How Dogecoin reacted to the Personal Consumption Expenditures on 22 December 2023

The short answer

A strong reaction. In the 15 minutes after the figure came out, Dogecoin's price swung 2.33 times as much as in a normal 15 minutes that day. For a PCE release, 1.51 times is usual. An hour later the price was 0.30% lower.

2.33x

Strong

Trading (volume ratio)
2.68x
usual for PCE: 2.50x
Price at 8:30 AM
$0.093130
15 minutes later
+0.52%
One hour later
−0.30%
range 1.14%, hour before 0.86%
DOGE/USDT, 30 minutes candles around the release, 8:30 AM America/New York

The dashed orange line is the release. Chart data from Binance.

Open
0.094970
Close
0.093600
24h change
-1.46%
24h high
0.095590
24h low
0.091950
24h volume
1.2B DOGE

Measured by Clometrix

Dogecoin's volatility ratio was 2.33x, against 1.51x for a typical PCE release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 2.68x, against a typical 2.50x. That is a strong reaction by this release's own standard. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How Dogecoin moved

Dogecoin was at $0.093130 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.52% higher, and an hour later 0.3% lower. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 1.14% of its price, against 0.86% in the hour before.

The release

Released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis on 22 December 2023 at 8:30 AM EST. The Personal Consumption Expenditures came in at 0.0% for November 2023, against 0.0% in October 2023. Prices were flat.

It arrived at the same moment as Durable Goods Orders, Durable Goods Orders Excluding Transportation, Personal Income and Outlays and Core Personal Consumption Expenditures, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

What made it matter

Since 2021, PCE releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Dogecoin about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.51x across 18, against 1.54x across 52. This one was not within two weeks of a Fed decision. Its own ratio of 2.33x compares with 1.54x for those, so it moved the price more than its circumstances alone would suggest.

Its record

Across 70 PCE releases since 2021, Dogecoin's median volatility ratio is 1.51x.

How it compares

Across 70 PCE releases since 2021, Dogecoin's usual price swing is 1.51x. This one was 1.54 times the usual.

MutedOrdinaryStrongExceptional

Thin line: PCE's usual, 1.51x. Thick line: this release, 2.33x.

Minute by minute

Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.

After High Low Close Change Range Range before Volume
1 minute 0.09313 0.09288 0.09297 -0.17% 0.27% 0.03% 1.109M DOGE
5 minutes 0.09324 0.09287 0.09319 0.06% 0.40% 0.11% 2.469M DOGE
10 minutes 0.09346 0.09287 0.09346 0.35% 0.63% 0.16% 5.142M DOGE
15 minutes 0.09381 0.09287 0.09361 0.51% 1.00% 0.21% 28.426M DOGE
30 minutes 0.09381 0.09287 0.09352 0.42% 1.00% 0.81% 41.248M DOGE
1 hour 0.09387 0.09281 0.09285 -0.30% 1.13% 0.86% 65.619M DOGE
2 hours 0.09387 0.09281 0.09383 0.75% 1.13% 1.13% 102.125M DOGE
4 hours 0.09425 0.09281 0.09395 0.87% 1.53% 1.26% 177.539M DOGE
6 hours 0.09499 0.09281 0.09417 1.10% 2.29% 1.64% 261.083M DOGE
8 hours 0.09425 0.0923 0.09395 1.67% 2.07% 3.81% 307.448M DOGE
12 hours 0.09529 0.09281 0.0936 0.50% 2.60% 3.81% 516.678M DOGE

Every coin at this release

Coin Price swing Usual for PCE Reaction
Bitcoin 2.16x 2.06x Ordinary
Ethereum 1.38x 1.79x Quiet
XRP 1.13x 1.70x Quiet
BNB 1.25x 1.78x Quiet
Solana 1.44x 1.58x Quiet
Dogecoin 2.33x 1.51x Strong
TRON 0.92x 1.42x Quiet
Cardano 1.42x 1.88x Quiet
Chainlink 1.78x 1.61x Ordinary
Sui 1.42x 1.52x Quiet
Bitcoin Cash 1.12x 1.67x Quiet
Hedera 1.04x 1.48x Quiet
Avalanche 1.45x 1.55x Quiet
Litecoin 1.34x 1.64x Quiet
Shiba Inu 2.55x 1.74x Strong
Uniswap 1.24x 1.48x Quiet
Polkadot 1.98x 1.49x Strong
Aave 0.87x 1.57x Quiet
NEAR Protocol 0.75x 1.37x Quiet
Aptos 1.29x 1.70x Quiet
Internet Computer 1.00x 1.50x Quiet
POL (prev. MATIC) 2.22x 1.56x Strong
Filecoin 1.26x 1.50x Quiet

What is the Personal Consumption Expenditures?

Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) is a measure of the prices people in the United States pay for goods and services. PCE accounts for about two-thirds of domestic spending and is a significant driver of gross domestic product (GDP). An estimated total of personal consumption expenditures (PCE) is compiled by the Bureau of Economic Analysis as one way to measure and track changes in the prices of consumer goods over time.

Every PCE release for Dogecoin

Questions about this page

Is 2.33x a lot?

For a PCE release it is strong: the usual is 1.51x. Each report has its own usual size, and its releases show it.

Will the next PCE do the same?

Nobody can say. A forecast shows the range Dogecoin moved in after past PCE releases, so you can plan for the likely size of the move.

More questions · Glossary

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.