How Dogecoin reacted to the Personal Consumption Expenditures on 28 January 2022

The short answer

A strong reaction. In the 15 minutes after the figure came out, Dogecoin's price swung 2.36 times as much as in a normal 15 minutes that day. For a PCE release, 1.52 times is usual. An hour later the price was 1.08% higher.

2.36x

Strong

Trading (volume ratio)
3.15x
usual for PCE: 2.33x
Price at 8:30 AM
$0.138400
15 minutes later
+1.08%
One hour later
+1.08%
range 1.59%, hour before 1.08%
DOGE/USDT, 1 minute candles around the release, 8:30 AM America/New York

The dashed orange line is the release. Chart data from Binance.

Open
0.140300
Close
0.141700
24h change
0.99%
24h high
0.142900
24h low
0.137700
24h volume
447.387M DOGE

Measured by Clometrix

Dogecoin's volatility ratio was 2.36x, against 1.52x for a typical PCE release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 3.15x, against a typical 2.33x. That is a strong reaction by this release's own standard. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How Dogecoin moved

Dogecoin was at $0.138400 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 1.08% higher, and an hour later 1.08% higher. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 1.59% of its price, against 1.08% in the hour before.

The release

Released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis on 28 January 2022 at 8:30 AM EST. The Personal Consumption Expenditures came in at 0.6% for December 2021, against 0.7% in November 2021. Prices are still rising, but more slowly than before.

It arrived at the same moment as Personal Income and Outlays and Core Personal Consumption Expenditures, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

What made it matter

Since 2021, PCE releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Dogecoin about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.51x across 17, against 1.54x across 52. This one came out 2 days after the Federal Reserve's 26 January rate decision. Its own ratio of 2.36x compares with 1.54x for those, so it moved the price more than its circumstances alone would suggest.

Its record

Across 69 PCE releases since 2021, Dogecoin's median volatility ratio is 1.52x.

How it compares

Across 69 PCE releases since 2021, Dogecoin's usual price swing is 1.52x. This one was 1.56 times the usual.

MutedOrdinaryStrongExceptional

Thin line: PCE's usual, 1.52x. Thick line: this release, 2.36x.

Minute by minute

Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.

After High Low Close Change Range Range before Volume
1 minute 0.1392 0.1383 0.139 0.43% 0.65% 0.14% 1.265M DOGE
5 minutes 0.14 0.1383 0.1395 0.79% 1.21% 0.29% 5.448M DOGE
10 minutes 0.1404 0.1383 0.1403 1.35% 1.50% 0.58% 9.919M DOGE
15 minutes 0.1404 0.1383 0.1399 1.07% 1.50% 0.72% 12.882M DOGE
30 minutes 0.1404 0.1383 0.1401 1.21% 1.50% 0.72% 18.427M DOGE
1 hour 0.1405 0.1383 0.1399 1.07% 1.57% 1.08% 30.62M DOGE
2 hours 0.1405 0.1383 0.1393 0.65% 1.57% 1.36% 58.58M DOGE
4 hours 0.1419 0.1383 0.1403 1.35% 2.54% 1.64% 104.256M DOGE
6 hours 0.1419 0.1383 0.1393 0.65% 2.54% 2.34% 137.542M DOGE
8 hours 0.1419 0.1377 0.1403 0.36% 2.96% 2.53% 169.932M DOGE
12 hours 0.1429 0.1383 0.1417 2.33% 3.22% 3.23% 233.266M DOGE

Every coin at this release

Coin Price swing Usual for PCE Reaction
Bitcoin 3.46x 2.03x Strong
Ethereum 3.08x 1.77x Strong
XRP 2.88x 1.81x Strong
BNB 2.33x 1.75x Strong
Solana 3.51x 1.57x Exceptional
Dogecoin 2.36x 1.52x Strong
TRON 2.28x 1.43x Strong
Cardano 2.02x 1.90x Ordinary
Chainlink 2.93x 1.62x Strong
Bitcoin Cash 3.18x 1.69x Strong
Hedera 1.85x 1.51x Ordinary
Avalanche 2.57x 1.55x Strong
Litecoin 3.57x 1.64x Exceptional
Shiba Inu 2.22x 1.75x Ordinary
Uniswap 2.60x 1.49x Strong
Polkadot 2.76x 1.50x Strong
Aave 3.05x 1.58x Strong
NEAR Protocol 1.94x 1.43x Strong
Internet Computer 2.37x 1.50x Strong
POL (prev. MATIC) 2.59x 1.60x Strong
Filecoin 3.28x 1.51x Exceptional

What is the Personal Consumption Expenditures?

Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) is a measure of the prices people in the United States pay for goods and services. PCE accounts for about two-thirds of domestic spending and is a significant driver of gross domestic product (GDP). An estimated total of personal consumption expenditures (PCE) is compiled by the Bureau of Economic Analysis as one way to measure and track changes in the prices of consumer goods over time.

Every PCE release for Dogecoin

Questions about this page

Is 2.36x a lot?

For a PCE release it is strong: the usual is 1.52x. Each report has its own usual size, and its releases show it.

Will the next PCE do the same?

Nobody can say. A forecast shows the range Dogecoin moved in after past PCE releases, so you can plan for the likely size of the move.

What is PCE, and why does the Fed watch it?

PCE is the Personal Consumption Expenditures price index published by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. The Federal Reserve measures its 2 percent inflation goal with the PCE price index. PCE, Core PCE and Personal Income are released together at 8:30 a.m. ET and share one reaction. Their median Bitcoin price swing since 2021 is 2.03x, which places them in Tier 2.

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Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.