How XRP reacted to the Personal Consumption Expenditures on 27 May 2022

The short answer

A strong reaction. In the 15 minutes after the figure came out, XRP's price swung 2.30 times as much as in a normal 15 minutes that day. For a PCE release, 1.70 times is usual. An hour later the price was 0.64% higher.

2.30x

Strong

Trading (volume ratio)
2.37x
usual for PCE: 1.97x
Price at 8:30 AM
$0.3912
15 minutes later
+1.43%
One hour later
+0.64%
range 1.76%, hour before 1.05%
XRP/USDT, 1 minute candles around the release, 8:30 AM America/New York

The dashed orange line is the release. Chart data from Binance.

Open
0.3942
Close
0.3840
24h change
-2.66%
24h high
0.4032
24h low
0.3764
24h volume
543.469M XRP

Measured by Clometrix

XRP's volatility ratio was 2.30x, against 1.70x for a typical PCE release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 2.37x, against a typical 1.97x. That is a strong reaction by this release's own standard. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How XRP moved

XRP was at $0.3912 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 1.43% higher, and an hour later 0.64% higher. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 1.76% of its price, against 1.05% in the hour before.

The release

Released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis on 27 May 2022 at 8:30 AM EDT. The Personal Consumption Expenditures came in at 0.3% for April 2022, against 0.9% in March 2022. Prices are still rising, but more slowly than before.

It arrived at the same moment as Personal Income and Outlays and Core Personal Consumption Expenditures, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

What made it matter

Since 2021, PCE releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved XRP less than those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.50x across 17, against 1.93x across 50. This one was not within two weeks of a Fed decision. Its own ratio of 2.30x compares with 1.93x for those, so it moved the price more than its circumstances alone would suggest.

Its record

Across 67 PCE releases since 2021, XRP's median volatility ratio is 1.70x.

How it compares

Across 67 PCE releases since 2021, XRP's usual price swing is 1.70x. This one was 1.35 times the usual.

MutedOrdinaryStrongExceptional

Thin line: PCE's usual, 1.70x. Thick line: this release, 2.30x.

Minute by minute

Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.

After High Low Close Change Range Range before Volume
1 minute 0.3935 0.3905 0.3926 0.36% 0.76% 0.31% 1.978M XRP
5 minutes 0.3935 0.3905 0.3935 0.58% 0.76% 0.36% 5.789M XRP
10 minutes 0.3964 0.3905 0.396 1.21% 1.49% 0.36% 8.519M XRP
15 minutes 0.3974 0.3905 0.3968 1.41% 1.74% 0.84% 12.215M XRP
30 minutes 0.3974 0.3905 0.3959 1.19% 1.74% 0.84% 17.138M XRP
1 hour 0.3974 0.3905 0.3937 0.64% 1.74% 1.04% 24.978M XRP
2 hours 0.3974 0.3905 0.3921 0.23% 1.74% 1.40% 47.537M XRP
4 hours 0.3974 0.3847 0.3856 -1.45% 3.20% 2.29% 111.534M XRP
6 hours 0.3974 0.3793 0.3803 -2.87% 4.55% 3.22% 155.371M XRP
8 hours 0.3974 0.3847 0.3856 -2.41% 3.20% 4.39% 187.004M XRP
12 hours 0.3974 0.3764 0.384 -1.88% 5.28% 4.39% 234.359M XRP

Every coin at this release

Coin Price swing Usual for PCE Reaction
Bitcoin 2.51x 2.06x Ordinary
Ethereum 2.37x 1.79x Strong
XRP 2.30x 1.70x Strong
BNB 1.98x 1.78x Ordinary
Solana 2.11x 1.58x Strong
Dogecoin 1.39x 1.51x Quiet
TRON 2.36x 1.42x Strong
Cardano 1.78x 1.88x Ordinary
Chainlink 1.66x 1.61x Ordinary
Bitcoin Cash 1.70x 1.67x Ordinary
Hedera 1.69x 1.48x Ordinary
Avalanche 2.65x 1.55x Strong
Litecoin 1.65x 1.64x Ordinary
Shiba Inu 1.88x 1.74x Ordinary
Uniswap 2.06x 1.48x Strong
Polkadot 1.30x 1.49x Quiet
Aave 2.11x 1.57x Strong
NEAR Protocol 1.52x 1.37x Ordinary
Internet Computer 1.95x 1.50x Ordinary
POL (prev. MATIC) 1.92x 1.56x Ordinary
Filecoin 1.60x 1.50x Ordinary

What is the Personal Consumption Expenditures?

Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) is a measure of the prices people in the United States pay for goods and services. PCE accounts for about two-thirds of domestic spending and is a significant driver of gross domestic product (GDP). An estimated total of personal consumption expenditures (PCE) is compiled by the Bureau of Economic Analysis as one way to measure and track changes in the prices of consumer goods over time.

Every PCE release for XRP

Questions about this page

Is 2.30x a lot?

For a PCE release it is strong: the usual is 1.70x. Each report has its own usual size, and its releases show it.

Will the next PCE do the same?

Nobody can say. A forecast shows the range XRP moved in after past PCE releases, so you can plan for the likely size of the move.

More questions ยท Glossary

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.