How Sui reacted to the Personal Income and Outlays on 25 June 2026

The short answer

An exceptional reaction. In the 15 minutes after the figure came out, Sui's price swung 3.44 times as much as in a normal 15 minutes that day. For a Personal Income release, 1.53 times is usual. An hour later the price was 1.59% higher.

3.44x

Exceptional

Trading (volume ratio)
5.35x
usual for Personal Income: 1.59x
Price at 8:30 AM
$0.6863
15 minutes later
+0.57%
One hour later
+1.59%
range 1.97%, hour before 0.98%
SUI/USDT, 10 minutes candles around the release, 8:30 AM America/New York

The dashed orange line is the release. Chart data from Binance.

Open
0.6822
Close
0.6843
24h change
0.31%
24h high
0.7019
24h low
0.6514
24h volume
48.642M SUI

Measured by Clometrix

Sui's volatility ratio was 3.44x, against 1.53x for a typical Personal Income release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 5.35x, against a typical 1.59x. That is more than twice what this release usually does. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How Sui moved

Sui was at $0.6863 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.57% higher, and an hour later 1.59% higher. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 1.97% of its price, against 0.98% in the hour before.

The release

Released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis on 25 June 2026 at 8:30 AM EDT. The Personal Income and Outlays came in at 0.7% for May 2026, against 0.0% in April 2026. Personal income is rising again, after a fall.

It arrived at the same moment as Durable Goods Orders, Durable Goods Orders Excluding Transportation, Personal Consumption Expenditures, Core Personal Consumption Expenditures, Initial Jobless Claims, Continued Jobless Claims and Gross Domestic Product Report, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

What made it matter

Since 2021, Personal Income releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Sui less than those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.02x across 11, against 1.72x across 30. This one was not within two weeks of a Fed decision. Its own ratio of 3.44x compares with 1.72x for those, so it moved the price more than its circumstances alone would suggest.

Its record

Across 41 Personal Income releases since 2021, Sui's median volatility ratio is 1.52x.

How it compares

Across 40 Personal Income releases since 2021, Sui's usual price swing is 1.53x. This one was 2.24 times the usual.

MutedOrdinaryStrongExceptional

Thin line: Personal Income's usual, 1.53x. Thick line: this release, 3.44x.

Minute by minute

Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.

After High Low Close Change Range Range before Volume
1 minute 0.6978 0.686 0.6932 1.00% 1.69% 0.12% 890,899 SUI
5 minutes 0.6978 0.686 0.6913 0.72% 1.69% 0.54% 1.278M SUI
10 minutes 0.6978 0.686 0.6907 0.64% 1.69% 0.54% 1.484M SUI
15 minutes 0.6978 0.686 0.6902 0.57% 1.69% 0.69% 1.655M SUI
30 minutes 0.6978 0.686 0.6918 0.80% 1.69% 0.82% 2.347M SUI
1 hour 0.6995 0.686 0.6972 1.56% 1.93% 0.97% 5.147M SUI
2 hours 0.6995 0.6514 0.6707 -2.33% 6.88% 1.07% 18.108M SUI
4 hours 0.6995 0.6514 0.6838 -0.37% 6.88% 1.79% 24.349M SUI
6 hours 0.6995 0.6514 0.6804 -0.87% 6.88% 2.24% 28.898M SUI
8 hours 0.6995 0.6514 0.6838 -1.97% 6.88% 3.66% 29.106M SUI
12 hours 0.6995 0.6514 0.6843 -0.29% 6.88% 3.66% 35.471M SUI

Every coin at this release

Coin Price swing Usual for Personal Income Reaction
Bitcoin 3.57x 2.03x Strong
Ethereum 3.66x 1.77x Exceptional
XRP 1.01x 1.81x Quiet
BNB 3.16x 1.75x Strong
Solana 3.15x 1.57x Exceptional
Dogecoin 3.32x 1.52x Exceptional
TRON 1.75x 1.43x Ordinary
Cardano 3.16x 1.90x Strong
Chainlink 3.69x 1.62x Exceptional
Sui 3.44x 1.53x Exceptional
Bitcoin Cash 2.38x 1.69x Strong
Hedera 3.30x 1.51x Exceptional
Avalanche 3.19x 1.55x Exceptional
Litecoin 3.24x 1.64x Strong
Gram 0.99x 1.32x Quiet
Shiba Inu 2.93x 1.75x Strong
Uniswap 2.01x 1.49x Strong
Polkadot 3.27x 1.50x Exceptional
Aave 1.57x 1.58x Ordinary
Bittensor 3.14x 1.68x Strong
NEAR Protocol 2.94x 1.43x Exceptional
Aptos 3.49x 1.73x Exceptional
Internet Computer 3.91x 1.50x Exceptional
POL (prev. MATIC) 2.79x 1.60x Strong
Filecoin 3.20x 1.51x Exceptional

What is the Personal Income and Outlays?

Personal Income measures the change in the total value of income received from all sources by consumers. Income is closely correlated with consumer spending, which accounts for a majority of overall economic activity.

Every Personal Income release for Sui

Questions about this page

Is 3.44x a lot?

For a Personal Income release it is exceptional: the usual is 1.53x. Each report has its own usual size, and its releases show it.

Will the next Personal Income do the same?

Nobody can say. A forecast shows the range Sui moved in after past Personal Income releases, so you can plan for the likely size of the move.

What is PCE, and why does the Fed watch it?

PCE is the Personal Consumption Expenditures price index published by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. The Federal Reserve measures its 2 percent inflation goal with the PCE price index. PCE, Core PCE and Personal Income are released together at 8:30 a.m. ET and share one reaction. Their median Bitcoin price swing since 2021 is 2.03x, which places them in Tier 2.

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Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.