 0.20% | 48 BTC |
| During | 67337.21 | 67615.34 | 67310.49 | 67347.83 | 0.02% | 0.45% | 173 BTC |
| 5 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 67236.78 | 67420.00 | 67226.70 | 67337.21 | 0.15% | 0.29% | 139 BTC |
| During | 67337.21 | 67615.34 | 67310.49 | 67508.03 | 0.25% | 0.45% | 330 BTC |
| 10 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 67094.06 | 67420.00 | 67016.22 | 67337.21 | 0.36% | 0.60% | 333 BTC |
| During | 67337.21 | 67615.34 | 67242.00 | 67302.91 | -0.05% | 0.55% | 534 BTC |
| 15 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 66969.47 | 67420.00 | 66969.46 | 67337.21 | 0.55% | 0.67% | 381 BTC |
| During | 67337.21 | 67615.34 | 67207.51 | 67301.39 | -0.05% | 0.60% | 748 BTC |
| 30 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 67084.01 | 67420.00 | 66938.00 | 67337.21 | 0.38% | 0.71% | 566 BTC |
| During | 67337.21 | 67615.34 | 67105.48 | 67274.15 | -0.09% | 0.75% | 1,058 BTC |
| 1 Hour | |||||||
| Before | 67097.17 | 67420.00 | 66938.00 | 67337.21 | 0.36% | 0.71% | 746 BTC |
| During | 67337.21 | 67615.34 | 67105.48 | 67311.84 | -0.04% | 0.75% | 1,360 BTC |
| 2 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 66982.60 | 67420.00 | 66783.38 | 67337.21 | 0.53% | 0.94% | 1,273 BTC |
| During | 67337.21 | 68899.93 | 66867.47 | 68895.88 | 2.26% | 2.95% | 4,377 BTC |
| 4 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 66820.37 | 67420.00 | 66769.32 | 67337.21 | 0.77% | 0.97% | 2,283 BTC |
| During | 67337.21 | 69482.97 | 66867.47 | 68975.97 | 2.38% | 3.76% | 8,204 BTC |
| 6 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 66514.42 | 67420.00 | 66050.21 | 67337.21 | 1.22% | 2.03% | 3,694 BTC |
| During | 67337.21 | 69482.97 | 66867.47 | 69008.00 | 2.42% | 3.76% | 10,014 BTC |
| 8 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 66225.43 | 66850.85 | 66002.98 | 66820.37 | 0.89% | 1.27% | 4,803 BTC |
| During | 66820.37 | 69482.97 | 66769.32 | 68975.97 | 3.13% | 3.91% | 10,486 BTC |
| 12 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 66225.43 | 67420.00 | 66002.98 | 67337.21 | 1.65% | 2.10% | 7,086 BTC |
| During | 67337.21 | 69482.97 | 66867.47 | 69052.53 | 2.48% | 3.76% | 12,745 BTC |
