The release
Released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis on 13 March 2026 at 8:30 AM EDT. The Personal Consumption Expenditures came in at 0.3% for January 2026, against 0.3% in December 2025. Prices are rising at the same pace as before.
It arrived at the same moment as Durable Goods Orders, Durable Goods Orders Excluding Transportation, Gross Domestic Product Report, Personal Income and Outlays and Core Personal Consumption Expenditures, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.
How POL (prev. MATIC) moved
POL (prev. MATIC) was at $0.0988 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.3% lower, and an hour later unchanged. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 1.01% of its price, against 0.71% in the hour before.
Measured by Clometrix
POL (prev. MATIC)'s volatility ratio was 1.93x, against 1.56x for a typical PCE release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 1.99x, against a typical 2.18x. That is about what this release usually does. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.
What made it matter
Since 2021, PCE releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved POL (prev. MATIC) more than those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.87x across 18, against 1.51x across 51. This one came out 5 days before the Federal Reserve's 18 March rate decision. Its own ratio of 1.93x compares with 1.87x for those, about what its circumstances would suggest.
Its record
Across 69 PCE releases since 2021, POL (prev. MATIC)'s median volatility ratio is 1.56x.
How it compares
Across 69 PCE releases since 2021, POL (prev. MATIC)'s usual price swing is 1.56x. This one was 1.24 times the usual.
Thin line: PCE's usual, 1.56x. Thick line: this release, 1.93x.
Minute by minute
Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.
| After | High | Low | Close | Change | Range | Range before | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 minute | 0.0989 | 0.0988 | 0.0989 | 0.10% | 0.10% | 0.10% | 87,535 POL |
| 5 minutes | 0.099 | 0.0982 | 0.0984 | -0.41% | 0.81% | 0.20% | 1.027M POL |
| 10 minutes | 0.099 | 0.0982 | 0.0985 | -0.30% | 0.81% | 0.40% | 1.126M POL |
| 15 minutes | 0.099 | 0.0982 | 0.0985 | -0.30% | 0.81% | 0.61% | 1.169M POL |
| 30 minutes | 0.0991 | 0.0982 | 0.099 | 0.20% | 0.91% | 0.71% | 1.969M POL |
| 1 hour | 0.0991 | 0.0981 | 0.0988 | 0.00% | 1.01% | 0.71% | 4.291M POL |
| 2 hours | 0.10 | 0.0981 | 0.0998 | 1.00% | 1.90% | 0.81% | 8.176M POL |
| 4 hours | 0.10 | 0.0971 | 0.0978 | -1.02% | 2.90% | 1.11% | 16.083M POL |
| 6 hours | 0.10 | 0.0955 | 0.0963 | -2.60% | 4.50% | 1.31% | 27.192M POL |
| 8 hours | 0.10 | 0.0971 | 0.0978 | -0.51% | 2.90% | 2.69% | 25.582M POL |
| 12 hours | 0.10 | 0.0949 | 0.0955 | -3.46% | 5.10% | 2.69% | 45.789M POL |
Every coin at this release
| Coin | Price swing | Usual for PCE | Reaction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 1.28x | 2.06x | Quiet |
| Ethereum | 0.84x | 1.79x | Quiet |
| XRP | 0.00x | 1.70x | Quiet |
| BNB | 1.01x | 1.78x | Quiet |
| Solana | 1.12x | 1.58x | Quiet |
| Dogecoin | 2.39x | 1.51x | Strong |
| TRON | 1.00x | 1.42x | Quiet |
| Cardano | 2.10x | 1.88x | Ordinary |
| Chainlink | 0.80x | 1.61x | Quiet |
| Sui | 0.00x | 1.52x | Quiet |
| Bitcoin Cash | 1.39x | 1.67x | Quiet |
| Hedera | 1.31x | 1.48x | Quiet |
| Avalanche | 1.55x | 1.55x | Ordinary |
| Litecoin | 1.14x | 1.64x | Quiet |
| Gram | Not measured | 1.29x | - |
| Shiba Inu | 2.56x | 1.74x | Strong |
| Uniswap | 1.47x | 1.48x | Quiet |
| Polkadot | 0.00x | 1.49x | Quiet |
| Aave | 1.21x | 1.57x | Quiet |
| Bittensor | 1.22x | 1.68x | Quiet |
| NEAR Protocol | 1.00x | 1.37x | Quiet |
| Aptos | 1.30x | 1.70x | Quiet |
| Internet Computer | 1.00x | 1.50x | Quiet |
| POL (prev. MATIC) | 1.93x | 1.56x | Ordinary |
| Filecoin | 1.00x | 1.50x | Quiet |
What is the Personal Consumption Expenditures?
Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) is a measure of the prices people in the United States pay for goods and services. PCE accounts for about two-thirds of domestic spending and is a significant driver of gross domestic product (GDP). An estimated total of personal consumption expenditures (PCE) is compiled by the Bureau of Economic Analysis as one way to measure and track changes in the prices of consumer goods over time.Questions about this page
Is 1.93x a lot?
For a PCE release it is ordinary: the usual is 1.56x. Each report has its own usual size, and its releases show it.
Will the next PCE do the same?
Nobody can say. A forecast shows the range POL (prev. MATIC) moved in after past PCE releases, so you can plan for the likely size of the move.
Disclaimer
The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.