The release
Released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis on 9 April 2026 at 8:30 AM EDT. The Core Personal Consumption Expenditures came in at 0.4% for February 2026, against 0.4% in January 2026. Core prices are rising at the same pace as before.
It arrived at the same moment as Personal Income and Outlays, Personal Consumption Expenditures, Initial Jobless Claims, Continued Jobless Claims and Gross Domestic Product Report, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.
Measured by Clometrix
Ethereum's volatility ratio was 1.00x, against 1.77x for a typical Core PCE release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 1.28x, against a typical 2.11x. Under 1.5x is not a reaction at all: the market barely noticed this release. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.
How Ethereum moved
Ethereum was at $2,184.80 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was unchanged, and an hour later 0.28% lower. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 0.57% of its price, against 0.56% in the hour before.
What made it matter
Since 2021, Core PCE releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Ethereum about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.86x across 17, against 1.72x across 52. This one was not within two weeks of a Fed decision. Its own ratio of 1.00x compares with 1.72x for those, so it moved the price less than its circumstances would suggest.
What it means
Core PCE arrived alongside several other data points, yet Ethereum registered no reaction at all. Volatility stayed flat at 1.00x against the 1.80x median for the event since 2021, while volume rose only to 1.28x compared with a typical 2.15x. The market simply ignored the bundle of releases.
Ethereum traded at $2,184.80 when the figures appeared. The price remained unchanged fifteen minutes later and stood just 0.28 percent lower after an hour. Its hourly range measured 0.57 percent, virtually identical to the 0.56 percent recorded beforehand.
This outcome aligned with the timing of the release, which fell outside the two-week window ahead of the next Federal Reserve decision. Releases in that window have produced a median volatility ratio of 1.86x for Ethereum, nearly the same as the 1.77x seen at other times. Traders can note that a quiet response remains possible even when multiple indicators print together.
How it compares
Across 69 Core PCE releases since 2021, Ethereum's usual price swing is 1.77x. This one was 0.56 times the usual.
Thin line: Core PCE's usual, 1.77x. Thick line: this release, 1.00x. Under 1.5x counts as no reaction at all.
Minute by minute
Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.
| After | High | Low | Close | Change | Range | Range before | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 minute | 2186.83 | 2184.40 | 2185.18 | 0.02% | 0.11% | 0.04% | 348 ETH |
| 5 minutes | 2186.83 | 2180.68 | 2182.40 | -0.11% | 0.28% | 0.44% | 731 ETH |
| 10 minutes | 2186.83 | 2179.82 | 2180.26 | -0.21% | 0.32% | 0.56% | 1,297 ETH |
| 15 minutes | 2186.98 | 2179.32 | 2183.71 | -0.05% | 0.35% | 0.56% | 2,578 ETH |
| 30 minutes | 2186.98 | 2177.63 | 2183.34 | -0.07% | 0.43% | 0.56% | 4,009 ETH |
| 1 hour | 2186.98 | 2174.55 | 2178.60 | -0.28% | 0.57% | 0.56% | 7,387 ETH |
| 2 hours | 2186.98 | 2157.31 | 2163.11 | -1.00% | 1.36% | 1.00% | 26,019 ETH |
| 4 hours | 2229.40 | 2157.31 | 2209.71 | 1.13% | 3.23% | 1.07% | 80,317 ETH |
| 6 hours | 2229.40 | 2157.31 | 2209.14 | 1.10% | 3.23% | 1.07% | 113,182 ETH |
| 8 hours | 2229.40 | 2157.31 | 2209.71 | 1.34% | 3.23% | 1.23% | 114,782 ETH |
| 12 hours | 2246.00 | 2157.31 | 2189.84 | 0.23% | 3.95% | 1.62% | 182,185 ETH |
Every coin at this release
| Coin | Price swing | Usual for Core PCE | Reaction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 0.84x | 2.03x | Quiet |
| Ethereum | 1.00x | 1.77x | Quiet |
| XRP | 0.00x | 1.81x | Quiet |
| BNB | 1.28x | 1.75x | Quiet |
| Solana | 1.45x | 1.57x | Quiet |
| Dogecoin | 1.19x | 1.52x | Quiet |
| TRON | 3.33x | 1.43x | Exceptional |
| Cardano | 1.50x | 1.90x | Ordinary |
| Chainlink | 1.02x | 1.62x | Quiet |
| Sui | 1.05x | 1.53x | Quiet |
| Bitcoin Cash | 1.09x | 1.69x | Quiet |
| Hedera | 0.93x | 1.51x | Quiet |
| Avalanche | 1.23x | 1.55x | Quiet |
| Litecoin | 1.52x | 1.64x | Ordinary |
| Gram | 0.00x | 1.32x | Quiet |
| Shiba Inu | 0.68x | 1.75x | Quiet |
| Uniswap | 1.00x | 1.49x | Quiet |
| Polkadot | 1.03x | 1.50x | Quiet |
| Aave | 0.94x | 1.58x | Quiet |
| Bittensor | 0.85x | 1.68x | Quiet |
| NEAR Protocol | 1.02x | 1.43x | Quiet |
| Aptos | 1.29x | 1.73x | Quiet |
| Internet Computer | 0.98x | 1.50x | Quiet |
| POL (prev. MATIC) | 1.25x | 1.60x | Quiet |
| Filecoin | 1.29x | 1.51x | Quiet |
What is the Core Personal Consumption Expenditures?
Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) is a measure of the prices people in the United States pay for goods and services, excluding food and energy. PCE accounts for about two-thirds of domestic spending and is a significant driver of gross domestic product (GDP). An estimated total of personal consumption expenditures (PCE) is compiled by the Bureau of Economic Analysis as one way to measure and track changes in the prices of consumer goods over time.Questions about this page
Is 1.00x a lot?
No. Under 1.5x the market barely noticed the release.
Will the next Core PCE do the same?
Nobody can say. A forecast shows the range Ethereum moved in after past Core PCE releases, so you can plan for the likely size of the move.
What is PCE, and why does the Fed watch it?
PCE is the Personal Consumption Expenditures price index published by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. The Federal Reserve measures its 2 percent inflation goal with the PCE price index. PCE, Core PCE and Personal Income are released together at 8:30 a.m. ET and share one reaction. Their median Bitcoin price swing since 2021 is 2.03x, which places them in Tier 2.
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The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.