How NEAR Protocol reacted to the Personal Consumption Expenditures on 30 June 2022

The short answer

Hardly a reaction. In the 15 minutes after the figure came out, NEAR Protocol's price swung 1.34 times as much as in a normal 15 minutes that day. For a PCE release, 1.37 times is usual. An hour later the price was unchanged.

1.34x

Quiet

Trading (volume ratio)
2.54x
usual for PCE: 2.04x
Price at 8:30 AM
$3.210
15 minutes later
+0.93%
One hour later
0.00%
range 1.56%, hour before 1.56%
NEAR/USDT, 15 minutes candles around the release, 8:30 AM America/New York

The dashed orange line is the release. Chart data from Binance.

Open
3.400
Close
3.420
24h change
0.58%
24h high
3.440
24h low
3.130
24h volume
12.301M NEAR

The release

Released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis on 30 June 2022 at 8:30 AM EDT. The Personal Consumption Expenditures came in at 0.6% for May 2022, against 0.3% in April 2022. Prices are rising faster than before.

It arrived at the same moment as Personal Income and Outlays, Core Personal Consumption Expenditures, Initial Jobless Claims and Continued Jobless Claims, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

Measured by Clometrix

NEAR Protocol's volatility ratio was 1.34x, against 1.37x for a typical PCE release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 2.54x, against a typical 2.04x. Under 1.5x is not a reaction at all: the market barely noticed this release. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How NEAR Protocol moved

NEAR Protocol was at $3.210 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.93% higher, and an hour later unchanged. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 1.56% of its price, against 1.56% in the hour before.

What made it matter

Since 2021, PCE releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved NEAR Protocol less than those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.02x across 18, against 1.52x across 49. This one was not within two weeks of a Fed decision. Its own ratio of 1.34x compares with 1.52x for those, about what its circumstances would suggest.

How it compares

Across 67 PCE releases since 2021, NEAR Protocol's usual price swing is 1.37x. This one was 0.97 times the usual.

MutedOrdinaryStrongExceptional

Thin line: PCE's usual, 1.37x. Thick line: this release, 1.34x. Under 1.5x counts as no reaction at all.

Minute by minute

Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.

After High Low Close Change Range Range before Volume
1 minute 3.24 3.21 3.23 0.62% 0.93% 0.31% 61,546 NEAR
5 minutes 3.25 3.21 3.24 0.93% 1.23% 0.62% 160,370 NEAR
10 minutes 3.25 3.21 3.23 0.62% 1.23% 0.93% 199,881 NEAR
15 minutes 3.25 3.21 3.24 0.93% 1.23% 1.24% 235,832 NEAR
30 minutes 3.25 3.21 3.22 0.31% 1.23% 1.24% 337,502 NEAR
1 hour 3.25 3.20 3.21 0.00% 1.54% 1.55% 481,956 NEAR
2 hours 3.25 3.13 3.17 -1.26% 3.69% 1.86% 1.235M NEAR
4 hours 3.26 3.13 3.25 1.23% 3.99% 2.48% 2.228M NEAR
6 hours 3.28 3.13 3.24 0.93% 4.57% 3.98% 2.878M NEAR
8 hours 3.26 3.13 3.25 1.54% 3.99% 7.02% 4.146M NEAR
12 hours 3.44 3.13 3.42 6.14% 9.01% 8.19% 6.241M NEAR

Every coin at this release

Coin Price swing Usual for PCE Reaction
Bitcoin 1.55x 2.06x Ordinary
Ethereum 1.47x 1.79x Quiet
XRP 1.34x 1.70x Quiet
BNB 1.17x 1.78x Quiet
Solana 1.21x 1.58x Quiet
Dogecoin 1.04x 1.51x Quiet
TRON 2.06x 1.42x Strong
Cardano 1.31x 1.88x Quiet
Chainlink 1.50x 1.61x Quiet
Bitcoin Cash 1.29x 1.67x Quiet
Hedera 1.18x 1.48x Quiet
Avalanche 1.28x 1.55x Quiet
Litecoin 1.81x 1.64x Ordinary
Shiba Inu 1.44x 1.74x Quiet
Uniswap 0.86x 1.48x Quiet
Polkadot 1.32x 1.49x Quiet
Aave 1.06x 1.57x Quiet
NEAR Protocol 1.34x 1.37x Quiet
Internet Computer 1.00x 1.50x Quiet
POL (prev. MATIC) 1.31x 1.56x Quiet
Filecoin 1.19x 1.50x Quiet

What is the Personal Consumption Expenditures?

Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) is a measure of the prices people in the United States pay for goods and services. PCE accounts for about two-thirds of domestic spending and is a significant driver of gross domestic product (GDP). An estimated total of personal consumption expenditures (PCE) is compiled by the Bureau of Economic Analysis as one way to measure and track changes in the prices of consumer goods over time.

Every PCE release for NEAR Protocol

Questions about this page

Is 1.34x a lot?

No. Under 1.5x the market barely noticed the release.

Will the next PCE do the same?

Nobody can say. A forecast shows the range NEAR Protocol moved in after past PCE releases, so you can plan for the likely size of the move.

More questions ยท Glossary

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.