How Solana reacted to the Personal Income and Outlays on 26 August 2026

The short answer

An exceptional reaction. In the 15 minutes after the figure came out, Solana's price swung 3.18 times as much as in a normal 15 minutes that day. For a Personal Income release, 1.57 times is usual. An hour later the price was 1.58% lower.

3.18x

Exceptional

Trading (volume ratio)
3.73x
usual for Personal Income: 1.85x
Price at 8:30 AM
$97.52
15 minutes later
−0.71%
One hour later
−1.58%
range 1.79%, hour before 0.96%
SOL/USDT, 1 minute candles around the release, 8:30 AM America/New York

The dashed orange line is the release. Chart data from Binance.

Open
96.54
Close
101.21
24h change
4.61%
24h high
102.46
24h low
94.95
24h volume
2.688M SOL

Measured by Clometrix

Solana's volatility ratio was 3.18x, against 1.57x for a typical Personal Income release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 3.73x, against a typical 1.85x. That is more than twice what this release usually does. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How Solana moved

Solana was at $97.52 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.71% lower, and an hour later 1.58% lower. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 1.79% of its price, against 0.96% in the hour before.

The release

Released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis on 26 August 2026 at 8:30 AM EDT. The Personal Income and Outlays came in at 0.4% for July 2026, against 0.2% in June 2026. Personal income is rising faster than before.

It arrived at the same moment as Durable Goods Orders, Durable Goods Orders Excluding Transportation, Gross Domestic Product Report, Personal Consumption Expenditures and Core Personal Consumption Expenditures, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

What made it matter

Since 2021, Personal Income releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Solana about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.58x across 17, against 1.57x across 52. This one was not within two weeks of a Fed decision. Its own ratio of 3.18x compares with 1.57x for those, so it moved the price more than its circumstances alone would suggest.

Its record

Across 69 Personal Income releases since 2021, Solana's median volatility ratio is 1.57x.

How it compares

Across 69 Personal Income releases since 2021, Solana's usual price swing is 1.57x. This one was 2.02 times the usual.

MutedOrdinaryStrongExceptional

Thin line: Personal Income's usual, 1.57x. Thick line: this release, 3.18x.

Minute by minute

Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.

After High Low Close Change Range Range before Volume
1 minute 97.54 96.05 96.81 -0.73% 1.53% 0.15% 39,210 SOL
5 minutes 97.54 96.05 97.01 -0.53% 1.53% 0.30% 50,902 SOL
10 minutes 97.54 96.05 96.70 -0.85% 1.53% 0.71% 68,435 SOL
15 minutes 97.54 96.05 96.83 -0.71% 1.53% 0.95% 76,471 SOL
30 minutes 97.54 96.05 97.02 -0.52% 1.53% 0.96% 96,527 SOL
1 hour 97.54 95.79 95.98 -1.60% 1.79% 0.96% 193,439 SOL
2 hours 97.54 95.79 96.28 -1.29% 1.79% 1.37% 320,856 SOL
4 hours 97.54 94.95 95.79 -1.81% 2.66% 2.15% 572,909 SOL
6 hours 97.54 94.95 96.77 -0.78% 2.66% 2.15% 780,946 SOL
8 hours 97.88 94.95 95.79 -1.43% 2.99% 1.40% 927,711 SOL
12 hours 102.46 94.95 101.21 3.65% 7.33% 2.15% 1.772M SOL

Every coin at this release

Coin Price swing Usual for Personal Income Reaction
Bitcoin 3.94x 2.03x Strong
Ethereum 3.27x 1.77x Strong
XRP 2.01x 1.81x Ordinary
BNB 3.15x 1.75x Strong
Solana 3.18x 1.57x Exceptional
Dogecoin 3.07x 1.52x Exceptional
TRON 1.50x 1.43x Ordinary
Cardano 3.11x 1.90x Strong
Chainlink 3.60x 1.62x Exceptional
Sui 3.19x 1.53x Exceptional
Bitcoin Cash 2.58x 1.69x Strong
Hedera 2.68x 1.51x Strong
Avalanche 3.69x 1.55x Exceptional
Litecoin 2.95x 1.64x Strong
Gram 1.01x 1.32x Quiet
Shiba Inu 2.35x 1.75x Strong
Uniswap 2.34x 1.49x Strong
Polkadot 2.43x 1.50x Strong
Aave 2.38x 1.58x Strong
Bittensor 2.38x 1.68x Strong
NEAR Protocol 2.00x 1.43x Strong
Aptos 2.66x 1.73x Strong
Internet Computer 3.97x 1.50x Exceptional
POL (prev. MATIC) 1.07x 1.60x Quiet
Filecoin 3.07x 1.51x Exceptional

What is the Personal Income and Outlays?

Personal Income measures the change in the total value of income received from all sources by consumers. Income is closely correlated with consumer spending, which accounts for a majority of overall economic activity.

Every Personal Income release for Solana

Questions about this page

Is 3.18x a lot?

For a Personal Income release it is exceptional: the usual is 1.57x. Each report has its own usual size, and its releases show it.

Will the next Personal Income do the same?

Nobody can say. A forecast shows the range Solana moved in after past Personal Income releases, so you can plan for the likely size of the move.

What is PCE, and why does the Fed watch it?

PCE is the Personal Consumption Expenditures price index published by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. The Federal Reserve measures its 2 percent inflation goal with the PCE price index. PCE, Core PCE and Personal Income are released together at 8:30 a.m. ET and share one reaction. Their median Bitcoin price swing since 2021 is 2.03x, which places them in Tier 2.

More questions · Glossary

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.