How NEAR Protocol reacted to the Personal Consumption Expenditures on 31 August 2023

The short answer

NEAR Protocol was at $1.200 when the figure came out, and an hour later it was 0.83% lower. The size of the swing against a normal quarter hour has not been measured for this release.

Trading (volume ratio)
1.37x
usual for PCE: 1.95x
Price at 8:30 AM
$1.200
15 minutes later
0.00%
One hour later
−0.83%
range 0.83%, hour before 0.83%
NEAR/USDT, 5 minutes candles around the release, 8:30 AM America/New York

The dashed orange line is the release. Chart data from Binance.

Open
1.200
Close
1.160
24h change
-3.45%
24h high
1.200
24h low
1.130
24h volume
4.327M NEAR

The release

Released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis on 31 August 2023 at 8:30 AM EDT. The Personal Consumption Expenditures came in at 0.1% for July 2023, against 0.2% in June 2023. Prices are still rising, but more slowly than before.

It arrived at the same moment as Personal Income and Outlays, Core Personal Consumption Expenditures, Initial Jobless Claims and Continued Jobless Claims, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

How NEAR Protocol moved

NEAR Protocol was at $1.200 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was unchanged, and an hour later 0.83% lower. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 0.83% of its price, against 0.83% in the hour before.

Measured by Clometrix

NEAR Protocol's volume ratio was 1.37x, against a typical 1.95x. Its volatility ratio could not be measured: the price barely moved through the rest of the day, so there is no ordinary quarter hour to compare against. The ratio compares the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change.

What made it matter

Since 2021, PCE releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved NEAR Protocol less than those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.02x across 18, against 1.52x across 49. This one was not within two weeks of a Fed decision.

Its record

Across 67 PCE releases since 2021, NEAR Protocol's median volatility ratio is 1.37x.

Minute by minute

Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.

After High Low Close Change Range Range before Volume
1 minute 1.20 1.19 1.20 0.00% 0.83% 0.83% 4,153 NEAR
5 minutes 1.20 1.19 1.20 0.00% 0.83% 0.83% 13,711 NEAR
10 minutes 1.20 1.19 1.20 0.00% 0.83% 0.83% 24,626 NEAR
15 minutes 1.20 1.19 1.20 0.00% 0.83% 0.83% 32,981 NEAR
30 minutes 1.20 1.19 1.20 0.00% 0.83% 0.83% 48,020 NEAR
1 hour 1.20 1.19 1.19 -0.84% 0.83% 0.83% 96,879 NEAR
2 hours 1.20 1.18 1.19 -0.84% 1.67% 0.83% 312,033 NEAR
4 hours 1.20 1.17 1.18 -1.69% 2.50% 0.83% 796,939 NEAR
6 hours 1.20 1.13 1.16 -3.45% 5.83% 0.83% 1.812M NEAR
8 hours 1.20 1.17 1.18 -0.85% 2.50% 0.83% 1.268M NEAR
12 hours 1.20 1.13 1.16 -3.45% 5.83% 0.83% 2.646M NEAR

Every coin at this release

Coin Price swing Usual for PCE Reaction
Bitcoin 1.10x 2.03x Quiet
Ethereum 0.96x 1.77x Quiet
XRP 0.67x 1.81x Quiet
BNB 1.20x 1.75x Quiet
Solana 1.24x 1.57x Quiet
Dogecoin 1.02x 1.52x Quiet
TRON 0.63x 1.43x Quiet
Cardano 0.71x 1.90x Quiet
Chainlink 0.50x 1.62x Quiet
Sui 0.76x 1.53x Quiet
Bitcoin Cash 0.82x 1.69x Quiet
Hedera 1.46x 1.51x Quiet
Avalanche 1.28x 1.55x Quiet
Litecoin 1.10x 1.64x Quiet
Shiba Inu 1.33x 1.75x Quiet
Uniswap 0.50x 1.49x Quiet
Polkadot 2.88x 1.50x Strong
Aave 1.20x 1.58x Quiet
NEAR Protocol Not measured 1.43x -
Aptos 1.00x 1.73x Quiet
Internet Computer 1.92x 1.50x Ordinary
POL (prev. MATIC) 1.09x 1.60x Quiet
Filecoin 0.94x 1.51x Quiet

What is the Personal Consumption Expenditures?

Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) is a measure of the prices people in the United States pay for goods and services. PCE accounts for about two-thirds of domestic spending and is a significant driver of gross domestic product (GDP). An estimated total of personal consumption expenditures (PCE) is compiled by the Bureau of Economic Analysis as one way to measure and track changes in the prices of consumer goods over time.

Every PCE release for NEAR Protocol

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.