How XRP reacted to the Personal Consumption Expenditures on 30 August 2018

The short answer

An ordinary reaction. In the 15 minutes after the figure came out, XRP's price swung 1.88 times as much as in a normal 15 minutes that day. For a PCE release, 1.81 times is usual. An hour later the price was 0.36% lower.

1.88x

Ordinary

Trading (volume ratio)
1.52x
usual for PCE: 1.95x
Price at 8:30 AM
$0.3263
15 minutes later
−0.87%
One hour later
−0.36%
range 1.14%, hour before 1.94%
XRP/USDT, 30 minutes candles around the release, 8:30 AM America/New York

The dashed orange line is the release. Chart data from Binance.

Open
0.3458
Close
0.3337
24h change
-3.61%
24h high
0.3466
24h low
0.3225
24h volume
44.083M XRP

The release

Released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis on 30 August 2018 at 8:30 AM EDT. The Personal Consumption Expenditures came in at 0.1% for July 2018, against 0.1% in June 2018. Prices are rising at the same pace as before.

It arrived at the same moment as Personal Income and Outlays, Core Personal Consumption Expenditures, Initial Jobless Claims and Continued Jobless Claims, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

How XRP moved

XRP was at $0.3263 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.87% lower, and an hour later 0.36% lower. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 1.14% of its price, against 1.94% in the hour before.

Measured by Clometrix

XRP's volatility ratio was 1.88x, against 1.81x for a typical PCE release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 1.52x, against a typical 1.95x. That is about what this release usually does. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

What made it matter

Since 2021, PCE releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved XRP less than those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.60x across 16, against 1.93x across 50. This one was not within two weeks of a Fed decision. Its own ratio of 1.88x compares with 1.93x for those, about what its circumstances would suggest.

Its record

Across 66 PCE releases since 2021, XRP's median volatility ratio is 1.81x.

How it compares

Across 66 PCE releases since 2021, XRP's usual price swing is 1.81x. This one was 1.04 times the usual.

MutedOrdinaryStrongExceptional

Thin line: PCE's usual, 1.81x. Thick line: this release, 1.88x.

Minute by minute

Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.

After High Low Close Change Range Range before Volume
1 minute 0.32625 0.32609 0.32609 -0.05% 0.05% 0.00% 3,105 XRP
5 minutes 0.32625 0.32467 0.32508 -0.36% 0.48% 0.36% 138,291 XRP
10 minutes 0.32625 0.32441 0.32441 -0.57% 0.56% 0.36% 304,526 XRP
15 minutes 0.32625 0.32306 0.32342 -0.88% 0.98% 0.70% 609,329 XRP
30 minutes 0.32625 0.32306 0.32449 -0.54% 0.98% 1.13% 1.241M XRP
1 hour 0.32625 0.32252 0.32507 -0.36% 1.14% 1.92% 2.209M XRP
2 hours 0.3305 0.32252 0.3305 1.29% 2.41% 2.58% 3.79M XRP
4 hours 0.3314 0.32252 0.3267 0.14% 2.68% 2.89% 7.337M XRP
6 hours 0.3314 0.32252 0.3256 -0.20% 2.68% 4.74% 10.348M XRP
8 hours 0.33279 0.32252 0.3267 -1.74% 3.09% 4.34% 17.3M XRP
12 hours 0.33655 0.32252 0.33369 2.23% 4.17% 6.76% 20.728M XRP

Every coin at this release

Coin Price swing Usual for PCE Reaction
Bitcoin 2.18x 2.03x Ordinary
Ethereum 1.72x 1.77x Ordinary
XRP 1.88x 1.81x Ordinary
BNB 1.18x 1.75x Quiet
TRON 1.50x 1.43x Quiet
Cardano 1.32x 1.90x Quiet
Litecoin 1.35x 1.64x Quiet

What is the Personal Consumption Expenditures?

Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) is a measure of the prices people in the United States pay for goods and services. PCE accounts for about two-thirds of domestic spending and is a significant driver of gross domestic product (GDP). An estimated total of personal consumption expenditures (PCE) is compiled by the Bureau of Economic Analysis as one way to measure and track changes in the prices of consumer goods over time.

Every PCE release for XRP

Questions about this page

Is 1.88x a lot?

For a PCE release it is ordinary: the usual is 1.81x. Each report has its own usual size, and its releases show it.

Will the next PCE do the same?

Nobody can say. A forecast shows the range XRP moved in after past PCE releases, so you can plan for the likely size of the move.

What is PCE, and why does the Fed watch it?

PCE is the Personal Consumption Expenditures price index published by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. The Federal Reserve measures its 2 percent inflation goal with the PCE price index. PCE, Core PCE and Personal Income are released together at 8:30 a.m. ET and share one reaction. Their median Bitcoin price swing since 2021 is 2.03x, which places them in Tier 2.

More questions · Glossary

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.