How Shiba Inu reacted to the Personal Income and Outlays on 27 August 2021

The short answer

Hardly a reaction. In the 15 minutes after the figure came out, Shiba Inu's price swung 0.81 times as much as in a normal 15 minutes that day. For a Personal Income release, 1.75 times is usual. An hour later the price was 1.39% lower.

0.81x

Quiet

Trading (volume ratio)
0.77x
usual for Personal Income: 2.65x
Price at 8:30 AM
$0.000007
15 minutes later
0.00%
One hour later
−1.39%
range 1.95%, hour before 2.23%
SHIB/USDT, 1 minute candles around the release, 8:30 AM America/New York

The dashed orange line is the release. Chart data from Binance.

Open
0.000007
Close
0.000007
24h change
7.13%
24h high
0.000008
24h low
0.000007
24h volume
9.769T SHIB

The release

Released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis on 27 August 2021 at 8:30 AM EDT. The Personal Income and Outlays came in at 1.1% for July 2021, against 0.2% in June 2021. Personal income is rising faster than before.

It arrived at the same moment as Personal Consumption Expenditures and Core Personal Consumption Expenditures, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

Measured by Clometrix

Shiba Inu's volatility ratio was 0.81x, against 1.75x for a typical Personal Income release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 0.77x, against a typical 2.65x. Under 1.5x is not a reaction at all: the market barely noticed this release. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How Shiba Inu moved

Shiba Inu was at $0.000007 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was unchanged, and an hour later 1.39% lower. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 1.95% of its price, against 2.23% in the hour before.

What made it matter

Since 2021, Personal Income releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Shiba Inu about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.75x across 17, against 1.74x across 48. This one was not within two weeks of a Fed decision. Its own ratio of 0.81x compares with 1.74x for those, so it moved the price less than its circumstances would suggest.

How it compares

Across 65 Personal Income releases since 2021, Shiba Inu's usual price swing is 1.75x. This one was 0.46 times the usual.

MutedOrdinaryStrongExceptional

Thin line: Personal Income's usual, 1.75x. Thick line: this release, 0.81x. Under 1.5x counts as no reaction at all.

Minute by minute

Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.

After High Low Close Change Range Range before Volume
1 minute 0.00000719 0.00000717 0.00000717 -0.14% 0.28% 0.28% 6.174B SHIB
5 minutes 0.00000719 0.00000715 0.00000718 0.00% 0.56% 0.55% 38.669B SHIB
10 minutes 0.0000072 0.00000715 0.0000072 0.28% 0.69% 0.69% 56.361B SHIB
15 minutes 0.0000072 0.00000715 0.00000718 0.00% 0.69% 0.69% 68.962B SHIB
30 minutes 0.0000072 0.00000715 0.00000715 -0.42% 0.69% 1.25% 149.557B SHIB
1 hour 0.0000072 0.00000706 0.00000708 -1.41% 1.94% 2.20% 399.465B SHIB
2 hours 0.00000731 0.00000706 0.00000728 1.37% 3.42% 3.16% 1.245T SHIB
4 hours 0.00000734 0.00000706 0.00000725 0.97% 3.81% 4.26% 2.128T SHIB
6 hours 0.00000757 0.00000706 0.00000754 4.77% 6.74% 4.53% 3.415T SHIB
8 hours 0.00000734 0.00000697 0.00000725 2.90% 5.04% 4.21% 3.566T SHIB
12 hours 0.00000757 0.00000706 0.00000743 3.36% 6.74% 6.32% 5.541T SHIB

Every coin at this release

Coin Price swing Usual for Personal Income Reaction
Bitcoin 0.85x 2.03x Quiet
Ethereum 1.22x 1.77x Quiet
XRP 0.99x 1.81x Quiet
BNB 1.19x 1.75x Quiet
Solana 0.97x 1.57x Quiet
Dogecoin 1.57x 1.52x Ordinary
TRON 1.03x 1.43x Quiet
Cardano 1.42x 1.90x Quiet
Chainlink 0.60x 1.62x Quiet
Bitcoin Cash 0.66x 1.69x Quiet
Hedera 0.94x 1.51x Quiet
Avalanche 1.12x 1.55x Quiet
Litecoin 0.92x 1.64x Quiet
Shiba Inu 0.81x 1.75x Quiet
Uniswap 0.66x 1.49x Quiet
Polkadot 0.85x 1.50x Quiet
Aave 1.13x 1.58x Quiet
NEAR Protocol 1.63x 1.43x Ordinary
Internet Computer 1.28x 1.50x Quiet
POL (prev. MATIC) 0.00x 1.60x Quiet
Filecoin 0.95x 1.51x Quiet

What is the Personal Income and Outlays?

Personal Income measures the change in the total value of income received from all sources by consumers. Income is closely correlated with consumer spending, which accounts for a majority of overall economic activity.

Every Personal Income release for Shiba Inu

Questions about this page

Is 0.81x a lot?

No. Under 1.5x the market barely noticed the release.

Will the next Personal Income do the same?

Nobody can say. A forecast shows the range Shiba Inu moved in after past Personal Income releases, so you can plan for the likely size of the move.

What is PCE, and why does the Fed watch it?

PCE is the Personal Consumption Expenditures price index published by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. The Federal Reserve measures its 2 percent inflation goal with the PCE price index. PCE, Core PCE and Personal Income are released together at 8:30 a.m. ET and share one reaction. Their median Bitcoin price swing since 2021 is 2.03x, which places them in Tier 2.

More questions · Glossary

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.