How Sui reacted to the Personal Consumption Expenditures on 27 November 2024

The short answer

Hardly a reaction. In the 15 minutes after the figure came out, Sui's price swung 1.33 times as much as in a normal 15 minutes that day. For a PCE release, 1.53 times is usual. An hour later the price was 0.88% higher.

1.33x

Quiet

Trading (volume ratio)
1.59x
usual for PCE: 1.59x
Price at 10:00 AM
$3.4000
15 minutes later
−0.29%
One hour later
+0.88%
range 2.35%, hour before 1.76%
SUI/USDT, 30 minutes candles around the release, 10:00 AM America/New York

The dashed orange line is the release. Chart data from Binance.

Open
3.3500
Close
3.5100
24h change
4.56%
24h high
3.5900
24h low
3.2800
24h volume
73.521M SUI

The release

Released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis on 27 November 2024 at 10:00 AM EST. The Personal Consumption Expenditures came in at 0.3% for October 2024, against 0.2% in September 2024. Prices are rising faster than before.

It arrived at the same moment as Personal Income and Outlays and Core Personal Consumption Expenditures, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

Measured by Clometrix

Sui's volatility ratio was 1.33x, against 1.53x for a typical PCE release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 1.59x, against a typical 1.59x. Under 1.5x is not a reaction at all: the market barely noticed this release. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How Sui moved

Sui was at $3.4000 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.29% lower, and an hour later 0.88% higher. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 2.35% of its price, against 1.76% in the hour before.

What made it matter

Since 2021, PCE releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Sui less than those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.02x across 11, against 1.72x across 30. This one was not within two weeks of a Fed decision. Its own ratio of 1.33x compares with 1.72x for those, so it moved the price less than its circumstances would suggest.

How it compares

Across 40 PCE releases since 2021, Sui's usual price swing is 1.53x. This one was 0.87 times the usual.

MutedOrdinaryStrongExceptional

Thin line: PCE's usual, 1.53x. Thick line: this release, 1.33x. Under 1.5x counts as no reaction at all.

Minute by minute

Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.

After High Low Close Change Range Range before Volume
1 minute 3.41 3.40 3.40 0.00% 0.29% 0.29% 70,453 SUI
5 minutes 3.41 3.39 3.40 0.00% 0.59% 0.59% 335,523 SUI
10 minutes 3.42 3.39 3.41 0.29% 0.88% 0.88% 701,505 SUI
15 minutes 3.42 3.38 3.39 -0.29% 1.17% 0.88% 1.065M SUI
30 minutes 3.42 3.38 3.41 0.29% 1.17% 1.76% 2.013M SUI
1 hour 3.46 3.38 3.43 0.87% 2.31% 1.76% 5.026M SUI
2 hours 3.46 3.38 3.41 0.29% 2.31% 1.76% 8.903M SUI
4 hours 3.48 3.38 3.45 1.45% 2.87% 2.34% 14.488M SUI
6 hours 3.50 3.38 3.46 1.73% 3.43% 2.91% 19.936M SUI
8 hours 3.48 3.34 3.45 1.45% 4.02% 4.65% 29.963M SUI
12 hours 3.59 3.38 3.51 3.13% 5.85% 4.65% 38.487M SUI

Every coin at this release

Coin Price swing Usual for PCE Reaction
Bitcoin 1.26x 2.03x Quiet
Ethereum 0.98x 1.77x Quiet
XRP 0.95x 1.81x Quiet
BNB 0.93x 1.75x Quiet
Solana 1.06x 1.57x Quiet
Dogecoin 1.02x 1.52x Quiet
TRON 1.00x 1.43x Quiet
Cardano 1.43x 1.90x Quiet
Chainlink 1.31x 1.62x Quiet
Sui 1.33x 1.53x Quiet
Bitcoin Cash 1.09x 1.69x Quiet
Hedera 1.56x 1.51x Ordinary
Avalanche 1.71x 1.55x Ordinary
Litecoin 0.67x 1.64x Quiet
Gram 1.27x 1.32x Quiet
Shiba Inu 1.05x 1.75x Quiet
Uniswap 3.04x 1.49x Exceptional
Polkadot 0.88x 1.50x Quiet
Aave 1.62x 1.58x Ordinary
Bittensor 0.99x 1.68x Quiet
NEAR Protocol 0.87x 1.43x Quiet
Aptos 0.75x 1.73x Quiet
Internet Computer 0.73x 1.50x Quiet
POL (prev. MATIC) 0.80x 1.60x Quiet
Filecoin 0.99x 1.51x Quiet

What is the Personal Consumption Expenditures?

Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) is a measure of the prices people in the United States pay for goods and services. PCE accounts for about two-thirds of domestic spending and is a significant driver of gross domestic product (GDP). An estimated total of personal consumption expenditures (PCE) is compiled by the Bureau of Economic Analysis as one way to measure and track changes in the prices of consumer goods over time.

Every PCE release for Sui

Questions about this page

Is 1.33x a lot?

No. Under 1.5x the market barely noticed the release.

Will the next PCE do the same?

Nobody can say. A forecast shows the range Sui moved in after past PCE releases, so you can plan for the likely size of the move.

What is PCE, and why does the Fed watch it?

PCE is the Personal Consumption Expenditures price index published by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. The Federal Reserve measures its 2 percent inflation goal with the PCE price index. PCE, Core PCE and Personal Income are released together at 8:30 a.m. ET and share one reaction. Their median Bitcoin price swing since 2021 is 2.03x, which places them in Tier 2.

More questions · Glossary

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.