ETH Volatility Analysis for Personal Income, 29th August 2025

Data Analysis

Measured by Clometrix

Ethereum's volatility ratio was 4.30x, against 1.80x for a typical Personal Income release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 7.89x, against a typical 2.15x. That is more than twice what this release usually does. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How Ethereum moved

Ethereum was at $4,367.55 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.58% higher, and an hour later 0.56% higher. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 1.99% of its price, against 0.83% in the hour before.

The release

Released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis on 29 August 2025 at 8:30 AM EDT. The Personal Income and Outlays came in at 0.4% for July 2025, against 0.3% in June 2025. Personal income is rising faster than before.

It arrived at the same moment as Personal Consumption Expenditures and Core Personal Consumption Expenditures, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

What made it matter

Since 2021, Personal Income releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Ethereum about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.86x across 18, against 1.77x across 51. This one was not within two weeks of a Fed decision. Its own ratio of 4.30x compares with 1.77x for those, so it moved the price more than its circumstances alone would suggest.

Its record

Across 69 Personal Income releases since 2021, Ethereum's median volatility ratio is 1.80x.

What it means

Ethereum recorded an exceptional reaction to the 29 August Personal Income release, posting a volatility ratio of 4.30x in the quarter hour after the print against the 1.80x median observed across 69 releases since 2021. Volume expanded to 7.89x versus the typical 2.15x, confirming the move exceeded twice the event norm.

At the 8:30 AM EDT release Ethereum traded at $4,367.55. The price rose 0.58 percent in the first fifteen minutes and remained 0.56 percent higher after one hour, while the high-to-low range widened to 1.99 percent of spot from 0.83 percent in the prior hour. The reading arrived alongside PCE and Core PCE prints, so the measured response reflects the combined release.

This instance fell outside the two-week window ahead of the September Federal Reserve decision. Releases in that window have historically produced a median volatility ratio of 1.86x, little different from the 1.77x median at other times. The 4.30x outcome therefore stood apart from both the event baseline and the timing pattern. A trader reviewing the next Personal Income release can observe that volatility can still depart markedly from the record even when no policy meeting is imminent, though the data supply no basis for anticipating the size of any future move.

About Personal Income and Outlays

Personal Income measures the change in the total value of income received from all sources by consumers. Income is closely correlated with consumer spending, which accounts for a majority of overall economic activity.

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.

ETH-USDT

Ethereum

Open

4,509.90

4,349.39

24h Change

-160.51 (-3.69%)

24h High

4,510.96

24h Low

4,265.00

24h Volume

678,074 ETH

US Personal Income and Outlays

Bureau of Economic Analysis

29th August, 2025, 8:30AM Timezone: America/New York

Chart Data from Binance

Observations

Time	Open	High	Low	Close	Change	Amplitude	Volume

1 Minute
Before	4366.00	4368.60	4365.29	4367.56	0.04%	0.08%	679 ETH
During	4367.55	4436.00	4367.55	4434.39	1.51%	1.54%	10,478 ETH

5 Minutes
Before	4370.16	4370.17	4363.89	4367.56	-0.06%	0.14%	2,352 ETH
During	4367.55	4454.40	4367.55	4410.00	0.96%	1.95%	25,850 ETH

10 Minutes
Before	4360.85	4371.85	4358.25	4367.56	0.15%	0.31%	4,644 ETH
During	4367.55	4454.40	4367.55	4405.74	0.87%	1.95%	37,647 ETH

15 Minutes
Before	4367.62	4371.85	4357.64	4367.56	0.00%	0.33%	6,604 ETH
During	4367.55	4454.40	4367.55	4392.80	0.57%	1.95%	42,276 ETH

30 Minutes
Before	4346.48	4371.85	4346.48	4367.56	0.48%	0.58%	11,481 ETH
During	4367.55	4454.40	4367.55	4407.38	0.90%	1.95%	50,124 ETH

1 Hour
Before	4342.09	4371.85	4335.72	4367.56	0.58%	0.83%	18,507 ETH
During	4367.55	4454.40	4367.55	4392.05	0.56%	1.95%	60,094 ETH

2 Hours
Before	4359.00	4371.85	4333.80	4367.56	0.20%	0.87%	43,595 ETH
During	4367.55	4454.40	4265.00	4296.49	-1.65%	4.25%	142,308 ETH

4 Hours
Before	4358.60	4372.72	4318.57	4367.56	0.21%	1.24%	118,750 ETH
During	4367.55	4454.40	4265.00	4333.74	-0.78%	4.25%	222,244 ETH

6 Hours
Before	4453.89	4473.17	4318.57	4367.56	-1.98%	3.46%	232,490 ETH
During	4367.55	4454.40	4265.00	4314.84	-1.22%	4.25%	266,340 ETH

8 Hours
Before	4509.90	4510.96	4355.98	4358.60	-3.47%	3.44%	210,708 ETH
During	4358.60	4454.40	4265.00	4333.74	-0.57%	4.25%	340,993 ETH

12 Hours
Before	4509.90	4510.96	4318.57	4367.56	-3.26%	4.26%	329,457 ETH
During	4367.55	4454.40	4265.00	4349.39	-0.42%	4.25%	348,617 ETH