How Hedera reacted to the Personal Consumption Expenditures on 27 September 2024

The short answer

Hardly a reaction. In the 15 minutes after the figure came out, Hedera's price swung 1.01 times as much as in a normal 15 minutes that day. For a PCE release, 1.51 times is usual. An hour later the price was unchanged.

1.01x

Quiet

Trading (volume ratio)
1.40x
usual for PCE: 1.80x
Price at 8:30 AM
$0.061300
15 minutes later
+0.33%
One hour later
0.00%
range 0.82%, hour before 1.14%
HBAR/USDT, 1 minute candles around the release, 8:30 AM America/New York

The dashed orange line is the release. Chart data from Binance.

Open
0.061900
Close
0.061600
24h change
-0.49%
24h high
0.062900
24h low
0.060500
24h volume
134.769M HBAR

The release

Released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis on 27 September 2024 at 8:30 AM EDT. The Personal Consumption Expenditures came in at 0.1% for August 2024, against 0.2% in July 2024. Prices are still rising, but more slowly than before.

It arrived at the same moment as Personal Income and Outlays and Core Personal Consumption Expenditures, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

Measured by Clometrix

Hedera's volatility ratio was 1.01x, against 1.51x for a typical PCE release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 1.40x, against a typical 1.80x. Under 1.5x is not a reaction at all: the market barely noticed this release. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How Hedera moved

Hedera was at $0.061300 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.33% higher, and an hour later unchanged. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 0.82% of its price, against 1.14% in the hour before.

What made it matter

Since 2021, PCE releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Hedera about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.41x across 18, against 1.56x across 51. This one was not within two weeks of a Fed decision. Its own ratio of 1.01x compares with 1.56x for those, so it moved the price less than its circumstances would suggest.

How it compares

Across 69 PCE releases since 2021, Hedera's usual price swing is 1.51x. This one was 0.67 times the usual.

MutedOrdinaryStrongExceptional

Thin line: PCE's usual, 1.51x. Thick line: this release, 1.01x. Under 1.5x counts as no reaction at all.

Minute by minute

Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.

After High Low Close Change Range Range before Volume
1 minute 0.0614 0.0613 0.0614 0.16% 0.16% 0.00% 47,093 HBAR
5 minutes 0.0615 0.0612 0.0615 0.33% 0.49% 0.49% 543,188 HBAR
10 minutes 0.0616 0.0612 0.0614 0.16% 0.65% 0.65% 1.33M HBAR
15 minutes 0.0616 0.0612 0.0615 0.33% 0.65% 0.81% 1.836M HBAR
30 minutes 0.0616 0.0612 0.0613 0.00% 0.65% 0.81% 2.865M HBAR
1 hour 0.0616 0.0611 0.0613 0.00% 0.81% 1.14% 5.939M HBAR
2 hours 0.0622 0.0608 0.0621 1.29% 2.25% 1.47% 14.458M HBAR
4 hours 0.0624 0.0608 0.0617 0.65% 2.56% 2.42% 28.717M HBAR
6 hours 0.0624 0.0608 0.0614 0.16% 2.56% 3.35% 41.587M HBAR
8 hours 0.0624 0.0605 0.0617 -0.32% 3.04% 3.34% 54.106M HBAR
12 hours 0.0624 0.0608 0.0616 0.49% 2.56% 3.82% 58.798M HBAR

Every coin at this release

Coin Price swing Usual for PCE Reaction
Bitcoin 2.39x 2.06x Ordinary
Ethereum 1.50x 1.79x Quiet
XRP 1.66x 1.70x Ordinary
BNB 1.43x 1.78x Quiet
Solana 1.64x 1.58x Ordinary
Dogecoin 1.40x 1.51x Quiet
TRON 1.00x 1.42x Quiet
Cardano 1.90x 1.88x Ordinary
Chainlink 1.57x 1.61x Ordinary
Sui 0.96x 1.52x Quiet
Bitcoin Cash 1.54x 1.67x Ordinary
Hedera 1.01x 1.48x Quiet
Avalanche 1.35x 1.55x Quiet
Litecoin 1.09x 1.64x Quiet
Gram 0.99x 1.29x Quiet
Shiba Inu 2.41x 1.74x Strong
Uniswap 1.26x 1.48x Quiet
Polkadot 1.50x 1.49x Ordinary
Aave 1.41x 1.57x Quiet
Bittensor 1.06x 1.68x Quiet
NEAR Protocol 2.25x 1.37x Strong
Aptos 1.60x 1.70x Ordinary
Internet Computer 2.39x 1.50x Strong
POL (prev. MATIC) 1.14x 1.56x Quiet
Filecoin 1.00x 1.50x Quiet

What is the Personal Consumption Expenditures?

Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) is a measure of the prices people in the United States pay for goods and services. PCE accounts for about two-thirds of domestic spending and is a significant driver of gross domestic product (GDP). An estimated total of personal consumption expenditures (PCE) is compiled by the Bureau of Economic Analysis as one way to measure and track changes in the prices of consumer goods over time.

Every PCE release for Hedera

Questions about this page

Is 1.01x a lot?

No. Under 1.5x the market barely noticed the release.

Will the next PCE do the same?

Nobody can say. A forecast shows the range Hedera moved in after past PCE releases, so you can plan for the likely size of the move.

More questions ยท Glossary

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.