How Shiba Inu reacted to the International Trade Balance in Goods and Services on 4 April 2024

The short answer

A strong reaction. In the 15 minutes after the figure came out, Shiba Inu's price swung 1.96 times as much as in a normal 15 minutes that day. For a Balance of Trade release, 1.04 times is usual. An hour later the price was 1.37% higher.

1.96x

Strong

Trading (volume ratio)
2.36x
usual for Balance of Trade: 1.14x
Price at 8:30 AM
$0.000027
15 minutes later
+1.00%
One hour later
+1.37%
range 2.36%, hour before 1.22%
SHIB/USDT, 30 minutes candles around the release, 8:30 AM America/New York

The dashed orange line is the release. Chart data from Binance.

Open
0.000027
Close
0.000027
24h change
3.46%
24h high
0.000028
24h low
0.000026
24h volume
5.377T SHIB

Measured by Clometrix

Shiba Inu's volatility ratio was 1.96x, against 1.04x for a typical Balance of Trade release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 2.36x, against a typical 1.14x. That is a strong reaction by this release's own standard. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How Shiba Inu moved

Shiba Inu was at $0.000027 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 1% higher, and an hour later 1.37% higher. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 2.36% of its price, against 1.22% in the hour before.

The release

Released by the Bureau of Census, Bureau of Economic Analysis on 4 April 2024 at 8:30 AM EDT. The deficit narrowed to $66.4B for February 2024, from $67.1B (The International Trade Balance in Goods and Services).

It arrived at the same moment as International Imports in Goods and Services, International Exports in Goods and Services, Initial Jobless Claims and Continued Jobless Claims, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

What made it matter

Since 2021, Balance of Trade releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Shiba Inu about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.04x across 22, against 1.13x across 43. This one was not within two weeks of a Fed decision. Its own ratio of 1.96x compares with 1.13x for those, so it moved the price more than its circumstances alone would suggest.

Its record

Across 65 Balance of Trade releases since 2021, Shiba Inu's median volatility ratio is 1.04x.

How it compares

Across 65 Balance of Trade releases since 2021, Shiba Inu's usual price swing is 1.04x. This one was 1.89 times the usual.

MutedOrdinaryStrongExceptional

Thin line: Balance of Trade's usual, 1.04x. Thick line: this release, 1.96x.

Minute by minute

Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.

After High Low Close Change Range Range before Volume
1 minute 0.00002713 0.00002707 0.00002708 -0.07% 0.22% 0.15% 3.537B SHIB
5 minutes 0.00002713 0.00002702 0.00002706 -0.15% 0.41% 0.33% 20.183B SHIB
10 minutes 0.00002725 0.00002702 0.00002724 0.51% 0.84% 0.55% 59.715B SHIB
15 minutes 0.00002738 0.00002702 0.00002737 0.99% 1.31% 0.63% 93.027B SHIB
30 minutes 0.0000275 0.00002702 0.00002726 0.59% 1.75% 1.18% 199.625B SHIB
1 hour 0.00002766 0.00002702 0.00002747 1.35% 2.31% 1.22% 443.031B SHIB
2 hours 0.00002766 0.00002702 0.00002742 1.17% 2.31% 1.44% 750.22B SHIB
4 hours 0.00002792 0.00002702 0.00002778 2.45% 3.22% 1.55% 1.115T SHIB
6 hours 0.00002848 0.00002702 0.00002826 4.10% 5.13% 2.62% 1.995T SHIB
8 hours 0.00002792 0.00002672 0.00002778 3.42% 4.30% 3.72% 1.611T SHIB
12 hours 0.00002848 0.00002702 0.00002747 1.35% 5.13% 4.64% 3.691T SHIB

Every coin at this release

Coin Price swing Usual for Balance of Trade Reaction
Bitcoin 1.10x 1.10x Quiet
Ethereum 0.60x 1.25x Quiet
XRP 0.96x 1.07x Quiet
BNB 0.82x 1.08x Quiet
Solana 0.71x 1.17x Quiet
Dogecoin 0.81x 1.15x Quiet
TRON 2.43x 1.12x Exceptional
Cardano 0.93x 1.10x Quiet
Chainlink 1.12x 1.12x Quiet
Sui 0.99x 1.05x Quiet
Bitcoin Cash 1.27x 1.18x Quiet
Hedera 0.83x 1.09x Quiet
Avalanche 0.65x 1.01x Quiet
Litecoin 1.01x 1.26x Quiet
Shiba Inu 1.96x 1.04x Strong
Uniswap 1.00x 1.18x Quiet
Polkadot 1.25x 1.03x Quiet
Aave 0.91x 1.13x Quiet
NEAR Protocol 2.01x 1.07x Strong
Aptos 1.21x 1.19x Quiet
Internet Computer 0.58x 1.07x Quiet
POL (prev. MATIC) 0.77x 1.03x Quiet
Filecoin 0.80x 1.01x Quiet

What is the International Trade Balance in Goods and Services?

The balance of trade (BOT) measures economic transactions between a nation and its trading partners, showing the difference between the value of a country's imports and exports for a given period. The BEA and Census Bureau reports on the U.S. balance of payments (BOP), covering goods and services that move in and out of the country. Economists use this information to gauge the relative strength of a country's economy. When exports are higher than imports, it tends to boost GDP. In the opposite scenario, it creates a trade deficit.

Every Balance of Trade release for Shiba Inu

Questions about this page

Is 1.96x a lot?

For a Balance of Trade release it is strong: the usual is 1.04x. Each report has its own usual size, and its releases show it.

Will the next Balance of Trade do the same?

Nobody can say. A forecast shows the range Shiba Inu moved in after past Balance of Trade releases, so you can plan for the likely size of the move.

More questions · Glossary

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.