How Cardano reacted to the Personal Consumption Expenditures on 31 May 2024

Measured by Clometrix

Cardano's volatility ratio was 2.82x, against 1.90x for a typical PCE release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 5.31x, against a typical 2.40x. That is a strong reaction by this release's own standard. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How Cardano moved

Cardano was at $0.4522 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.4% higher, and an hour later 0.49% higher. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 0.82% of its price, against 0.64% in the hour before.

The release

Released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis on 31 May 2024 at 8:30 AM EDT. The Personal Consumption Expenditures came in at 0.3% for April 2024, against 0.3% in March 2024. Prices are rising at the same pace as before.

It arrived at the same moment as Personal Income and Outlays and Core Personal Consumption Expenditures, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

What made it matter

Since 2021, PCE releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Cardano about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.92x across 18, against 1.88x across 52. This one came out 12 days before the Federal Reserve's 12 June rate decision. Its own ratio of 2.82x compares with 1.92x for those, so it moved the price more than its circumstances alone would suggest.

Its record

Across 70 PCE releases since 2021, Cardano's median volatility ratio is 1.88x.

How it compares

Across 69 PCE releases since 2021, Cardano's usual price swing is 1.90x. This one was 1.49 times the usual.

MutedOrdinaryStrongExceptional

Thin line: PCE's usual, 1.90x. Thick line: this release, 2.82x.

Minute by minute

Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.

After	High	Low	Close	Change	Range	Range before	Volume
1 minute	0.4545	0.4522	0.4542	0.44%	0.51%	0.07%	509,291 ADA
5 minutes	0.4559	0.4522	0.4542	0.44%	0.81%	0.11%	1.819M ADA
10 minutes	0.4559	0.4522	0.4539	0.37%	0.81%	0.40%	2.229M ADA
15 minutes	0.4559	0.4522	0.454	0.40%	0.81%	0.44%	2.563M ADA
30 minutes	0.4559	0.4522	0.4539	0.37%	0.81%	0.46%	3.709M ADA
1 hour	0.4559	0.4522	0.4544	0.48%	0.81%	0.64%	5.835M ADA
2 hours	0.4559	0.4489	0.4511	-0.24%	1.54%	1.04%	10.623M ADA
4 hours	0.4559	0.4436	0.4466	-1.25%	2.70%	1.39%	20.306M ADA
6 hours	0.4559	0.4436	0.4473	-1.10%	2.70%	1.39%	23.87M ADA
8 hours	0.4559	0.4436	0.4466	-0.47%	2.70%	1.81%	29.295M ADA
12 hours	0.4559	0.4436	0.446	-1.39%	2.70%	1.83%	34.763M ADA

Every coin at this release

Coin	Price swing	Usual for PCE	Reaction
Bitcoin	3.32x	2.03x	Strong
Ethereum	3.02x	1.77x	Strong
XRP	2.00x	1.81x	Ordinary
BNB	2.00x	1.75x	Ordinary
Solana	2.76x	1.57x	Strong
Dogecoin	1.87x	1.52x	Ordinary
TRON	1.23x	1.43x	Quiet
Cardano	2.82x	1.90x	Strong
Chainlink	1.72x	1.62x	Ordinary
Sui	Not measured	1.53x	-
Bitcoin Cash	1.84x	1.69x	Ordinary
Hedera	1.79x	1.51x	Ordinary
Avalanche	2.31x	1.55x	Strong
Litecoin	1.92x	1.64x	Ordinary
Shiba Inu	1.68x	1.75x	Ordinary
Uniswap	1.81x	1.49x	Ordinary
Polkadot	2.01x	1.50x	Strong
Aave	1.69x	1.58x	Ordinary
Bittensor	1.67x	1.68x	Ordinary
NEAR Protocol	3.59x	1.43x	Exceptional
Aptos	1.79x	1.73x	Ordinary
Internet Computer	1.19x	1.50x	Quiet
POL (prev. MATIC)	1.71x	1.60x	Ordinary
Filecoin	1.97x	1.51x	Strong

What is the Personal Consumption Expenditures?

Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) is a measure of the prices people in the United States pay for goods and services. PCE accounts for about two-thirds of domestic spending and is a significant driver of gross domestic product (GDP). An estimated total of personal consumption expenditures (PCE) is compiled by the Bureau of Economic Analysis as one way to measure and track changes in the prices of consumer goods over time.

Every PCE release for Cardano

Questions about this page

Is 2.82x a lot?

For a PCE release it is strong: the usual is 1.90x. Each report has its own usual size, and its releases show it.

Will the next PCE do the same?

Nobody can say. A forecast shows the range Cardano moved in after past PCE releases, so you can plan for the likely size of the move.

What is PCE, and why does the Fed watch it?

PCE is the Personal Consumption Expenditures price index published by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. The Federal Reserve measures its 2 percent inflation goal with the PCE price index. PCE, Core PCE and Personal Income are released together at 8:30 a.m. ET and share one reaction. Their median Bitcoin price swing since 2021 is 2.03x, which places them in Tier 2.

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.