How Bitcoin Cash reacted to the Personal Consumption Expenditures on 30 May 2025

The short answer

An ordinary reaction. In the 15 minutes after the figure came out, Bitcoin Cash's price swung 1.93 times as much as in a normal 15 minutes that day. For a PCE release, 1.67 times is usual. An hour later the price was 0.47% higher.

1.93x

Ordinary

Trading (volume ratio)
0.92x
usual for PCE: 2.00x
Price at 8:30 AM
$407.40
15 minutes later
+1.03%
One hour later
+0.47%
range 1.57%, hour before 1.13%
BCH/USDT, 1 minute candles around the release, 8:30 AM America/New York

The dashed orange line is the release. Chart data from Binance.

Open
412.10
Close
394.70
24h change
-4.41%
24h high
414.60
24h low
391.00
24h volume
39,395 BCH

The release

Released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis on 30 May 2025 at 8:30 AM EDT. The Personal Consumption Expenditures came in at 0.2% for April 2025, against 0.0% in March 2025. Prices are rising again, after a fall.

It arrived at the same moment as Personal Income and Outlays and Core Personal Consumption Expenditures, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

How Bitcoin Cash moved

Bitcoin Cash was at $407.40 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 1.03% higher, and an hour later 0.47% higher. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 1.57% of its price, against 1.13% in the hour before.

Measured by Clometrix

Bitcoin Cash's volatility ratio was 1.93x, against 1.67x for a typical PCE release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 0.92x, against a typical 2.00x. That is about what this release usually does. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

What made it matter

Since 2021, PCE releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Bitcoin Cash about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.74x across 18, against 1.64x across 52. This one was not within two weeks of a Fed decision. Its own ratio of 1.93x compares with 1.64x for those, so it moved the price more than its circumstances alone would suggest.

Its record

Across 70 PCE releases since 2021, Bitcoin Cash's median volatility ratio is 1.67x.

How it compares

Across 70 PCE releases since 2021, Bitcoin Cash's usual price swing is 1.67x. This one was 1.16 times the usual.

MutedOrdinaryStrongExceptional

Thin line: PCE's usual, 1.67x. Thick line: this release, 1.93x.

Minute by minute

Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.

After High Low Close Change Range Range before Volume
1 minute 408.60 407.40 408.60 0.29% 0.29% 0.02% 26 BCH
5 minutes 409.40 407.40 409.00 0.39% 0.49% 0.56% 73 BCH
10 minutes 409.40 407.40 409.00 0.39% 0.49% 0.69% 125 BCH
15 minutes 411.60 407.40 411.60 1.02% 1.02% 0.69% 217 BCH
30 minutes 413.80 407.40 410.70 0.80% 1.55% 1.12% 661 BCH
1 hour 413.80 407.40 409.30 0.46% 1.55% 1.12% 1,237 BCH
2 hours 413.80 404.80 406.40 -0.25% 2.17% 1.46% 2,936 BCH
4 hours 413.80 402.10 402.20 -1.29% 2.83% 2.43% 5,776 BCH
6 hours 413.80 394.20 405.90 -0.37% 4.74% 2.43% 13,311 BCH
8 hours 413.80 400.80 402.20 -0.75% 3.14% 4.37% 9,508 BCH
12 hours 413.80 391.00 394.70 -3.22% 5.51% 4.37% 20,843 BCH

Every coin at this release

Coin Price swing Usual for PCE Reaction
Bitcoin 1.56x 2.06x Ordinary
Ethereum 1.89x 1.79x Ordinary
XRP 1.00x 1.70x Quiet
BNB 1.25x 1.78x Quiet
Solana 1.17x 1.58x Quiet
Dogecoin 1.31x 1.51x Quiet
TRON 1.43x 1.42x Quiet
Cardano 1.36x 1.88x Quiet
Chainlink 1.60x 1.61x Ordinary
Sui 1.33x 1.52x Quiet
Bitcoin Cash 1.93x 1.67x Ordinary
Hedera 1.17x 1.48x Quiet
Avalanche 1.52x 1.55x Ordinary
Litecoin 1.39x 1.64x Quiet
Gram 1.49x 1.29x Quiet
Shiba Inu 1.46x 1.74x Quiet
Uniswap 1.14x 1.48x Quiet
Polkadot 1.00x 1.49x Quiet
Aave 2.08x 1.57x Strong
Bittensor 0.84x 1.68x Quiet
NEAR Protocol 0.99x 1.37x Quiet
Aptos 1.47x 1.70x Quiet
Internet Computer 1.28x 1.50x Quiet
POL (prev. MATIC) 1.27x 1.56x Quiet
Filecoin 1.51x 1.50x Ordinary

What is the Personal Consumption Expenditures?

Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) is a measure of the prices people in the United States pay for goods and services. PCE accounts for about two-thirds of domestic spending and is a significant driver of gross domestic product (GDP). An estimated total of personal consumption expenditures (PCE) is compiled by the Bureau of Economic Analysis as one way to measure and track changes in the prices of consumer goods over time.

Every PCE release for Bitcoin Cash

Questions about this page

Is 1.93x a lot?

For a PCE release it is ordinary: the usual is 1.67x. Each report has its own usual size, and its releases show it.

Will the next PCE do the same?

Nobody can say. A forecast shows the range Bitcoin Cash moved in after past PCE releases, so you can plan for the likely size of the move.

More questions ยท Glossary

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.