Data Analysis
Measured by Clometrix
Bitcoin's volatility ratio was 4.82x, against 2.08x for a typical PPI release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 14.47x, against a typical 2.30x. That is more than twice what this release usually does. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.
How Bitcoin moved
Bitcoin was at $112,580.00 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.6% higher, and an hour later 0.97% higher. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 1.12% of its price, against 0.51% in the hour before.
The release
Released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics on 10 September 2025 at 8:30 AM EDT. The Producer Price Index came in at -0.1% for August 2025, against 0.9% in July 2025. Producer prices are falling, after a rise.
It arrived at the same moment as Core Producer Price Index, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.
What made it matter
Since 2021, PPI releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Bitcoin about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 2.18x across 29, against 2.05x across 41. This one came out 7 days before the Federal Reserve's 17 September rate decision. Its own ratio of 4.82x compares with 2.18x for those, so it moved the price more than its circumstances alone would suggest.
Its record
Across 70 PPI releases since 2021, Bitcoin's median volatility ratio is 2.08x.
What it means
Volatility in the quarter hour after the print reached 4.82 times a normal interval, more than double the 2.08x median recorded across 70 PPI releases since 2021. Volume expanded to 14.47 times normal levels against a typical 2.30x. The move occurred alongside the Core PPI print and stood out even against the 2.18x median observed for PPI releases that fall in the two weeks before a Federal Reserve decision.
Price action reflected the intensity. Bitcoin rose 0.6 percent in the first fifteen minutes and 0.97 percent within the hour, while its high-to-low range widened to 1.12 percent of spot from 0.51 percent in the preceding hour. The data showed producer prices falling 0.1 percent month-over-month in August after a 0.9 percent increase in July.
The timing placed the release seven days before the 17 September FOMC meeting, yet the scale of the reaction exceeded what pre-decision PPI releases have typically produced. The episode demonstrates that the market can still deliver outsized volatility when the figure deviates from the recent trend, regardless of proximity to policy decisions. This instance serves as a reminder that individual prints can still depart sharply from that baseline.
About Producer Price Index
The Producer Price Index (PPI) measures the average change over time in the prices domestic producers receive for their output. It is a measure of inflation at the wholesale level that is compiled from thousands of indexes measuring producer prices by industry and product category. The index is published monthly by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
Disclaimer
The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.
BTC-USDT
Bitcoin
Open
111,194.01Close
113,828.0824h Change
2634.07 (2.31%)24h High
114,313.1324h Low
110,917.4524h Volume
17,565 BTCUS Producer Price Index
Bureau of Labor Statistics
10th September, 2025, 8:30AM Timezone: America/New York
Chart Data from Binance
Observations
| Time | Open | High | Low | Close | Change | Amplitude | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Minute | |||||||
| Before | 112627.14 | 112627.14 | 112580.00 | 112580.00 | -0.04% | 0.04% | 10 BTC |
| During | 112580.00 | 113499.90 | 112556.50 | 113360.00 | 0.69% | 0.83% | 673 BTC |
| 5 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 112650.55 | 112673.33 | 112578.93 | 112580.00 | -0.06% | 0.08% | 42 BTC |
| During | 112580.00 | 113548.00 | 112556.50 | 113333.00 | 0.66% | 0.87% | 1,372 BTC |
| 10 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 112656.28 | 112718.04 | 112578.93 | 112580.00 | -0.07% | 0.12% | 165 BTC |
| During | 112580.00 | 113550.14 | 112556.50 | 113022.21 | 0.39% | 0.88% | 1,743 BTC |
| 15 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 112411.16 | 112718.04 | 112377.44 | 112580.00 | 0.15% | 0.30% | 319 BTC |
| During | 112580.00 | 113550.14 | 112556.50 | 113260.28 | 0.60% | 0.88% | 1,873 BTC |
| 30 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 112300.00 | 112718.04 | 112299.99 | 112580.00 | 0.25% | 0.37% | 467 BTC |
| During | 112580.00 | 113550.14 | 112556.50 | 113413.51 | 0.73% | 0.88% | 2,333 BTC |
| 1 Hour | |||||||
| Before | 112319.76 | 112718.04 | 112148.49 | 112580.00 | 0.23% | 0.51% | 663 BTC |
| During | 112580.00 | 113821.59 | 112556.50 | 113666.43 | 0.96% | 1.11% | 3,308 BTC |
| 2 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 112399.21 | 112718.04 | 112148.49 | 112580.00 | 0.16% | 0.51% | 1,083 BTC |
| During | 112580.00 | 114313.13 | 112556.50 | 114087.96 | 1.32% | 1.54% | 4,999 BTC |
| 4 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 112679.61 | 112718.04 | 112097.20 | 112580.00 | -0.09% | 0.55% | 2,349 BTC |
| During | 112580.00 | 114313.13 | 112556.50 | 113677.16 | 0.97% | 1.54% | 6,483 BTC |
| 6 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 111755.59 | 112859.80 | 111681.52 | 112580.00 | 0.73% | 1.04% | 4,576 BTC |
| During | 112580.00 | 114313.13 | 112556.50 | 113390.27 | 0.71% | 1.54% | 7,776 BTC |
| 8 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 111194.01 | 112859.80 | 110917.45 | 112679.61 | 1.32% | 1.72% | 4,587 BTC |
| During | 112679.61 | 114313.13 | 112097.20 | 113677.16 | 0.88% | 1.94% | 8,832 BTC |
| 12 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 111194.01 | 112859.80 | 110917.45 | 112580.00 | 1.23% | 1.72% | 6,936 BTC |
| During | 112580.00 | 114313.13 | 112556.50 | 113828.08 | 1.10% | 1.54% | 10,629 BTC |
