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How Aptos reacted to the International Trade Balance in Goods and Services on 4 August 2026

Coin: Bitcoin Ethereum Aptos All 25 coins

The short answer

An ordinary reaction. In the 15 minutes after the figure came out, Aptos's price swung 1.51 times as much as in a normal 15 minutes that day. For a Balance of Trade release, 1.19 times is usual. An hour later the price was 0.17% higher.

1.51x

Ordinary

Trading (volume ratio)
1.40x
usual for Balance of Trade: 1.48x
Price at 8:30 AM
$0.572
15 minutes later
+0.52%
One hour later
+0.17%
range 0.70%, hour before 0.87%
APT/USDT, 1 minute candles around the release, 8:30 AM America/New York

The dashed orange line is the release. Chart data from Binance.

Open
0.573
Close
0.578
24h change
0.87%
24h high
0.584
24h low
0.569
24h volume
3.783M APT

The release

Released by the Bureau of Census, Bureau of Economic Analysis on 4 August 2026 at 8:30 AM EDT. The deficit narrowed to $73.3B for June 2026, from $77.6B (The International Trade Balance in Goods and Services).

It arrived at the same moment as International Imports in Goods and Services and International Exports in Goods and Services, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

How Aptos moved

Aptos was at $0.572 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.52% higher, and an hour later 0.17% higher. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 0.7% of its price, against 0.87% in the hour before.

Measured by Clometrix

Aptos's volatility ratio was 1.51x, against 1.19x for a typical Balance of Trade release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 1.40x, against a typical 1.48x. That is about what this release usually does. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

What made it matter

Since 2021, Balance of Trade releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Aptos about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.18x across 17, against 1.21x across 31. This one was not within two weeks of a Fed decision. Its own ratio of 1.51x compares with 1.21x for those, so it moved the price more than its circumstances alone would suggest.

Its record

Across 48 Balance of Trade releases since 2021, Aptos's median volatility ratio is 1.19x.

How it compares

Across 48 Balance of Trade releases since 2021, Aptos's usual price swing is 1.19x. This one was 1.27 times the usual.

MutedOrdinaryStrongExceptional

Thin line: Balance of Trade's usual, 1.19x. Thick line: this release, 1.51x.

Minute by minute

Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.

After High Low Close Change Range Range before Volume
1 minute 0.572 0.572 0.572 0.00% 0.00% 0.17% 280 APT
5 minutes 0.573 0.572 0.572 0.00% 0.17% 0.35% 4,632 APT
10 minutes 0.573 0.572 0.573 0.17% 0.17% 0.52% 19,423 APT
15 minutes 0.575 0.572 0.575 0.52% 0.52% 0.52% 48,566 APT
30 minutes 0.575 0.572 0.573 0.17% 0.52% 0.69% 95,938 APT
1 hour 0.575 0.571 0.573 0.17% 0.70% 0.87% 163,448 APT
2 hours 0.575 0.57 0.573 0.17% 0.87% 0.87% 406,421 APT
4 hours 0.579 0.57 0.579 1.21% 1.55% 1.38% 765,354 APT
6 hours 0.58 0.57 0.578 1.04% 1.72% 1.55% 977,503 APT
8 hours 0.58 0.57 0.579 -0.17% 1.72% 2.07% 1.261M APT
12 hours 0.584 0.57 0.578 1.04% 2.40% 2.07% 1.995M APT

Every coin at this release

Coin Price swing Usual for Balance of Trade Reaction
Bitcoin 2.08x 1.10x Strong
Ethereum 2.44x 1.25x Strong
XRP Not measured 1.07x -
BNB 1.39x 1.08x Quiet
Solana 1.21x 1.17x Quiet
Dogecoin 1.39x 1.15x Quiet
TRON 1.33x 1.12x Quiet
Cardano 1.10x 1.10x Quiet
Chainlink 1.98x 1.12x Strong
Sui 1.64x 1.05x Strong
Bitcoin Cash 1.20x 1.18x Quiet
Hedera 0.99x 1.09x Quiet
Avalanche 1.00x 1.01x Quiet
Litecoin 1.50x 1.26x Ordinary
Gram 1.01x 1.01x Quiet
Shiba Inu 0.98x 1.04x Quiet
Uniswap 0.50x 1.18x Quiet
Polkadot 1.28x 1.03x Quiet
Aave 0.83x 1.13x Quiet
Bittensor 1.17x 1.18x Quiet
NEAR Protocol 1.01x 1.07x Quiet
Aptos 1.51x 1.19x Ordinary
Internet Computer 0.00x 1.07x Quiet
POL (prev. MATIC) 1.10x 1.03x Quiet
Filecoin 1.09x 1.01x Quiet

What is the International Trade Balance in Goods and Services?

The balance of trade (BOT) measures economic transactions between a nation and its trading partners, showing the difference between the value of a country's imports and exports for a given period. The BEA and Census Bureau reports on the U.S. balance of payments (BOP), covering goods and services that move in and out of the country. Economists use this information to gauge the relative strength of a country's economy. When exports are higher than imports, it tends to boost GDP. In the opposite scenario, it creates a trade deficit.

Every Balance of Trade release for Aptos

Questions about this page

Is 1.51x a lot?

For a Balance of Trade release it is ordinary: the usual is 1.19x. Each report has its own usual size, and its releases show it.

Will the next Balance of Trade do the same?

Nobody can say. A forecast shows the range Aptos moved in after past Balance of Trade releases, so you can plan for the likely size of the move.

More questions · Glossary

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.